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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:24 am to slackster
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:24 am to slackster
Here's my deal....
I'm the president of our bass club and we are supposed to fish out of Bayou Black(Morgan City are for those not around here) this Saturday/Sunday. I know Sunday is a wash.
At what point on Saturday will we start experiencing the effects from the storm? Rain/wind gusts in particular. We are usually out of the water for 3. I'd hate to cancel a day if the rain and gusts won't really hit till Saturday evening.
I'm the president of our bass club and we are supposed to fish out of Bayou Black(Morgan City are for those not around here) this Saturday/Sunday. I know Sunday is a wash.
At what point on Saturday will we start experiencing the effects from the storm? Rain/wind gusts in particular. We are usually out of the water for 3. I'd hate to cancel a day if the rain and gusts won't really hit till Saturday evening.
6
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:27 am to Black
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:27 am to slackster
We'll have to watch and see if Nate can wrap the convection all the way around the center of circulation, but that may prove difficult since the center is pretty broad at the moment.
This is a relatively welcomed sight this morning. Nate's going to be on the doorstep of SE LA in 36 hours, so a ragged structure now will continue to lessen the chance for high-end development later.
This is a relatively welcomed sight this morning. Nate's going to be on the doorstep of SE LA in 36 hours, so a ragged structure now will continue to lessen the chance for high-end development later.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 6:28 am
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:31 am to Black
quote:
At what point on Saturday will we start experiencing the effects from the storm? Rain/wind gusts in particular. We are usually out of the water for 3. I'd hate to cancel a day if the rain and gusts won't really hit till Saturday evening.
How long do you need to call it off? The Morgan City area probably won't see anything drastic before 3PM on Saturday, and there is a decent chance areas to the west of Nate won't see anything at all. Here is the NAM model, for some reference:
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:33 am to Tornado Alley
7am, half an hour from now. No airport announcements yet.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:36 am to slackster
quote:
How long do you need to call it off?
Between 1 & 2 today
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:36 am to Black
Cancel it, let the guys stay home to storm prep.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:40 am to Black
Tell them it's still on, but if they'd like to sit out and prep for the hurricane you understand and you'll refund them? Is it possible? Just throwing things out.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:41 am to Black
In my non-expert opinion, I think areas west of MC will be in good shape throughout. I think you'll be okay to keep the tournament on, and we'll know more by 1PM today too, so check back then.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:45 am to GEAUXmedic
So the official track takes it across the mouth of the Mississippi River with a second landfall near Biloxi?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:49 am to Jake88
That's one of the possibilities in the official track
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:49 am to Jake88
Hurray for gulf shear
Posted on 10/6/17 at 6:54 am to Swagga
quote:
Tell them it's still on, but if they'd like to sit out and prep for the hurricane you understand and you'll refund them? Is it possible? Just throwing things out.
This is what I've told them to this point. I told them we would make a decision between 1 & 2, so i'll wait for a later model release and go from there
Posted on 10/6/17 at 7:06 am to Black
Center is still pretty broad. That's good news.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 7:52 am to slackster
quote:
Center is still pretty broad. That's good news.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 7:57 am to rds dc
rds what's causing the models to move back east? More input from the cold front?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:01 am to slackster
quote:It looks more like a tropical wave than a tropical storm.
Center is still pretty broad.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:03 am to 50_Tiger
quote:
rds what's causing the models to move back east? More input from the cold front?
I'll quote one of our meteorologists.
quote:
Until the EURO jumps more east, then I wouldn't pay much attention to it. All of the model runs that went east are based off the GFS grid.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:08 am to saintsfan92612
My work is freaking out. They acting like we are going to get slaughtered in Baton Rouge. I guess its possible, but they just scare everyone more than anything.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:08 am to Black
quote:
I'm the president of our bass club
quote:
Posted by
quote:
Black
Will. Not. Comment.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 8:09 am
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