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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:29 am to LegendInMyMind
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:29 am to LegendInMyMind
These I storms always over achieve.
I went to bed the IR looked like it was losing gas and wake up to a monster.
I went to bed the IR looked like it was losing gas and wake up to a monster.
0
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:29 am to VABuckeye
Driving in wind that's only going to increase is dangerous. Also potentially hitting road jams would be bad. At this point if you haven't evacuated I think it's better to stay and ride it out.
This post was edited on 9/28/22 at 7:31 am
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:30 am to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:30 am to VABuckeye
quote:
Storm surge is tonight.
quote:
Naples, FL
quote:
I'm thinking get the frick in the car and drive east.
yeah, GTFO. you're looking at upwards of 16 ft storm surge.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:31 am to ell_13
quote:
Posted right as recon found 160 mph sustained. *chefs kiss*
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:31 am to TH03
quote:
okay, real question. I got people in zephyrhills, about 30 miles almost straight NE of tampa, so that NW quadrant looks to go right through them. how bad are they fricked? they've got plenty of food/water/booze and a generator on 10ish acres with horses.
Honestly? Not very much as long as the heaviest rain stays just to their south. Wind shouldn't be too bad there. Power might go out.
At least they'll have an endless supply of bottled water in Zephyrhills.
This post was edited on 9/28/22 at 7:36 am
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:31 am to stout
Thanks stout.
We're supposed to be at peak winds here now. Sustained 50.
We're supposed to be at peak winds here now. Sustained 50.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:31 am to ell_13
I am so saddened by what is fixing to happen to Florida. It will look like a bulldozer went through where that eyewall first penetrates. Prays for the people that stayed.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:31 am to VABuckeye
quote:
Winds are 50. Storm surge is tonight. I'm thinking get the frick in the car and drive east. I know the wind is a danger.
Better to regret leaving when you didn't have to than regret staying when you should not have.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:32 am to SippyCup
quote:
Better to regret leaving when you didn't have to than regret staying when you should not have.
Amen
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:34 am to slackster
quote:
The storm is awful, and 155mph ain't much different than 156mph, but we don't have to wish it there when we can see the thing right in front of us.
quote:
Hurricane Hunter Recon is currently investigating Hurricane #Ian this morning. The results are pretty interesting.
Recon has found close to around 135-140kt flight-level winds in the Eyewall (subtract a bit for surface estimate).
137kts is Category 5.
quote:
#HurricaneIan #Hurricane #Ian Recon has MSLP pressure down to 933mb - CAT 5...
This post was edited on 9/28/22 at 7:35 am
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:34 am to CarolinaGamecock99
quote:
LINK stream is dead now
Sure are a hell of a lot of people still on the roads…maybe it’s all storm chasers..
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:34 am to SippyCup
Amen brother. My threshold is anything above a 2 and I’m out. And it depends on the characteristics of the 2. I might leave for that as well.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:34 am to ell_13
quote:
Posted right as recon found 160 mph sustained. *chefs kiss*
Those drops were flagged, FYI, but regardless, I'm talking about the central pressure.
Again, this is all relative - 3-4 hours ago this thing was dropping 2mb per hour, and that has since leveled off. 3-4 hours ago the winds on Ian increased 15mph in 1 hour, that has since leveled off. To argue otherwise is asinine.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:34 am to VABuckeye
Did you check the maps for surge at your address?
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:35 am to TH03
This is going to be really really bad
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:35 am to SippyCup
quote:
Better to regret leaving when you didn't have to than regret staying when you should not have.
Wut? Flooding/ surge/ water kills more people than anything. If you aren’t in an area water flooding will get above your house then leaving in the middle of a storm is statistically idiotic.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:36 am to TH03
Damn.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 7:37 am to baldona
quote:
Wut? Flooding/ surge/ water kills more people than anything. If you aren’t in an area water flooding will get above your house then leaving in the middle of a storm is statistically idiotic.
But he is in or is very close to a surge area. Driving in 50 mph winds is better than floating out.
This post was edited on 9/28/22 at 7:38 am
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