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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:15 pm to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16161 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:15 pm to
Actually a quote from Peter Zeihan the new YouTube Geopolitical sensation
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
12652 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:15 pm to
quote:

It will be interesting to see if Ukraine can maintain the pressure in the south while simultaneously bringing enough combat power somewhere else to make an impact. Part of me wonders if that's the plan, the south is a feint to draw Russian combat power away from other fronts.


Looks like Ukraine is content to systematically take out as much of the supply routes and ammo depots as they can for the time being. Russia is digging in, and has not been advancing much.

Ukraine has superior long range artillery available to them. There is no clear reason why they would deviate from this approach unless the situation changes on the ground.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16161 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:16 pm to
This clip never gets old
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16161 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

The only thing the Russians would have to stop the Ukrainians from reaching Melitopol would be 1 reserve mechanized brigade and 1 reserve BTG made up of T62s


Is Melitopol better as a center of underground resistance as it has been from day one of being occupied? then again they deserved to be freed of the Orc occupation.
Posted by Kentucker
Rabbit Hash, KY
Member since Apr 2013
20055 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

The Russians have announced that the Antonivka Road Bridge in Kherson Oblast will be opened for traffic next week.


The Ukrainians have announced that the Antonivka Road Bridge in Kherson Oblast will be closed for traffic again next week.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
45761 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:26 pm to
quote:

The pentagon was saying last week that they think Russia is devoting in the ballpark of 85% of its conventional military resources to the war in Ukraine. I can't imagine Russia has much to offer, but I don't know much about that particular conflict.



IDK know much about the Armenia - Azerbaijan conflict either. However, I do believe that Russia is using the vast majority of its regular military might. However, I do find it interesting that Russia is recruiting a lot of its "reserve volunteer" battalions from central and eastern Russia.



These areas are much more sparsely populated and there is a lot of oil and natural gas in those regions.



I know that what I am about to say is far fetched and also the plot of a Tom Clancy novel. However, China does have a large military and all of Russia's east west rail lines and highways do run through the city of Omsk. Kazakstan and Turkistan are not happy with Russia about Russia's claims of "Greater Russia" and they are really not happy about Russia stopping some of its oil and gas flow to China through Russian pipelines. I wonder what China, Kazakstan, and Turkistan would think about all that oil and gas sitting in Siberia while Russia has pulled most of its combat power out of Asia and into Europe. They would not even have to defeat Russia. Take Omsk which is less than 200 km from the Kazakstan border and they would bring Russia to its knees. I am not saying that it would happen, but it is interesting to think about.
Posted by nitwit
Member since Oct 2007
13094 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:27 pm to
I’m pretty sure the Ukrainians will not repeat the shelling of this bridge after the Russians have been required to go to the trouble of repairing it.
That would be poor form and unsportsmanlike.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
16161 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:39 pm to
Russian moved a lot of units from the Far East already. China is happy to now have Russia as a vassal state dependent on it without having to the cost of taking the East
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
45761 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:41 pm to
quote:

It will be interesting to see if Ukraine can maintain the pressure in the south while simultaneously bringing enough combat power somewhere else to make an impact.

Part of me wonders if that's the plan, the south is a feint to draw Russian combat power away from other fronts.



It's not shown on the map but my former roommate who is now a Podpolkovnik (lieutenant colonel) in the UKGF has been in Dnipro for months training new tankers. He says that there are hundreds of tanks and 200,000 or more troops waiting to deploy. They are waiting on an opportunity to present itself (because from Dnipro the lead units can arrive at the southern front, eastern front, or the Kharkiv front within 36 hours of getting the orders to move) and waiting on some more SAM systems to be redeployed from Kyiv once they are replaced by the NASAMs that the USA is sending. According to my former roommate, the Kherson part of the southern front is bunching up and is not a place for tanks due to the maze of rivers and marshes, but the area Zapaorizhzia is good ground for tanks. He is itching to get some more Ukrainian fighter jets or SAMs down there because he wants to be deployed there. I talked to him yesterday and he said "if they deploy us (meaning the troops around Dnipro) to Zaporizhzia then we can break through up and get behind the Russians in Kherson in and butt frick them or go straight for the grand prize of Crimea."
This post was edited on 8/3/22 at 6:13 pm
Posted by aTmTexas Dillo
East Texas Lake
Member since Sep 2018
24291 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:43 pm to
quote:

and butt frick them or go straight for the grand prize of Crimea."

I think Ivan would use tactical nukes if that is attempted.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
45761 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:47 pm to
quote:

Russian moved a lot of units from the Far East already. China is happy to now have Russia as a vassal state dependent on it without having to the cost of taking the East



Turkistan and Kazakstan are not happy about being Russian vassal states when Russia stops them from bringing their oil and gas to market. Hell they do not even have to invade. Just get China to agree to some "military drills" with Kazakstan near the Kazakstan and Russian border and Russia would have to pull troops from Ukraine which might be all that is needed to bring down Putin. However, like I said it is far fetched and most likely will not happen, but it is interesting to think about.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
45761 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

and butt frick them or go straight for the grand prize of Crimea."

I think Ivan would use tactical nukes if that is attempted.



They would have to because they would be nothing to stop the Ukrainians if they broke through. Which is probably why the Ukies will decided to attack there and then turn and DP the Russians in Kherson.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
45761 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 5:52 pm to
quote:

I’m pretty sure the Ukrainians will not repeat the shelling of this bridge after the Russians have been required to go to the trouble of repairing it.
That would be poor form and unsportsmanlike.



You are right. They will target the other lane of the bridge this time.
Posted by Palmetto98
Where the stars are big and bright
Member since Nov 2021
2145 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 6:17 pm to
WE GONNA WINNN
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5753 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

They will target the other lane of the bridge this time.


Need to give the repairs a HIMARS stress test though.
Posted by cypher
Member since Sep 2014
5753 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 6:30 pm to
Breaking on twitter....

Explosions are reported from the side of the Antonovsky railway bridge across the Dnieper near Kherson.
#Kherson #Ukraine



Twitter
Posted by Chromdome35
Fast lane, behind a slow driver
Member since Nov 2010
8189 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 6:31 pm to
Evidently you are the only Russian bot that is still getting a check
Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13167 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 6:54 pm to
quote:

Evidently you are the only Russian bot that is still getting a check


He's just another stupid troll. Even the Russians wouldn't pay him.
Posted by PrecedentedTimes
Member since Dec 2020
3128 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 7:08 pm to
They really thought they’d hold off after damaging only one side lmaoooo
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
49830 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 7:13 pm to
Target number 1
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