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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:09 am to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:09 am to GEAUXmedic
We still look at landfall as a cat 1 south of New Orleans Saturday around midnight?
2
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:10 am to GEAUXmedic
thx GEAUX 
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:11 am to TDsngumbo
i caught that before the edit
well played, sir
well played, sir
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 8:11 am
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:12 am to TDsngumbo
Looks like a slight eastern jog compared to yesterday on the NHC models. That might put BR out of harm's way altogether.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:13 am to tgrbaitn08
This storm isn't even in the Gulf yet, I find it hard to pinpoint anything. The track will probably move east again, depending on who is on duty @ NHC, simply cause the models moved east, same as yesterday when they moved west. We had days of models showing an eastern solution, then we had 24 hours of trends showing a western solution. Now, it's back east, at this point you have to ask yourself if the trends even matter yet, with so many variables at play. This is a situation to just prepare in case it comes here, and wait for better information.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 8:14 am
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:14 am to GEAUXmedic
I like how they are showing storm surge for false River.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:14 am to Black
IMO you don't want people to be able to blame you (however misguided that would be) for being caught away from home if this thing does do some damage. End the tournament a couple hours early so your members can be on their way home 12-1 and have time to do what they need to.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:15 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
I'll quote one of our meteorologists.
quote:
Until the EURO jumps more east, then I wouldn't pay much attention to it. All of the model runs that went east are based off the GFS grid.
Yea, that is what I would say, EPS is pretty tight as well.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:16 am to Black
Water will be high as giraffe vagina making it very easy to access private waters. I'd cancel to eliminate the temptation.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:17 am to iamAG
models trending slightly east. BR probably won't get severe effects the way its looking now. Also it looks like the system will not strengthen significantly so a weakish T.S. east of you shouldn't be much of a problem. If of course the current model consensus on track and intensity play out.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:19 am to GEAUXmedic
Problem is I’m 4 hours away from home and I’m trying to time it right for when or if I need to head home.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:24 am to Capt ST
quote:
Water will be high as giraffe vagina
I can honestly say I have never read or heard that phrase before.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:26 am to rds dc
Also, models aren't shifting around a whole lot, so the east or west jogs probably don't mean too much right now. The center is obviously very broad this morning and when (or if) that tightens up the models should stabilize a bit. Also, the center is still embedded withing the CAG and will be influenced by that and the wave moving across the Gulf.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:26 am to t00f
What rock have you been living under?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:39 am to Black
quote:
i caught that before the edit
well played, sir
Thanks
! I've spent my fair share of time in banland and didn't want to go there again. I figured editing it was best 
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:44 am to tgrbaitn08
Yep... we are all having a hurricane party down here in plaquemines
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:48 am to rds dc
quote:
rds dc
If you have a moment, any idea why the 3k NAM is drastically different than the 12k and 32k versions?
ETA I understand it's not a hurricane model, but I find the huge difference to be pretty weird. 3k is much stronger and notably slower, but I'm not sure why. I thought the different runs were just different resolutions.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 8:50 am
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:50 am to Mr. Hangover
quote:
Yep... we are all having a hurricane party down here in plaquemines
stop pretending like you have friends.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:52 am to Mr. Hangover
quote:
we are all having a hurricane party down here in plaquemines
Please tell us you invited duke v. And please also tell us the plan is to make him go grab a beer from the ice chest down under your camp outside. And please PLEASE tell us the plan is to hurry and lock the door after he walks outside, letting nature handle itself.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:55 am to TDsngumbo
PJ is always welcome at the camp Just needs to keep his mouf shut with his damn weather predictions
Definitely wouldn’t let him get in the boat though
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