re: Idaho Murders Thread (Links inside)

quote:

---

I just don't get how he is so confident he would be exonerated

---

I hate responding to quotes from so many pages back without catching up (I think this was posted on 105 and we’re now up to 118), but I’ve seen this posted a couple of times the past few pages and wanted to ask why anybody actually believes he is confident he will be exonerated.

Because his attorney said it? His parents? Or did he actually say it in court? (I was on the road until midnight last night, but did see a snippet of him answering questions from the judge about his charges and possible penalties). Regardless, his parents may still be in denial and confident of exoneration, but there is zero chance ol Bryan and his attorney are. They know he’s right fricked, no matter what they actually say.

Now, he might not have known just how fricked he was until he got back to Idaho yesterday—that’s why he waived extradition, he wanted to get back so he could read the probable cause affidavit and see just how fricked he was. He’s probably been sweating that sheath like a fricking madman, trying to convince himself it was anywhere besides at the scene. And maybe that worked since nothing about the sheath ever came out until yesterday. Same with several things we—and Bryan—didn’t find out until the unsealing. He may have actually been confident when arrested in PA, but by the time he got back to Moscow and read that affidavit, his “Oof” level must have been off the charts.

Speaking of which, I think law enforcement did a fantastic job with either not releasing info or releasing misleading info to possibly give him a false sense of security. They could have done a better job of communicating with the 1 dad at 1st—not telling him more, just doing a better job of explaining why they couldn’t tell him more. I think the ISL or FBI probably brought in a more experienced liaison for the family, maybe better explained their strategy, and he finally realized he needed to stfu a bit.

I wonder how much the FBI’s BAU played a part in this. If you’ve seen Criminal Minds, you know that’s their Behavioral Analysis Unit that is sometimes invited in by local law enforcement and creates the profiles on potential killers. I know a lot of people just think about when they get it wrong (Richard Jewel, DTL), but I’ve been kinda fascinated with it since I read the book Mindhunter back in the mid-late 90s (book Netflix show based on) and think some of their profiling can be absolutely incredible. I just don’t think we see their “wins,” so we only remember things like DTL’s white truck miss.

And we may never know, but I bet they had a pretty accurate profile on ol’ Bryan and put out some things that were either red herrings or straight up lies: 1) the timeline seems to have shifted 30-45 minutes later than 1st reported and assumed until yesterday, 2) that they were all asleep when killed, 3) that the bottom floor roommates slept through it and didn’t see or hear anything, 4) that the Elantra was an ‘11-‘13 model (it was a ‘15, but that could simply have been a mistake), 5) that they didn’t ask for white Elantra tips from the public until 12/7, but were talking about it in LEO circles as early as 11/23(?), 6) “Food Truck Guy”, 7) “I told Adam everything” video, 8) local detectives were amateurs, waited too long to call in the ISP and FBI and fricked up the crime scene, etc…

Back to point of my post: I bet they had him nailed pretty good as far as what kind of person would have done this (huge narcissistic sociopath), and I think they eliminated people close to them almost immediately. And a lot of what was released in press conferences or leaked to news sources—especially after they knew who he was but didn’t have enough yet to charge—was done more to lull him into a false sense of security to see if he’d frick up than to give the public accurate information.

So if he was following along, he probably did feel confident he’d be exonerated, because it appeared they had nothing substantial on him. But then he read the affidavit yesterday and realized he’s properly fricked. There is zero chance he believes that now. He’s fricked and has no leverage if the DA (with the parents’ blessings) decides to go after the death penalty (I’m behind—has there been any mention of this?). He has nothing to bargain with for a plea deal that keeps that off the table.

That's a Hot take, Carl.

quote:

---

baldona

---

quote:

---

He made a 1700 mile journey by car back to PA. He could have disposed of it at any point along the way.

---

Father: "Son, what's that?"

Bryan: "A knife, dad."

Father: "Where'd you get it? And what for? It looks massive..."

Bryan: "It isn't important. Hold the wheel for me, will ya, Pop?"

(Bryan rolls down window and throws 12in. knife out the window).

Or hey pops I’m gonna stop here and grab some gas. Mind pumping while I run in and drop a deuce?

Sure son

Walks inside with back pack, buries the knife in trash.

Tons of ways to dispose of it along the way without arousing pop’s suspicion

quote:

---

He made a 1700 mile journey by car back to PA. He could have disposed of it at any point along the way.

---

That's risky though - the murder weapon is a massive smoking gun. You don't want to hold on to it for more than a month.

"Leave the gun, take the cannoli" is for a reason.

quote:

---

Except when they announced they were looking for a Ka-Bar style knife about 3 days after the murder.

---

I'm sure you guys will downvote me for this, but I don't believe its 100% a Ka-Bar knife that was used. Just as you said, that style and rough size. I have knives in improper sheaths, is all I'm alluding to.

If this guy had half a brain, someone might consider leaving BS evidence to throw the police off like the wrong sheath. But we can likely agree he's just a dumbass and he probably bought it with a CC a month ago online and shipped it to his house.

The timing of the door dash is interesting. I wonder if during his stakeouts, he realized someone ordered door dash a lot around that time of night and thought that if he did the killing immediately after the delivery, cops would try and pin it on the delivery driver. The time between the delivery and the murders is strangely close.

Also, I hope they televise the trial. Will be a popular one for sure.

quote:

---

I mean... it could be him. Or it could be about 1/8 of the rest of the population.

---

The one I saw showed his profile. That nose is pretty distinguishable.

quote:

---

the affidavit said he did not return to Moscow after the day after the murder.

---

I thought it said that his specific cell phone number in the search warrant hasn’t connected to any tower providing service to Moscow since that day.