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Posted on 9/27/17 at 3:16 pm to rds dc
This just in:
-----------
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 27 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. An area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low
pressure is located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. This
system is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward across Cuba
and the Straits for Florida during the next day or so. Some
development of this system is possible when it moves near the
Florida peninsula or the northwestern Bahamas on Friday or Saturday...
---------
Hurricane Center graphic
-----------
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 27 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. An area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low
pressure is located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. This
system is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward across Cuba
and the Straits for Florida during the next day or so. Some
development of this system is possible when it moves near the
Florida peninsula or the northwestern Bahamas on Friday or Saturday...
---------
Hurricane Center graphic
Posted on 9/27/17 at 3:19 pm to DeCat ODahouse
I don't believe the yellow area is what is eventually supposed to get into the GOM, but here's the graphic nonetheless:
Posted on 9/27/17 at 7:49 pm to slackster
While we all weren't looking, Lee made it to major status. Making 5 for the year thus far.
Thanks to storm2k baws that happened to gather these pictures together.
Posted on 9/27/17 at 7:59 pm to Duke
quote:. Well yeah. I'm no where near panicking. I'm not the one using expletives, lol.
Scary yes, but we don't really have a system that exists yet and again, the mid and upper levels would have to play nice once we do. Don't hit the panic button until we have something to panic o
Posted on 9/27/17 at 8:19 pm to slackster
When should we start looking for yellow to pop up in the GOM for that thing?
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:07 pm to rds dc
You are really great at what you do here as far as weather threads, but there is ZERO reason to start this thread... just sayin....
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:09 pm to dukke v
quote:
, but there is ZERO reason to start this thread... just sayin...
quote:
dukke v
We’re fricked
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:11 pm to dukke v
So, he really does then...shite
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:18 pm to dukke v
quote:
You are really great at what you do here as far as weather threads, but there is ZERO reason to start this thread... just sayin....
quote:
by dukke v
Remember when I said not to panic?
Well uh...rethinking that whole thing now.
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:52 pm to rds dc
The Euro has been pretty consistent over the last few days with this potential system. One of the things that we look for in the longer range with the models, when they are consistently showing a system, is for that system to move up in time. That has started to happen with the Euro. The models seem to agree that a large area of lowering pressure will form in the WCAB over the next week. As that happens, the Euro tracks the wave around 47W into the WCAB.
As the wave moves westward it interacts with the large area of lower pressure and helps to focus low level vorticy (spin) in the WCAB:
Then a rather large system slowly starts to lift NW into the Gulf:
Still a lot of time to watch this but all the ingredients are there for a system in the Gulf in October.
As the wave moves westward it interacts with the large area of lower pressure and helps to focus low level vorticy (spin) in the WCAB:
Then a rather large system slowly starts to lift NW into the Gulf:
Still a lot of time to watch this but all the ingredients are there for a system in the Gulf in October.
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:00 pm to Duke
quote:
Lee made it to major status. Making 5 for the year thus far.
Luckily, Lee has stay well away from any land. It was left for dead and then, without any model support, came back and made the run to major. Lee has also stayed a very small system.
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:01 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:
When should we start looking for yellow to pop up in the GOM for that thing?
Probably not until next week.
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:02 pm to slackster
quote:
I don't believe the yellow area is what is eventually supposed to get into the GOM, but here's the graphic nonetheless:
Correct, this would form to the east of Florida but could move back west into the Gulf.
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:05 pm to rds dc
I'll be glad when we hit November and cold fronts are more frequent.
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:10 pm to dukke v
quote:
You are really great at what you do here as far as weather threads, but there is ZERO reason to start this thread... just sayin....
If I knew where your trailer was, I would burn it down.
You've doomed us all.
Posted on 9/28/17 at 6:55 am to rds dc
NHC up to 40% for a system that might form this weekend east of Florida. It would have the potential to move back west into the Gulf.
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