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| Favorite team: | Houston Astros  |
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| Number of Posts: | 3517 |
| Registered on: | 8/10/2015 |
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It’s not foolproof, but to state that all things equal likelihood does change after so long of a number not hitting isn’t correct.
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re: Tell me if my thoughts on roulette are incorrect
Posted by iamAG on 6/13/18 at 10:47 am to johnnydrama
Not true when talking about probability of one number hitting. Over time when one number does not hit, the likelihood of that number hitting goes up.
Each spin you have a 1:38 chance to hit.
With each spin that does not hit the number you choose, the “probability” that the number you selected hits will go up. This is what probability is.
With each spin that does not hit the number you choose, the “probability” that the number you selected hits will go up. This is what probability is.
re: Tell me if my thoughts on roulette are incorrect
Posted by iamAG on 6/13/18 at 10:41 am to Chinese Bandit
That’s definitely how probability works. My math might be wrong because of the chance the same number can hit multiple times, but that’s what I’m asking.
That’s what I’m asking. Tell me how the probability is wrong.
re: Tell me if my thoughts on roulette are incorrect
Posted by iamAG on 6/13/18 at 10:38 am to HailToTheChiz
Well the zero percent probability is actually part of the 5.3 chance you don’t hit.
Tell me if my thoughts on roulette are incorrect
Posted by iamAG on 6/13/18 at 10:37 am
So for argument let’s use the $5 minimum for ease. Let’s also say you can/will spend $180.
They have 1-36 plus 0 and 00
This means 38 “opportunities”
If you played $5 on the same number for 36 times($180/5=36 hands you can play) you would have a 94.7% probability to at least win your money back. This obviously would mean that you would win more the “sooner” the number hit. Earlier would be more winnings and later would be less, but the probability that you’ll actually lose money would be only 5.3 probability.
Obviously with probability they always have a chance it can be off because the same number could hit multiple times throwing the “chance” off but the probability would be the same.
They have 1-36 plus 0 and 00
This means 38 “opportunities”
If you played $5 on the same number for 36 times($180/5=36 hands you can play) you would have a 94.7% probability to at least win your money back. This obviously would mean that you would win more the “sooner” the number hit. Earlier would be more winnings and later would be less, but the probability that you’ll actually lose money would be only 5.3 probability.
Obviously with probability they always have a chance it can be off because the same number could hit multiple times throwing the “chance” off but the probability would be the same.
His downvoter upset him so bad he stopped coming.
re: Levi Tillman (CO) wants to bring pepper spray to a gun fight
Posted by iamAG on 6/12/18 at 11:34 am to Federal Tiger
Pepper spray would work but how would you decide who is going to die spraying it?
Pepper spray sucks.
Pepper spray sucks.
That is one big cracker.
re: DAT 6/11: Off Day discussion
Posted by iamAG on 6/10/18 at 8:40 pm to McCaigBro69
Take this game away and he is still a dbag
I got downvoted for asking if he was projected to a&m so I’m sure you will as well.
re: Marcus Banks commits to LSU!!
Posted by iamAG on 6/10/18 at 10:38 am to TIGERsinceCONCEPTION
Wasn’t he projected to Texas a&m?
re: DAT 6/9: Astros (Morton) @ Rangers ( Minor) 6:15
Posted by iamAG on 6/10/18 at 10:31 am to Adam Banks
Yea when we drafted him I said the same thing. If this guy had a defensive position he would have been a top 10 pick. His bat is really good from what I have read. His only downfall is position. I trust the Astros to figure that out and if he flat out can’t field we have the dh.
re: High school coach never punts
Posted by iamAG on 6/9/18 at 11:57 pm to WPsportsman
What does this have to do with LSU? Also this was a major story.....3 years ago when all this media attention was given to it.
Beer has agreed to terms. Flying to Houston
For some reason I felt much more comfortable with Rodon even with two runners on than I do with Giles
re: DAT 6/9: Astros (Morton) @ Rangers ( Minor) 6:15
Posted by iamAG on 6/9/18 at 9:03 pm to texastiger38
I hope devo romdon
The cock has tuned back into the pea
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