re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Staryi Krym shot at something near Alaska.

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Forgive my ignorance… Alaska what?


ETA: i see the call out on Map he posted. Was super confused just reading it.

I believe this.

I don’t think Putin gives a shite about “optics” because his propaganda machine can make the “optics” whatever he wants.


Russia simply is incapable of full war footing without destroying the country.

Give us the cliffs.

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Give us the cliffs.

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Ukraine started the war with a fair number of Tochka rockets, but they had no way to acquire more, and so these became scarce quickly. The introduction of HIMARS had a transformative effect in Ukrainian ability to hit targets behind the front.

Over time, though, Russia has adapted to HIMARS. They dispersed ammo depots and brought C2 and logistics out of range or put them in hardened locations that a GMRLS rocket cannot penetrate. They are having success using EW to jam the system, and the AD units have had enough practice that they are now much betting at shooting down the GMRLS rockets from HIMARS and M270 systems than they were at first.

Storm Shadow, though, renders most of those adaptations obsolete, because its range is (basically) all of Ukraine, and the large, penetrating warhead can destroy something like a building with a concrete-reinforced basement. In contrast to the high, ballistic arc of a GMRLS rocket, Storm Shadow flies low to the ground to hide from radar and does not follow a straight path to its target.

So, if we assume that:

1) Storm Shadow is supplied in sufficient quantity, and
2) Ukraine can keep its Su-24s in the air firing them, then we can conclude that:

Storm Shadow puts Russian logistics, comms, and command & control back into the same difficulties they faced when HIMARS was first introduced. Adapting, though, is harder, because of much greater the range and power is of this system.

In addition, adaptation is now much more of a challenge because Storm Shadow isn't entering the fight all by itself. US-made AMD-160 MALD decoy missiles confuse Russian AD. There are several types of long-range kamikaze drones that are entering the fight, including whatever the British are sending. And that's before we get into the future capabilities of GLSDB and whatever we eventually give Ukraine to fire from F-16s.

EDIT: LOL

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Not noted in Perun but elsewhere is that they don't even seem to know what a pallet is. Everything is in crates, large, medium and small. It takes men to move the crates onto trains, off the trains then onto trucks. Thus Russian logistics is not even at WWII standards

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Pro Ukraine reddit LARPers from April 2022 want their talking points back, mate

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...add nothing to this thread at all.

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Comic Relief???

Corruption is through the roof especially with all the Russian cash flowing in. Per a Turkish neighbor whose brother is a banker there, while she is a PhD/MD involved in research

Isw update

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Key Takeaways

Russian forces conducted the largest Shahed drone strike against Ukraine since the start of the war overnight on May 27-28.

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin claimed that the Russian relief in place operation in Bakhmut may continue past his initial June 1 deadline and last until June 5.

The tempo of Russian operations around Bakhmut remains notably low.

Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin appears to have again indirectly undermined Russian President Vladimir Putin’s authority and regime.

Prigozhin may be attacking Putin for failing to give Prigozhin some promised reward for seizing Bakhmut.

The Wagner Group held a reportedly illegal pro-Wagner rally in Yekaterinburg on May 28 despite the reported banning of the rally by Yekaterinburg authorities.

Russian propagandist Vladimir Solovyov criticized former Russian officer and ardent nationalist Igor Girkin on May 27.

Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks northeast of Kupyansk and along the Svatove-Kreminna line.

Russian forces conducted limited offensive operations along the Avdiivka-Donetsk City front.

Russian forces continued to fire on areas in Southern Ukraine.

The UK Ministry of Defense (MoD) asserted that Russia is now demanding that Russian citizens make additional sacrifices to support the war effort.

Russian occupation officials continue to forcibly deport Ukrainian children to Russia under the guise of summer camps.

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