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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:31 pm to
Posted by paperwasp
23x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
26717 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

wouldn't that be more like wed night/early thurs?

Hard to tell, but it seems pretty consistent with the slow-moving GFS positioning during that timeframe.

Honestly, the erotic nature of it threw me so much, it was hard to focus on details.
Posted by Bengalbio
Tampa, FL
Member since Feb 2017
1807 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

You're in that tricky/uncomfortable phase where you're going to have to explain to your family that you're getting your info and updates from a thread on the OT at a place called Tiger Droppings. They may ask for a link to check out the source themselves. Don't give it to them, it is for the best.


shite, accidentally downvoted this post. Forgive me.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

12z HMON would be an absolute disaster for tampa


That isnt the first model ive said the same about this afternoon.
Posted by paperwasp
23x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
26717 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

accidentally downvoted

Refresh the page, upvote his post, refresh again.
Posted by Ronb
Member since Feb 2020
212 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:33 pm to
There is a cone.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
14062 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

There is a cone.



waffle or sugar?
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
31976 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

Philip Klotzbach
@philklotzbach
·
24m
#Ian continues to strengthen and now has maximum sustained winds of 85 mph - the strongest September #hurricane in the western (west of 75°W) Caribbean since Ike (2008).
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 1:39 pm
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
86560 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:35 pm to
The rain is going to absolutely frick some of the homes in surrounding neighborhoods like Shore Acres and whatnot. Streets and yards flood during bad thunderstorms.
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
40505 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:37 pm to
That's a pretty good cone. Thanks goodness for the Lord's fan blowing this thing away from LA.
Posted by paperwasp
23x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
26717 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:39 pm to
quote:


Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
24346 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

waffle or sugar?


Are you insane?



Obviously, waffle.
Posted by Spoonbilla
Member since Aug 2022
874 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

I must not be communist enough. It says the site can't be reached.


Oops. My bad. The communist run site can't take more than 2 users at a time. You can do this hour and I will try again later.
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 1:44 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 1:53 pm to
And the euro lines up with the GFS this afternoon. On the scenario I was hoping itd avoid.
Posted by SippyCup
Gulf Coast
Member since Sep 2008
6508 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

And the euro lines up with the GFS this afternoon. On the scenario I was hoping itd avoid.




Amazing how far apart they were last week and now almost identical tracks.
Posted by Y.A. Tittle
Member since Sep 2003
107355 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

quote:
And the euro lines up with the GFS this afternoon. On the scenario I was hoping itd avoid.



Amazing how far apart they were last week and now almost identical tracks.


I mean, it sort of makes sense that eventually more and more of the unknown variables will start to fall into place.
Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
31976 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

And the euro lines up with the GFS this afternoon. On the scenario I was hoping itd avoid.



That stall seems very concerning.
Posted by paperwasp
23x HRV tRant Poster of the Week
Member since Sep 2014
26717 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:11 pm to
Ocean Heat Content
quote:


Posted by Bobby OG Johnson
Member since Apr 2015
31976 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

NWS Tampa Bay
@NWSTampaBay

PREPARE NOW for Hurricane #Ian!

What should you prepare for?

* Hurricane/TS conditions depending where you are

* Widespread flooding 10-15 in. near the coast

* 5-10 ft storm surge

* A few tornadoes possible
Should be wrapping up preparation by Tuesday afternoon!




Posted by LSU82BILL
Fort Lauderdale, FL
Member since Sep 2006
10605 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

Never one that has shot straight into Tampa Bay. Been in a ton of big storms but almost all of them in central florida.


Tampa/St. Pete dodged a huge bullet in 2004 when Charley rapidly intensified and took a last minute turn into Punta Gorda. At the time it was a top 10 in strongest hurricanes to make landfall in the US.
Posted by ColoradoAg03
Denver, CO
Member since Oct 2012
6421 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 2:13 pm to
Friends in Seminole and St Pete’s Beach are preparing to leave.
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