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re: Hurricane Season - NHC 92L in BOC 90%
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:05 am to trussthetruzz
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:05 am to trussthetruzz
Yep literally the spaghetti models are honed in from Terrebonne to Gulfport, with one outlier around Gulf Shores.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:09 am to LegendInMyMind
Just noticed it got much tighter with it's models
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:11 am to purple18
I will continue to rely on the talisman that is my Kohler whole house generator. It has kept LA clear of severe tropical systems and ice storms since I installed it 2+ years ago.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:13 am to rds dc
GFS and EURO wind shear on Saturday
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:14 am to lesthemadhatter
quote:
I believe these models were some of if not the most accurate during last year's hurricane season.
I'm not sure this ever really matters. One can be more accurate one hurricane, and another next. I don't think betting on the same one being most accurate twice in a row is a good bet. There's just so many variables.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:15 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
I’ll suck your dick if we get a hurricane this week.
Will you spit or swallow?
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:15 am to lesthemadhatter
So, for the baws that are wishcrafting for rain north of I-10 in the drought areas of Louisiana, will be disappointed.
They dusty dry.
They dusty dry.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:16 am to lesthemadhatter
The thing is there’s not one model that’s more reliable than the others. They all have been right over the years at one point. Then they’ve all been wrong alot of times. But when you have a model like the Google model 150 miles east of the spaghetti models it needs to be disregarded as an outlier.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:16 am to baldona
I understand but over an entire season it was the most accurate not just one hurricane.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:22 am to DVinBR
What's that mean for somebody that doesn't know shite about weather?
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:28 am to SWLA92
Deepmind is very similar to the HMNI though. It's not like it's in a world of its own.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:28 am to NussBusDriver
Darker colors of red and yellow mean shear which shreds storms apart. The blue is less to no shear which would help strengthen a system
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:35 am to SWLA92
quote:
Darker colors of red and yellow mean shear which shreds storms apart. The blue is less to no shear which would help strengthen a system
So those models mostly show an environment for the storm getting shredded apart?
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:35 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
suck your dick if we get a hurricane this week.
Hey moron, it doesnt have to be a hurricane to frick up people's schedule, or games, etc
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:36 am to trussthetruzz
quote:That makes sense.
I guess. But notice they haven't posted this mornings updated GEFS and EPS which shifted west and have FL landfalls as outliers
I’m sure they have created a ton of engagements ignoring those.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:37 am to lesthemadhatter
quote:
I understand but over an entire season it was the most accurate not just one hurricane.
This comment isn't so much about weather models, but models in general. When one particular model seems to become more accurate than others, it is typically because that model picks up on a certain variable, trait, or how events are weighed more than the others. If contemporary conditions are in line with that emphasis, that particular model will do a better job. For instance, models that weigh past trends heavier relative to independent variables are less likely to pick up new disturbances or events capable of shifting predictions.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:37 am to rds dc
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:38 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
I’ll suck your dick if we get a hurricane this week.
I did not have homosexual erotic thoughts out loud by OysterPoBoy on my hurricane thread bingo card.
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:38 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Please be the orange spaghetti!
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