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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread
Posted on 8/23/23 at 12:28 pm to TimeOutdoors
Posted on 8/23/23 at 12:28 pm to TimeOutdoors
quote:
Did anyone really think we would not have a hurricane the first weekend of SEC football?
Especially if you make up a storm that isn't there. I still don't know what that guy was seeing.
0
Posted on 8/23/23 at 12:30 pm to purple18
quote:
3 major global models put a storm in the gulf around August 29-31. I’d take a weak hurricane at this point
Not to jinx it, but I checked the models this morning but did this fizzle out like the other Gulf wet dreams this season.
Posted on 8/23/23 at 12:32 pm to Tarps99
quote:
Not to jinx it, but I checked the models this morning but did this fizzle out like the other Gulf wet dreams this season.
When that was posted last night there was no real sign of a storm in the Gulf during the timeframe mentioned. It was a strange post.
Posted on 8/23/23 at 12:46 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
When that was posted last night there was no real sign of a storm in the Gulf during the timeframe mentioned. It was a strange post.
I know Levi had mentioned it at the end of his video yesterday, where a plume of moisture or wave axis over Central America had the potential to move north when a trough over the eastern US would dip down. But the models are showing the moisture but no clear organization along the trough.
Then you have the clickbait wannabes or TV people that hone in the possibility of development side to make things appear larger than they actually are.
Here is to you Chris Franklin at WWL or their webmaster that kept that click bait headline on their webpage.
Posted on 8/23/23 at 12:49 pm to Tarps99
GET THIS GODDAMN HEAT DOME OFF OF US!!! frick!
Posted on 8/23/23 at 12:55 pm to BananaManCan
quote:
GET THIS GODDAMN HEAT DOME OFF OF US!!! frick!
quote:
BananaManCan't
Posted on 8/23/23 at 12:59 pm to rds dc
I feel good as we get closer to Aug 29th without seeing any threats out there. Rita was a few weeks later in September though.
Posted on 8/23/23 at 1:03 pm to Tarps99
quote:
But the models are showing the moisture but no clear organization along the trough.
Which is why you can't say that "three major global models" are showing a storm in the Gulf at the end of the month.
Posted on 8/23/23 at 1:07 pm to LegendInMyMind
If nothing picks up soon these tv stations are gonna have to lay off some of their cone movers.
Posted on 8/23/23 at 5:27 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
quote:
But the models are showing the moisture but no clear organization along the trough.
Which is why you can't say that "three major global models" are showing a storm in the Gulf at the end of the month.
Really, only the Euro shows a legit system, and it handles the upper levels differently than the other models. Euro has a favorable upper-level setup, while the GFS has a hostile one. Canadian and ICON are kind of in the middle. Good thing the Euro has been trash this season.
ETA: The concern would be something like the western tracks on the Euro EPS. My guess is those develop slower/farther west, allowing them to miss the front and not get swept out across FL.
This post was edited on 8/23/23 at 5:33 pm
Posted on 8/23/23 at 6:35 pm to rds dc
Northwestern Caribbean Sea: An area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea. Some slow development of this system
is possible over the weekend and early next week while it moves
slowly northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
This post was edited on 8/23/23 at 6:37 pm
Posted on 8/23/23 at 6:36 pm to lsuman25
This post was edited on 8/23/23 at 6:38 pm
Posted on 8/23/23 at 7:16 pm to lsuman25
What do you weather guys think about the professional weather analyst Ryan Hall? Is he reputable enough or should I take what he says with a grain of salt? Here’s his video for today talking about the collapse of the heat dome early next week plus the tropics.
Ring of Fire-Ryan Hall
Ring of Fire-Ryan Hall
Posted on 8/23/23 at 7:17 pm to rds dc
Posted on 8/23/23 at 7:37 pm to rds dc
I like the one where the Cat 3+ just parks off of Mobile Bay. That ought to be interesting!
Posted on 8/23/23 at 7:38 pm to sledgehammer
Don’t like that guy. he exaggerates for clicks
Posted on 8/23/23 at 7:43 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
Don’t like that guy. he exaggerates for clicks
I watch all his videos and yeah, he exaggerates, but most of the info is pretty good.
Posted on 8/23/23 at 9:02 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
I never heard of this man and I personally know a shite ton of meteorologists. The heat dome will break down because no upper level pattern stays static indefinitely.
My advice would be to listen to Dr. Levi Cowan.
My advice would be to listen to Dr. Levi Cowan.
Posted on 8/23/23 at 9:04 pm to rds dc
quote:
allowing them to miss the front
Did you say…FRONT!?!?
Posted on 8/23/23 at 9:25 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Did you say…FRONT!?!?
Don’t get excited. It’s just another hot front.
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