re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 13 June 2023

In recent months, Russia has highly likely worked to ensure its long-term, high-volume supply of one-way-attack uncrewed aerial vehicles (OWA-UAVs). By supplying these weapons, Iran continues to breach UN Security Council Resolution 2231.

Russia has likely moved from receiving small deliveries of Iranian OWA-UAVs by air transport, to larger consignments by ship from Iran via the Caspian Sea. This 'International North-South Transit Corridor' has assumed much more importance since the invasion. It allows Russia to access Asian markets - including arms transfers - in ways it hopes are less vulnerable to international sanctions.

Russia is also working to start domestic production of OWA-UAVs, almost certainly with Iranian assistance. Russia is highly likely investing in OWA-UAVs because it provides Russia with a relatively cheap long-range strike capability at a time when it has expended a large proportion of its cruise missile stocks in Ukraine.

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I truly do not understand Russia's strategy with these missile attacks on random Ukrainian population centers. What good does hitting an apartment building do for Russia? Why not attack military targets instead?

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There are three factors:

1) Sometimes, a residential building can house Ukrainian troops

2) Russian gets bad intel and mismanages it

3) Some of their missiles and/or targeting are inaccurate


After a number of strikes such as this, one eventually reads that there is a military target nearby -- sometimes the adjacent building.

Yes, Russia does not really care if they hit civilian buildings and kill innocent people. But most of the time, it's simply that Russia is bad at doing what it tries to do.

Look at how many times during the GWOT the US bombed an innocent civilian house due to bad intel or bad targeting, and then multiply that times ten because of how much Russia sucks at all of this.

This guy has 158k followers who eagerly lap up the absolute BS that he regularly puts out.



EDIT: I decided to bold the "absolute BS" part. There is no evidence that Ukraine has advanced an inch towards Volnovakha -- that's just not the axis upon which Ukraine is attacking.

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since the Sino-Vietnamese War which means they have effectively zero combat experience in the entire military

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shite, son. The Chinese been fighting the Indians up in the mountains with sticks, stones and shields for a few years now.

The leaked videos are fricking hilarious

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sending shells that may carry environmental and health risks,

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We can use them for decades in the desert.

But might get criticized for environmental impact if we send any to Ukraine.




Lmao

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In the past, several White House officials raised concerns that the U.S. may become open to criticism for sending shells that may carry environmental and health risks, the WSJ wrote.

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This is the kind of shite the DoD has to deal with, and the State Dept.

Video was just posted by "The Sun" on YouTube showing Russian troops in the process of capturing an abandoned Leopard 2A6 and a few Bradleys

YouTube

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If attacks on Russian territory continue, we will consider creating a 'sanitary zone' inside Ukraine - Putin

Translation: Putin is talking about a buffer zone on the Ukraine-Russia border, presumably in Kharkiv, Sumy and Chernihiv oblast

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LINK

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Russia submitted a bill to parliament pardoning all small and medium crimes of participants of the so-called "SMO".

Both professionals and mobiks will be exempted from criminal prosecution even if the crimes were committed before the law came into force. Those who receive state awards or retired from service will also be exempt.

The Russian army is becoming criminal not only de-facto but also de-jure.

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LINK

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??President of Poland Andrzej Duda called for NATO countries allow Ukraine to join. However, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and French President Emmanuel Macron prefer to talk about security guarantees.

They spoke about this at a meeting of the heads of state and government of Poland, France and Germany, – the German news service Tagesschau writes.

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LINK

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WSJ: US to provide depleted-uranium tank shells for Ukraine

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This is what we used in the First Gulf War. It will go though a T-72 like shite through a goose.

Girkin apparently did not enjoy Putin's speech. From his Telegram:

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Today's speech by the Supreme Non-Commander to the military correspondents instantly dispelled all my restrained optimism, which arose from the results of the first week of the enemy offensive.

I cannot characterize him otherwise than in the words of Comrade Shvonder from The Heart of a Dog:

- "This is... some kind of shame!"

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LINK

I really wonder how he is still alive.

EDIT: A few other bits of Girkin's thoughts, who appears to have done something of a live commentary on the speech:

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Lord, who made up his speech? What a moron?

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From the president's speech to the military commanders, one can (if we discard the verbal husk) "squeeze out" the main strategy of the leadership of the Russian Federation:

"If there is the slightest opportunity to do nothing, we will definitely take advantage of this opportunity!"

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When Putin talked about a new monument park:

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And there will be no mobilization. Monuments are better.

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