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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:59 pm to
Posted by StormyMcMan
USA
Member since Oct 2016
4669 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

they are completely banking on tonights elections and having people in place that will push strong to cut American support


At the risk of getting political:

Marjorie Taylor Greene is saying that Ukraine won't get another cent under the GOP.

But Kevin McCarthy says they will just require greater oversight and won't abandon Ukraine

So who knows, but I'd believe the House Minority Leader over a member on future actions
This post was edited on 11/8/22 at 1:00 pm
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20974 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:12 pm to
The odd thing is that this is obviously something on which Sen. McConnell has very strong convictions.

What I expect is that McCarthy will initially include less aid to Ukraine than McConnell and Biden want. Then, the spending bill will get amended in the Senate with higher amounts, and then a conference committee will meet and compromise.

In other words, it's possible that a GOP House might lead to a slightly smaller level of aid to Ukraine than otherwise, but it's not going to be a big deal.

As I said, the more Israel and Iran are dragged into the conflict, the more GOP support there will be.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15766 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

I never really understood why we thought this would play out different but yeah


It's a drop in the bucket compared to the 40% of exports which Russia has lost. There are no pipelines to India and Russia has two small by US standards LNG export terminals. Maybe one day there could be a pipeline to India but it has to pass through several nations then either over the Himalaya Mountains or through a pass at Kabul, Afghanistan.

India will only buy Russian LNG on the cheap like it has its oil.
Posted by nopants
Luling, La
Member since Aug 2006
893 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

Sen. McConnell has very strong convictions.


The only thing any of the blue or red colored snakes have "strong convictions" about is their offshore bank accounts and keeping them hidden and filled... hilarious to believe these crooked fricks care about anything other than power and money
Posted by ghost2most
Member since Mar 2012
7927 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 3:20 pm to
How do they come up with a number for KIA for the enemy?

Seems like that would be pretty much impossible to calculate.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
28594 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

At the risk of getting political:

Marjorie Taylor Greene is saying that Ukraine won't get another cent under the GOP.

But Kevin McCarthy says they will just require greater oversight and won't abandon Ukraine

So who knows, but I'd believe the House Minority Leader over a member on future actions


The problem here is that the Kremlin is living in a fantasy world where Kiev will do whatever Washington says, and that if the Republicans take over Congress in the midterms then America will realign with Putin.

Neither of those are reality based. Some Republicans, like Greene, actually do vocally support Russian interests and parrot Russian propaganda. But she is not taken seriously even by her own party leadership. She is a side show.

I don't see America bending the knee to Putin after today, even though it is pretty clear that the Republicans will likely take control of both houses of Congress.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105316 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 5:39 pm to
quote:

But she is not taken seriously even by her own party leadership. She is a side show.


Meanwhile the poliboard has her penciled in as the 2024 VP candidate.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20974 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 6:41 pm to
quote:

The only thing any of the blue or red colored snakes have "strong convictions" about is their offshore bank accounts and keeping them hidden and filled... hilarious to believe these crooked fricks care about anything other than power and money


You can believe what you want to believe, but what you are describing is actually less than one third of American politicians. Most of them (of both parties) got into politics because they care very much about the issues and feel a deep desire to make their community and country a better place.

I worked in that world full-time for ten years, and I've since been out of it for that long. I've spent far too much time with politicians and gotten to know some of them rather well, and what you wrote is simply not true.
Posted by Mr Happy
Member since May 2019
2707 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 7:13 pm to
quote:

How do they come up with a number for KIA for the enemy?
Don't they collect ears or something like that?
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15766 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 7:13 pm to
Agreed because I worked in a few campaigns and got to know several. Many would do far better financially if not in the House or the Senate.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20974 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 7:25 pm to
There's apparently a real attempt going on from Ukrainian forces to advance in the Kherson region. There are credible reports of fighting in Snihurivka (directly north of Kherson city) and south of Dudchany along the Dnipro.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
45571 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 7:58 pm to
quote:

???? have entered the northeastern outskirts of Snihurivka, the town is now contested.


LINK

Snihurivka is a key road and rail junction for the area. It is also one of the last Russian strong points on the west side of the Inhulets River. Once Snihurivka falls the Ukrainians can establish a new bridgehead to cross the Inhulets River and drive towards Nova Kokhovka.
Posted by LSUCanFAN
In the past
Member since Jan 2009
28100 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:19 pm to
Russias own MO numbers say 100000 dead.
Posted by StormyMcMan
USA
Member since Oct 2016
4669 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:21 pm to
isw update

quote:

Iranian state-run outlet Nour News Agency reported that Russian National Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev arrived in Tehran on November 8, likely to discuss the potential sale of Iranian ballistic missiles to Russia


quote:

The Kremlin is continuing efforts to covertly acquire munitions for use in Ukraine to mitigate the effects of international sanctions and backfill Russia’s ongoing depletion of domestic munitions stockpiles


quote:

Wagner Group forces are continuing to exaggerate their claimed territorial gains in Donbas to further distinguish themselves from proxy and conventional Russian forces.


quote:

Key Takeaways

Iranian sources announced—without Russian confirmation—that Russian National Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev arrived in Tehran on November 8, likely to discuss the potential sale of Iranian ballistic missiles to Russia. Iran likely announced Patrushev’s arrival to highlight the deepening cooperation between Moscow and Tehran to an international audience, as well as to implicitly highlight that a high-ranking Russian official turned to Iran for help in Ukraine.

Wagner Group forces are continuing to exaggerate their claimed territorial gains in Donbas to further distinguish themselves from proxy and conventional Russian forces.

Ukrainian forces likely made marginal gains northwest of Svatove, Luhansk Oblast, and Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces intensified offensive operations toward Kreminna.

Russian forces continued offensive operations around Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and in western Donetsk Oblast.

Ukrainian authorities attempted to counteract Russian authorities’ continued efforts to strengthen control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP).

The disproportionate financial burden of Russian force generation efforts continues to fall primarily on Russian regional governments’ budgets, prompting public backlash.

Financial and bureaucratic issues are continuing to hinder Russian efforts to replenish formerly elite units defending critical areas of the front line, potentially threatening the integrity of Russian defenses in occupied parts of Ukraine.

Russian occupation authorities in Kherson Oblast may be trying to force residents out of the western part of the oblast by cutting communications on the west bank of the Dnipro River.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30521 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:58 pm to
A long (15 min) compilation of Russian state TV clips talking about the US elections as well as the idea of negotiations. As you surely have noticed I am fascinated by the Russian talking heads.

While I am not surprised at their focus on US politics I am surprised at how much time they devote to it. These clips were from yesterday and they of course mention MTG. They refer to her as the "leader of the Republicans In Congress.

YT
This post was edited on 11/8/22 at 9:50 pm
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20974 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 8:58 pm to
Something to keep in mind ahead of tonight's election results: there will likely be a lame-duck session of Congress where Democrats try to pass lots of stuff before Republicans are sworn in in January.

There's been discussion of a $50 billion aid bill to Ukraine, to basically take care of Ukraine's needs for the next year. McConnell is in favor of it, so there wouldn't b a Senate filibuster. It would remove any doubt about US support to Ukraine, instead of leaving it up to the next Congress to decide.
Posted by Royal
God's Country
Member since Apr 2009
1039 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

Meanwhile the poliboard has her penciled in as the 2024 VP candidate.


Posted by NPComb
Member since Jan 2019
28502 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:36 pm to
quote:

As I said, the more Israel and Iran are dragged into the conflict, the more GOP support there will be.



That would be awesome huh bruh
Posted by NPComb
Member since Jan 2019
28502 posts
Posted on 11/8/22 at 11:39 pm to
quote:

Meanwhile the poliboard has her penciled in as the 2024 VP candidate.


Really? Prove it.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4397 posts
Posted on 11/9/22 at 12:05 am to
quote:

The disproportionate financial burden of Russian force generation efforts continues to fall primarily on Russian regional governments’ budgets, prompting public backlash.
We know that 'public backlash' in Russia isn't taken seriously by anyone. However the Regional politicians may now be seriously discussing the advantages of independence from Moscow. The only disadvantage to independence is now 70% dead and destroyed in the mud of the Donbas.
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