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Posted on 8/14/21 at 4:22 pm to Duke
Well frick.. and thanks
Posted on 8/14/21 at 4:24 pm to Tower_Tiger12
Note the rds post above, the other major model shows a much more hostile environment for a storm. So a good bit of split still on intensity.
Posted on 8/14/21 at 4:46 pm to Duke
GFS just started, for anyone wanting to jump in on this clown show. 
Posted on 8/14/21 at 4:50 pm to SWLA92
Where do y’all plant and how many acres? Hope you get it all in.
Posted on 8/14/21 at 4:54 pm to Oates Mustache
Where are people watching the most recent models when y’all say stuff like this. Like “GFS is running and it’s not looking good.” Where is all that located
Posted on 8/14/21 at 4:54 pm to tiger91
Jeff Davis Parish. Around 2,000 acres. Thank you
This post was edited on 8/14/21 at 4:55 pm
Posted on 8/14/21 at 4:55 pm to Jvalhenson
Tropical tidbits or pivotal weather
Posted on 8/14/21 at 4:56 pm to Jvalhenson
Tropical tidbits is typically where I go.
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:00 pm to Duke
Looking at the GFS at hour 54, Fred is headed NE through the panhandle creating a weakness for sure. Will that be there by the time Grace starts her journey?
At 72 hours no, nope, it fills back in quick.
At 72 hours no, nope, it fills back in quick.
This post was edited on 8/14/21 at 5:02 pm
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:00 pm to SWLA92
Elton native here. Hope you get it all in.
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:01 pm to Oates Mustache
So far gfs trending toward weaker solution for Grace
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:02 pm to deltaland
Grace is going to be the system this year that gives us high blood pressure and gives forecasters ulcers.
And so far on this run, Fred 2.0. Let's see where she finishes.
And so far on this run, Fred 2.0. Let's see where she finishes.
This post was edited on 8/14/21 at 5:06 pm
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:07 pm to Oates Mustache
at 96 hours, the GFS sends Grace to her grave. Absolutely ridiculous so far from the previous run.
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:08 pm to rds dc
quote:
The one thing to watch, those tracks that lift north of the islands are stronger, while the weaker members are generally westward across the islands. Given what recon found, the weaker solutions are probably favored at this point.
18z GFS much weaker, recon data probably resulted in the DA cycle producing more realistic initial conditions.
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:12 pm to rds dc
Hurricane center missed this by at least 200 miles from just a day ago. They need to quit guessing.
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:12 pm to rds dc
quote:
18z GFS much weaker
Either DR or something else pulls a Dikembe Mutombo on Grace
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:18 pm to tigerbutt
quote:
Hurricane center missed this by at least 200 miles from just a day ago. They need to quit guessing.
quote:
Posted by OysterPoBoy online on 8/11/21 at 8:03 pm to lsuman25 quote: way west I’ve been saying for 3 days. This is not a Florida storm. #westerncreep
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:20 pm to Oates Mustache
What's left of Grace's energy is shunted off west over the Yucatan and into the extreme southern Gulf of Mexico. So, not a total bust of her last run, but definitely wildly different intensity solutions.
Posted on 8/14/21 at 5:30 pm to Oates Mustache
And just like that, the GFS done goofed. Sends the remaining energy into Central/South Mexico.
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