re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Chromedome35 said:

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I wonder how close to reality this is?

LINK
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Russia’s Long Range Missile Stocks based on Ukraine’s reporting as of May 31, 2023

Russia is currently estimated to have 194 Kalibr, X-101/Kh-555, Iskander, and Kinzhal missiles in stock

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The source is very much Pro Ukraine but does a decent job of refuting those questioning their projections.

Their response to those comments further in the thread question the fact the stock levels haven't changed much since March it comes down to how accurate the Ukrainian data on initial stocks and production levels are since the current stocks are from those two figures minus reported launches.

The contrarians do have a point regarding the validity of the data but there is also evidence pointing towards to it being somewhat accurate - Russia severely curtailed cruise missile use for much of the last 3 months and mainly relied on drone strikes during that period.

When coupled with the claims from the more recent strikes turning up debris indicating Q4 production dates this would indicate Russia regenerated its stocks during that period to enable the recent larger launches, most likely planning to catch Ukraine off guard due to the reports of their own low AD stocks and disrupt their counter offensive.

I also ran across this while going down the tangent above:

The GUR building in Kyiv looks to have been struck in the last several days at some point.

Note: This source is fairly biased towards Russia but has most of the main claims and talking points in the thread.

https://twitter.com/stellarman22/status/1663663624949202945

There are claims from Russian sources linked to seismic activity in that period that it was actually targeted at an underground bunker using a penetrator type munition hence the minor surface damage. There also some fairly big and thus far unsubstantiated claims that large numbers of senior staff were killed by it.

To my inexpert eye the damage looks far too superficial to have been much more than a drone strike - would a penetrator munition strike cause so little damage on the building as I would have thought the foundation would be severely undermined and there would be at least a partial collapse?

Edit: Clarity

Russian troops try to strike Kyiv unexpectedly from short distance with superfast Iskander missiles - Air Force spox
01.06.2023 11:18

UKRINFORM

The spokesperson for the Air Force of Ukraine Yuriy Ihnat said this on the air of the national telethon "United News", Ukrinform reports.

"During attacks by Iskander, there is very little time for shelter. 300 kilometers is not enough distance for such a missile to approach. Iskanders are superfast, so the enemy uses them to give us a minimum of time to react," Ihnat said.

He clarified that the speed of the Iskander is 900 km per hour, and 300 km for such a missile is not much.

According to him, if ballistic missiles are flying from the Caspian Sea or the Black Sea, then there is about an hour to react and take cover. "Here we are talking about a matter of minutes. That is why the enemy wants to take us unexpectedly and hit us so that the air defense system cannot react," Ihnat said.

The spokesman added that the enemy tried to use other missiles, including S-400, but Iskanders are faster.

As reported, around 2:45 a.m. on June 1, the Russian occupiers continued a series of attacks on Kyiv. A total of 10 ballistic and cruise missiles of the Iskander type were fired from the northern direction - Bryansk region of the Russian Federation. The attack killed a 9-year-old girl, her mother, and another woman.

Kyiv cancelled all events planned for Children's Day on June 1.

The air defense forces of the Ukrainian Air Force destroyed all ten missiles: seven Iskander-M ballistic missiles and three Iskander-K cruise missiles.

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There is also footage of a Mexican cartel member carrying an AT4 that supposedly came from Ukraine. Since the source (Russian or Ukrainian) isn't explained, expect the troll brigade to visit.

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AT4 that is a training device, not even armed.
LINK

Mexican TV reporting weapons given to Ukraine are being sold to Cartels

Slava Sinaloa!

They are consistent and predictable

Right on cue one hour after I showed that it is fake news

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He's playing a role here

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He tries, but he often breaks because he is also desperately lost and wants the world to conform to his views. He also realizes that it won't and simultaneously complains about whatever the media tells him is the issue. He's a massive loser.

Good link on the cartel AT-4. He also shows video of the cartels having these weapons over a year ago.

LINK

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Venezuela is well known to have sold AT-4 to FARC terrorist in Colombia and the Colombian military have had this system during it’s internal conflict so it is very likely these AT-4s made it to Mexico. TO BE CLEAR IT IS RARE TO SEE SUCH WEAPONS IN CARTEL HANDS BUT THEY HAVE THEM

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He's playing a role here, in the same way that reality TV stars aren't really giving you a picture of their lives.

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He's (SirWinston) absolutely playing a role. He started out under a different username and went through a couple of different personas until he found traction on the poli board (go figure) as some sort of bizarre homosexual white nationalist. But I think he's been at it so long that he's actually morphed into the character he was initially pretending to be.

Either that or he's actually Milo Yiannopoulos.

US to buy Gepard air defense system for Ukraine in $118 million contract

The U.S. Department of Defense will buy Gepard self-propelled anti-air systems for Ukraine worth $118.3 million, the Pentagon announced in a press release on June 1.

A Florida-based company Global Military Products has received the contract for the purchase and delivery of the German-made 35-mm Gepard anti-aircraft systems.

The work covered by the contract will be carried out in Amman, Jordan, with the expected completion by May 30, 2024, the press release said.

The funds for the purchase were allocated from Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative.