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Started By
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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:01 pm to iluvlsusports
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:01 pm to iluvlsusports
quote:
I’m on the Tickfaw river
I’d be more worried about the urine/poop foam.
0
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:02 pm to GEAUXmedic
Im in Thibodaux. Will I be able to light the pit on Sunday?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:04 pm to iluvlsusports
For those wondering why it won't simply take off with rapid intensification:
Notice the wind barbs north of the center. They're due north of the storm yet they're still out of the SE when they should be out of the E only. There is convection all around Nate, but not all of it is part of Nate, if that makes sense.
Notice the wind barbs north of the center. They're due north of the storm yet they're still out of the SE when they should be out of the E only. There is convection all around Nate, but not all of it is part of Nate, if that makes sense.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:05 pm to Thib-a-doe Tiger
Hey guys, just wanted to be sure I should be putting all of my trust in Margaret Orr. She is so dreamy and level headed
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:06 pm to bee Rye
So euro won’t run again until 1245...correct? What about American?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:07 pm to bee Rye
quote:
Margaret Orr.
She will guide you through the emotional ups and downs as the storm closes in.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:09 pm to iamAG
GFS should be like 11 pm, probably in earlier given it's like 4 frames from landfall.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:11 pm to slackster
Slack, do you see this thing forming a significant eye before landfall?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:12 pm to slackster
Could the models be underestimating intensity? Chatter over at storm2k.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:12 pm to Duke
quote:
GFS should be like 11 pm, probably in earlier given it's like 4 frames from landfall.
, no shite. It was nice on the Euro at lunch to have a solution in 2 frames. Much better than waiting for an hour to find out where Maria/Irma were going. 
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:13 pm to Mr. Hangover
So someone on Medics site is now saying tad west of Mobile Bay.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:14 pm to t00f
link Geaux's site?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:15 pm to jlc05
quote:
Could the models be underestimating intensity? Chatter over at storm2k.
95% of posts on weather boards, this one included, think the models are underestimating intensity.
They believe that for any and every storm that spins up.
To answer your question, yes, sure, the models could be underestimating intensity, but they're not off by anything substantial unless Nate rapidly intensifies.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:15 pm to LaBR4
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:16 pm to Mr. Hangover
quote:
Slack, do you see this thing forming a significant eye before landfall?
Idk enough to answer this kind of question with any confidence, but I'd be surprised if Nate ever looks like a traditional hurricane over the next 24 hours.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:17 pm to slackster
Rick Knabb just said 19% chance of 105 mph early Sunday morn. This thing looks like it may make landfall before midnight though
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:19 pm to slackster
Roger. Thanks
I’ll try to post a few pics from down here in plaquemines if things get crazy
I’ll try to post a few pics from down here in plaquemines if things get crazy
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 8:20 pm
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:20 pm to loogaroo
quote:
monster in the making:
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:21 pm to iluvlsusports
quote:
I’m gonna be pissed if I have to replace my beer fridge again.
Come on man. Put that thing up higher. That kind of stuff is worth saving.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 8:22 pm to slackster
I doubt we have a traditional looking eye either.
Nate looks like he might feeling that little low on the microwave. Would go to explain the wind barbs being a little off directionally and why he's not really dropping pressure despite the convection.
Nate looks like he might feeling that little low on the microwave. Would go to explain the wind barbs being a little off directionally and why he's not really dropping pressure despite the convection.
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