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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 5/31/23 at 7:50 pm to CitizenK
Posted on 5/31/23 at 7:50 pm to CitizenK
quote:
Unless the crude unit is hit in this simple hydroskimming refinery its MEH for me but psychological to workers there is big
Psychological. But also proves assets inside of Russia are not safe. Now they need to relocate defensive assets if they want to defend.
0
Posted on 5/31/23 at 7:52 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
I read elsewhere it was the crude distillation unit.
Not an engineer, just repeating what I read.
I am not a degreed engineer but have dealt with refineries since 1992. That is the heart of ANY refinery. If that is out, then there is nothing to further process. Crude oil enters the refining process as the crude unit, aka distillation unit.
Posted on 5/31/23 at 8:01 pm to tigeraddict
quote:
At this point in the war. Russian regular forces would be considered special forces compared to the conscripts.
We will never know this, but I would love to know how many men from both sides were fighting on Day 1 and are still alive and fighting today. I bet the number is not big.
Posted on 5/31/23 at 8:18 pm to TigersSEC2010
I am sure it is a low number however it might not be as low as you might think because a lot of the front has been very stagnant, offering much higher odds of survival than those in Bakhmut.
This post was edited on 5/31/23 at 8:19 pm
Posted on 5/31/23 at 8:28 pm to Lakeboy7
quote:
“Russian Special Forces”
Posted on 5/31/23 at 8:56 pm to TigersSEC2010
quote:
I would love to know how many men from both sides were fighting on Day 1 and are still alive and fighting today. I bet the number is not big.
Depends on the unit. It's definitely low for infantry. Artillery units, though, have better survivability.
Posted on 5/31/23 at 9:18 pm to GOP_Tiger
Mechanized infantry will be the difference if Ukraine can pull off their offensive or not. The tanks and Bradleys will be easy targets without close infantry support moving with them. They will be key in keeping Russian forces at distance so Ukraine’s superior armor can roast whatever they send at it wether it be a t-90 or ancient t-55. Also if it’s a southern attack combat engineers will be the guys they depend on most to get bridging equipment in place.
This post was edited on 5/31/23 at 9:20 pm
Posted on 5/31/23 at 9:22 pm to LSUPilot07
ISW Update
quote:
Key Takeaways
The Russian military command has likely ordered Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov’s forces to begin offensive operations in Ukraine following the withdrawal of Wagner Group forces from Bakhmut.
The claimed return of Chechen forces to offensive operations would break Kadyrovites from a nearly yearlong hiatus from participating in high-intensity combat operations.
The Kremlin may be attempting to reintroduce Kadyrovites as the main offensive force following the culmination of Wagner forces and their withdrawal from the frontlines.
The Kremlin may also be attempting to sever Kadyrov’s relationship with Wagner financier Yevgeny Prigozhin and re-emphasize federal authority over Chechen forces.
The official Russian responses to recent attacks against Russia remain likely insufficient to satisfy the Russian ultranationalist information space’s desire for escalation in the war.
Russian forces conducted ground attacks northwest of Svatove and south of Kreminna.
Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks around Bakhmut and along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City line.
Russian forces continue to concentrate in southern Ukraine.
The Russian State Duma appears to be considering measures to legalize the military recruitment of current or formerly incarcerated Russian men.
Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada Human Rights Commissioner Dmytro Lyubinets announced that Ukraine has a new avenue to repatriate Ukrainian children abducted to Russia.
Posted on 5/31/23 at 10:15 pm to LSUPilot07
quote:
Mechanized infantry will be the difference if Ukraine can pull off their offensive or not. The tanks and Bradleys will be easy targets without close infantry support moving with them. They will be key in keeping Russian forces at distance so Ukraine’s superior armor can roast whatever they send at it wether it be a t-90 or ancient t-55. Also if it’s a southern attack combat engineers will be the guys they depend on most to get bridging equipment in place.
My worry for the Ukrainians is that the offensive will result in a sort of Operation Michael Germany in 1918 situation. They'll gain ground but not as much as they'd hoped, and they'll lose so many men in the process they'll be practically a spent force.
I don't think Russia is really even capable of taking much, or any, new territory but they've been digging and laying mines for eight months at this point waiting for the offensive. I don't think it will be the cakewalk a lot of people are predicting.
Posted on 5/31/23 at 10:19 pm to mattfromnj
I've seen pictures on Twitter that show the concrete fortifications are already crumbling
Posted on 5/31/23 at 10:23 pm to WestCoastAg
quote:
Didnt you openly cheer over dead Ukrainian citizens
He believes that Ukrainian citizens are Nazis fighting on behalf of the NWO against the good, upstanding Russians fighting for traditional morals and the primacy of Christendom.
Within that worldview, his posts aren’t contradictory in the least. It’s simply that his worldview is insane.
Posted on 5/31/23 at 10:31 pm to Joshjrn
I don't know that he actually thinks that. Most of what he does on TD is an exaggerated posing/trolling. He's playing a role here, in the same way that reality TV stars aren't really giving you a picture of their lives.
Posted on 5/31/23 at 10:34 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
I don't know that he actually thinks that. Most of what he does on TD is an exaggerated posing/trolling. He's playing a role here, in the same way that reality TV stars aren't really giving you a picture of their lives.
I’ll admit that I’ve never had a particularly sensitive troll meter. You have to be Gaucho levels of absurd for me to clock it
I think it comes down to that I genuinely can’t wrap my head around wasting time lying to strangers on the internet just to (sometimes) get a reaction out of them.
Posted on 5/31/23 at 11:37 pm to Joshjrn
I’m pretty sure he dressed up a mannequin once and posted it on here, the same mannequin then made an appearance on a troll post on some politician from Louisiana social media.
Posted on 5/31/23 at 11:41 pm to GOP_Tiger
That aid package is interesting. 30 million rounds of small arms ammo. That’s a shite ton of bullets. Also the 105 mm tank ammo. I’m guessing that’s for the Leopard 1s and maybe the AMX-10s unless they got really old M1 Abrams with the 105 mm rifled gun. I’m pretty sure they are getting M1A1s though with the 120 mm gun. And more and more mine clearing and engineering needs.
Posted on 5/31/23 at 11:54 pm to LSUPilot07
They are also getting older M60's and AMX30's
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:08 am to CitizenK
Several videos in the thread
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1664118448773791744
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1664118448773791744
quote:
Over the past week, Ukrainian FPV loitering munitions have swarmed the E40 north of Bakhmut, destroying a number of Russian vehicles attempting to resupply the salient in Dubovo-Vasylivka and Berkhivka.
A striking story on the strategic use of FPV loitering munitons (thread)
Here is a map of the carnage along the E40, Ukrainian FPV loitering munitions are ranging deep behind Russian lines, hitting essential transport links in an environment that should have heavy anti-drone jamming and AD assets in place.
Ukrainian forces are most likely causing a significant level of disruption to Russian forces attempting to supply the salient in Dubovo-Vasylivka and Berkhivka, without wasting valuable PGMs like Excalibur, HIMARS, or JDAM-ER.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:12 am to Chromdome35
I have seen this footage on several Ukrainian twitter feeds. That is a bunch of troops.
https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian/status/1663943781165711361
https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian/status/1663943781165711361
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:15 am to Chromdome35
There is also footage of a Mexican cartel member carrying an AT4 that supposedly came from Ukraine. Since the source (Russian or Ukrainian) isn't explained, expect the troll brigade to visit.
Posted on 6/1/23 at 12:19 am to Chromdome35
I wonder how close to reality this is?
https://twitter.com/ukraine_map/status/1663953650467602445
https://twitter.com/ukraine_map/status/1663953650467602445
quote:
Russia’s Long Range Missile Stocks based on Ukraine’s ???? reporting as of May 31, 2023
Russia is currently estimated to have 194 Kalibr, X-101/Kh-555, Iskander, and Kinzhal missiles in stock
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