re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Macron has problems right now that are bigger than Ukraine.

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So what has been his problem for the past year? He has had time to run to China and bash the US.

Macron is a snake in the grass.

I have been against this hard stand for Ukraine in Bakhmut losing so many men but for one day at least I think with Wagner attacking with all their forces and Kadyrov bringing his forces to the fight as well, Ukraine should reinforce their positions with their reserves in Chasiv Yar. This has become a a fight less about territorial gains and more about who has the stronger will to fight. Ukraine can’t give Putin Bakhmut on the eve of May 9th.

I’m well aware how it is pronounced.

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Apparently there have been hits in Odessa around Shkolny Airfield and warehouses along the railroad.

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Strike in Odessa reportedly hit a food manufacturer and recreational area along the coast with a X-22 missile.

Telegram - our_odessa

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The enemy struck a rocket strike from strategic aircraft.

Type X-22 missiles aimed at one of the food companies and at the recreational area on the Black Sea coast.

Rescuers are working to eliminate fires. No data were received about the victims. Information is specified.

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While I take this claim from Ukraine with a very large grain of salt, last night looks to have been one of the busier ones we have seen for their air defences for awhile.

Twitter - @Faytuks

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Ukraine's air force claims that they shot down all 35 Shahed-136/131 drones launched at Ukraine last night.

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Edit: Update.

Now being reported that it was 60 drones in total across Ukraine, 35/36 were at Kyiv itself and the above claim refers to those only.

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"This was the most massive drone attack on the capital during the entire war," Kyiv mayor Klitschko said. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that in total 35 out of 35 launched Shahed-drones were shot down.

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Klitschko also reports that a total of 60 drones were launched towards Ukraine yesterday, of which 36 were shot down in the capital. Thus, the number shot down and reported by the Ukrainian General Staff seems to refer only to the capital.

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Twitter - @NOELreports

It would seem Russia is ramping things up leading into May 9th so they have something to show if Bahkmut remains, at least very partially, in Ukrainian hands. Despite quite a bit of noise about massive assaults there last night there is little information to be seen about it from either Russian or Ukraiian sources.

British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 08 May 2023

Russian military recruiters have been targeting central Asian migrant workers in Russia to serve in Ukraine. Recruiters have visited mosques and immigration offices to recruit. At immigration offices, staff who speak Tajik and Uzbek routinely attempt to recruit migrants.

Radio Free Europe reported recruiters offering sign-up bonuses of USD $2,390 and salaries of up to USD $4,160 a month. Migrants have also been offered a fast-track Russian citizenship path of six months to one year, instead of the usual five years.

The high monthly salary and sign-up bonuses will entice some migrant workers to sign up. These recruits are likely sent to the Ukrainian frontlines where the casualty rate is extremely high.

Recruiting migrants is part of the Russian Ministry of Defence's attempts to fulfil its target of 400,000 volunteers to fight in Ukraine. The authorities are almost certainly seeking to delay any new overt mandatory mobilisation for as long as possible to minimise domestic dissent.

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Strike in Odessa reportedly hit a food manufacturer and recreational area along the coast with a X-22 missile.

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Food warehouse where equipment and Leopards were a few days ago...

Random tweets

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Last week, the European Commission sent proposals to the EU member states regarding the 11th package of sanctions against the russian federation, — EC spokesman Eric Mamer said at a briefing in Brussels.

According to him, on Wednesday, May 10, the first discussion of the new package of sanctions is expected at the meeting of the Committee of Permanent Representatives (Coreper).

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LINK

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The russian federation has blocked the inspection of vessels of the grain initiative, the Ministry of Community Development, Territories and Infrastructure of Ukraine reported.

As of today, 90 vessels are awaiting inspection in Turkish territorial waters, of which 62 are vessels that are being loaded. Inspections of both incoming and outgoing fleets are blocked.

In general, the export of Ukrainian agricultural products through the grain corridor in April did not reach 3 million tons.

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Lost the link. Sorry

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Guerre d'Ukraine - Semaine 18

Gains/Pertes Russie | LPR | DPR

Secteurs :
?? Bakhmut : + 0.08 km²
?? Niu-York : - 13.53 km²
?? Avdiivka : + 0.28 km²
?? Marinka : + 0.53 km²
?? Pavlivka : - 15.08 km²

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LINK

An amazing photo. Some Ukrainian soldiers are on the hills west of Bakhmut. Between them and the city, you can see what, before the war, was a motocross track. A year ago, on a spring weekend, families would be enjoying a day out, watching the races there.

Edit: I should have said two years ago.

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Food warehouse where equipment and Leopards were a few days ago...

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I'm not denying that they were there, but the issue with still pictures from a few days ago is that it's a railroad in front of the warehouse.

So, did this train stop?
Did anything get unloaded and stored in said warehouse?
That's much more important than a picture.

The implication is that because tanks were on a train that passed in front of the warehouse they are being stored there, but it's a difficult conclusion to draw from a single picture. Because if we allow everything to be targeted where military equipment passed within 72 hours, everything and anything are legitimate targets then.