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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 4/26/23 at 1:59 pm to
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21020 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 1:59 pm to
LINK

How did the Teixeira docs get from the Minecraft Map Discord into wider discussion?

A pro-Ukraine group made the crude Photoshop and sent it to Donbas Devushka as a joke. They could never have imagined that Tucker would present it as serious.

quote:

So all of this hubbub, including the incredibly stupid segment on Tucker Carlson's show (RIP), is from some shitposters in a pro-Ukraine Telegram group who were trolling Donbass Devushka.

Not only that, but the initial April 6th Pentagon investigation into the leaks is because Donbass Devushka posted them on her channel. If this shitposter group didn't send these documents to the channel, they may have gone unnoticed on just 4chan even longer, if not indefinitely.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16095 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 3:24 pm to
Oh my Prigozhin calling out the corruption.

5:1 per him is the KIA rate

LINK
Posted by OutsideObserver
Oceania.
Member since Dec 2022
784 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 3:31 pm to
*Which shitheads left lighter in exhaust...

When coupled with the accidentally discharged aircraft ordinance over Belgorod it seems the Russian air force is not holding up well with prolonged combat operations, I expect to see more of such happening going forward.

Edit: Forgot TD doesn't accept Russian characters.
This post was edited on 4/26/23 at 3:37 pm
Posted by tigeraddict
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2007
14891 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 5:42 pm to
Reports of an explosion in at. Petersburg new airport popping around on twitter. Video of explosion sound and video of emergency vehicles.

But nothing tangible of actual source.
Posted by TexasForever
Member since Jul 2021
2949 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 5:46 pm to
quote:

5:1 per him is the KIA rate


That's not what he said...
Posted by nitwit
Member since Oct 2007
13094 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 5:50 pm to
Right.
He seems to be saying that Wagner is incurring five times more casualties than they would if properly supported with artillery shells.
He doesn’t say Wagner incurs five losses for each Ukrainian KIA.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16095 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 6:13 pm to
Shhhh having fun with politards who likely wouldn't click the link
Posted by OutsideObserver
Oceania.
Member since Dec 2022
784 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 6:26 pm to
Interesting video featuring Chris Copson from the Tank Museum playing on how the West has viewed Russia militarily as the 2nd best in the world, but has been the 2nd best army in Ukraine. Analyses how and why Russia has failed at various points through the war so far, how they have adapted, and how they need to adapt in the short term future.

Youtube - The Tank Museum - 2nd Best Army in Ukraine
Posted by TexasForever
Member since Jul 2021
2949 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 6:27 pm to




Which one of you covers the war for The Sun?

Posted by LSUPilot07
Member since Feb 2022
8657 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 6:28 pm to
That is an absolutely staggering amount of munitions when you look at it all at once. We are talking about artillery use not seen since WWI. The amount of firepower this war is consuming is unbelievable and makes the Ukrainian spring/summer offensive that much more crucial. I want to see them throw the Russians out more than anyone but after giving all this equipment I’m afraid support will dry up if they can’t achieve their intended goals. It’s going to be very interesting to see if they go ahead with the offensive with what they already have or if they try to buy an extra few weeks to get more armor in country. The flip side is you give Russia more time to dig in and fortify their positions. They still have the 100 or so Leopard 1s, the 31 Abrams as well as the 90 T-72s that the U.S.and the Dutch bought to be refurbished by the Czech Republic of which I think only around 30 have made it to Ukraine. That’s an extra 190 or so tanks which would make 2 new armored brigades that are due to arrive over the next few months. I think they would prefer to wait it out for all the new equipment to arrive but I’m not sure they have a choice. I know they want to cut Crimea off by reaching the Sea of Azov but if for nothing more than proving to western nations they can beat the Russians with our help they have to attack wherever the line is least vulnerable. Sounds obvious but I’m afraid it will be hard for Ukrainian commanders to attack anywhere but the south and places like Melitopol are extremely well defended.
Posted by gizmothepug
Louisiana
Member since Apr 2015
8689 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

I want to see them throw the Russians out more than anyone but after giving all this equipment I’m afraid support will dry up if they can’t achieve their intended goals.


I agree, but I think this is what Russia has been waiting for this entire time. Russia had no problem losing 50 thousand, and that’s the problem, the Russia government wouldn’t blink at sacrificing another 50 thousand.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16095 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

I agree, but I think this is what Russia has been waiting for this entire time. Russia had no problem losing 50 thousand, and that’s the problem, the Russia government wouldn’t blink at sacrificing another 50 thousand.


Or even 1 million. But their economy is in the shitter. The reports about it thriving are made up from thin air. 60% of the economy now is government. With the discounts they are giving to China and India, they are losing money on every barrel of oil sold and no place for their natural gas. China's supposedly help is hollow. A major pipeline to China for natural gas announced in 2006 had not had a copper cent allocated to built it every since. Meanwhile China gets 40% of its natural gas as LNG from Australia, a pissant amount of LNG from Russia, and elsewhere.

Stated to me more than once by a now deceased Chinese trader, they'd rather pay more to buy things from the USA than buy from Russia. Russians always renege on specifications aspect and never deliver what was promised
This post was edited on 4/26/23 at 7:02 pm
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61743 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 7:48 pm to
quote:

A pro-Ukraine group made the crude Photoshop and sent it to Donbas Devushka as a joke. They could never have imagined that Tucker would present it as serious.


LOL
That’s great!
Posted by StormyMcMan
USA
Member since Oct 2016
4689 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 7:54 pm to
ISW Update

quote:

Key Takeaways

Russia appears to be continuing a deliberate depopulation campaign in occupied areas of Ukraine in order to facilitate the repopulation of Ukrainian territories with Russians.

Competition among Russian private military companies (PMCs) is likely increasing in Bakhmut.

The Kremlin continues measures to codify conditions for domestic repression.

Comments made by Russian officials and prominent voices in the Russian information space continue to highlight a pervasive anxiety over potential Ukrainian counteroffensive actions.

Chinese President Xi Jinping explicitly recognized Ukraine’s sovereignty and independence, stating that mutual respect for sovereignty and territorial integrity are foundational to Ukrainian-Chinese relations in a conversation with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

The Kremlin is likely attempting to reassure Armenia that it is a reliable partner despite the fact that the war in Ukraine is limiting Russia’s ability to play a larger role in mediating the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. The Kremlin may attempt to use conscripts to maintain peacekeeping operations in Nagorno Karabakh and preserve relations with Armenia and other Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) member states.

Ukrainian sources reported that Russian forces did not conduct any offensive operations along the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna line.

Russian forces made gains within Bakhmut and north of Avdiivka.

Russian milbloggers continue to argue amongst themselves about Ukrainian activity along the Dnipro River in Kherson Oblast.

Russian authorities have started sending military registration summonses that include threats of “restrictive measures.”

Russian sources claimed that the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) prevented an attempted attack in Crimea.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30642 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 9:06 pm to
quote:

Are ball bearings this hard to produce?


A ball bearing shaped piece of metal similar to what might be considered a steel alloy is fairly simple, but a G3 bearing that goes in something like an ABEC9 bearing assembly is something you would go to the Japanese for. Small hands, bright minds, and OCD QC*. Russia can almost certainly make G500-G2000 bearings but under low magnifications they look like the surface of the moon.



Japan does a lot of these types of things really well and has surpassed the US and European countries in quality. An example that may be lost on most is measuring equipment. Starrett (US) used to be the leader, Now I will buy Mitutoyo before Starrett and likely pay less money.
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
25025 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 9:22 pm to
OCD QC, my kind of people.
Posted by WestCoastAg
Member since Oct 2012
150427 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

Tucker Carlson's show
ex show
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
21020 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 10:13 pm to
quote:

They still have the 100 or so Leopard 1s, the 31 Abrams as well as the 90 T-72s that the U.S.and the Dutch bought to be refurbished by the Czech Republic of which I think only around 30 have made it to Ukraine. That’s an extra 190 or so tanks which would make 2 new armored brigades that are due to arrive over the next few months. I think they would prefer to wait it out for all the new equipment to arrive but I’m not sure they have a choice.


All that can be for a summer offensive, which could be a follow-on offensive in the south, or could be on a different axis. Once the spring offensive begins, Ukraine can start putting together the next strike force (and NATO can start training it).

Ukraine has what it needs to do an offensive now. I have zero doubt it will happen next month. The whole point of the January and February Ramstein meetings was getting Ukraine what it needs for this offensive, and everything that was promised for this offensive been shipped to Ukraine except for four of the Spanish Leopards (Spain is pathetic).

Fortifications are not much of a barrier without the men to man them, and in February, Russia only had about 30,000 men in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, which is not enough. But the fortifications, while thick and multi-layered near Melitopol, are not nearly as extensive along other areas (such as southeast of Polohy towards Berdyansk). And I do think that Ukraine will attempt a Dnipro River crossing as well.

And I've also been worried about ongoing US support, but I've been forgetting about Lend-Lease, which hasn't been used yet. Even without a new congressional commitment, we'll be able to continue to send Ukraine lots of equipment.
This post was edited on 4/26/23 at 10:14 pm
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16095 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 10:14 pm to
quote:

Russia can almost certainly make G500-G2000 bearings but under low magnifications they look like the surface of the moon.


Acting head of a Russian (technically Cypriot) company in the US basically told me, and a partner, that all Russian know that QA/QC in Russia is a joke. That is why they built a demonstration plant in Texas, because if proven even by independent Western entities in Russia, everyone there would think that the books were cooked and everyone was paid off.

Just sayin...
Posted by TexasForever
Member since Jul 2021
2949 posts
Posted on 4/26/23 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

With the discounts they are giving to China and India, they are losing money on every barrel of oil sold and no place for their natural gas.


I don't think anybody believes Russia's economy is strong right now but they're definitely not losing money on $60/bbl. Aren't you in the O&G industry?
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