- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Season Thread - Hurricane Beryl in the Atlantic
Posted on 7/5/18 at 10:19 am to rowbear1922
Posted on 7/5/18 at 10:19 am to rowbear1922
He gone. Burned an alter on little old me.
0
Posted on 7/5/18 at 10:31 am to Cosmo
leaving for Punta Cana Monday morning! FML! 
Posted on 7/5/18 at 10:37 am to rds dc
Damn, that is an impressively narrow cone of uncertainty. Kick arse weather science baws!
This post was edited on 7/5/18 at 10:37 am
Posted on 7/5/18 at 10:45 am to ksdolfan
Should be fine? Pretty much general consensus this thing is going to be torn apart.
Posted on 7/5/18 at 10:45 am to rds dc
TD2 is an interesting little system but it should be short lived given the combo of dry air, cooler than normal water temps, suppression and shear.
There are a number of different atmospheric waves that move across the tropics and they all play roles in modulating tropical convection. An atmospheric Kelvin wave just moved across the Atlantic and that likely kick started TD2 but it will also inhibit the system in the future. Think of the blue contours as rising air and the red as sinking:
The suppressed (red contours) phase of the Kelvin wave will move over the system over the next few days. Shear will also increase as the system moves closer to the Islands.
If that wasn't bad enough, the system will also be dealing with a lot of dry air:
Notice the difference in the clouds and haze on either side of the red line, this matches up well with the current GFS:
Then on top of all of that, waters are cooler than normal:
All of that said, the system is currently in a low shear environment and could intensify more than expected in the short term but weakening before the Islands looks like a sure bet.
There are a number of different atmospheric waves that move across the tropics and they all play roles in modulating tropical convection. An atmospheric Kelvin wave just moved across the Atlantic and that likely kick started TD2 but it will also inhibit the system in the future. Think of the blue contours as rising air and the red as sinking:
The suppressed (red contours) phase of the Kelvin wave will move over the system over the next few days. Shear will also increase as the system moves closer to the Islands.
If that wasn't bad enough, the system will also be dealing with a lot of dry air:
Notice the difference in the clouds and haze on either side of the red line, this matches up well with the current GFS:
Then on top of all of that, waters are cooler than normal:
All of that said, the system is currently in a low shear environment and could intensify more than expected in the short term but weakening before the Islands looks like a sure bet.
Posted on 7/5/18 at 11:07 am to rds dc
quote:
All of that said, the system is currently in a low shear environment and could intensify more than expected in the short term but weakening before the Islands looks like a sure bet.
Posted on 7/5/18 at 11:09 am to rds dc
Those charts and science are all well and good. But I’ll wait for PJs opinion.
Posted on 7/5/18 at 11:22 am to rds dc
quote:
Then on top of all of that, waters are cooler than normal:
damn global warming
(sorry... had to)
Posted on 7/5/18 at 1:54 pm to rt3
Now Tropical Storm Beryl.
Posted on 7/5/18 at 1:55 pm to GEAUXmedic
What's the idea behind reusing obscure-as-frick names like "Beryl"
Posted on 7/5/18 at 1:57 pm to GEAUXmedic
We're good.
Posted on 7/5/18 at 2:37 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
What's the idea behind reusing obscure-as-frick names like "Beryl"
Storms should only be given some generic designation, and not named until after the fact, and only if they are worthy of a name. If named, they should be given a cool name. Hurricane Katrina should be "Hurricane Bitch" or "Hurricane MegaDeath 05."
This post was edited on 7/5/18 at 2:38 pm
Posted on 7/6/18 at 7:49 am to GEAUXmedic
I'll be in Jamaica Wednesday; hoping Hurricane Beryl isn't planning on the same itinerary.
Posted on 7/6/18 at 8:14 am to RougeDawg
Once again...it looks like Haiti is gonna take it in the arse.
Punta Cana vacations also appear in jeopardy.
Punta Cana vacations also appear in jeopardy.
This post was edited on 7/6/18 at 8:36 am
Posted on 7/6/18 at 9:15 am to udtiger
This is now a hurricane.
Posted on 7/6/18 at 9:16 am to BigB0882
First hurricane of the season. Panic time.
Time for people to start giving their gut feelings on this thing.
OP needs to get his shite together and update.
Time for people to start giving their gut feelings on this thing.
OP needs to get his shite together and update.
This post was edited on 7/6/18 at 9:17 am
Posted on 7/6/18 at 9:17 am to Cosmo
It's coming straight for me in South Carolina! 
Posted on 7/6/18 at 9:18 am to Cosmo
Gut feeling Beryl gets eviscerated by shear in the next few days.
Posted on 7/6/18 at 9:20 am to Cosmo
quote:
needs to get his shite together and update.
Needs a new thread. This one started about a disturbance near the northern gulf coast.
Posted on 7/6/18 at 9:22 am to TheFonz
quote:
Hurricane MegaDeath 05
Maybe that will get people to evacuate
Page 3 of 5
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News