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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 9/27/17 at 2:55 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19803 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 2:55 pm to
12z Euro

Posted by DeCat ODahouse
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2017
1369 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 3:16 pm to
This just in:
-----------
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 27 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of disturbed weather associated with a trough of low
pressure is located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. This
system is forecast to move slowly north-northwestward across Cuba
and the Straits for Florida during the next day or so. Some
development of this system is possible when it moves near the
Florida peninsula or the northwestern Bahamas on Friday or Saturday...
---------
Hurricane Center graphic
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84609 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 3:19 pm to
I don't believe the yellow area is what is eventually supposed to get into the GOM, but here's the graphic nonetheless:

Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35606 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 7:49 pm to


While we all weren't looking, Lee made it to major status. Making 5 for the year thus far.



Thanks to storm2k baws that happened to gather these pictures together.
Posted by biggsc
32.4767389, 35.5697717
Member since Mar 2009
34209 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 7:50 pm to
Not again
Posted by Champagne
Already Conquered USA.
Member since Oct 2007
48262 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 7:52 pm to
Stop scaring us.

Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
15648 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 7:59 pm to
quote:

Scary yes, but we don't really have a system that exists yet and again, the mid and upper levels would have to play nice once we do. Don't hit the panic button until we have something to panic o
. Well yeah. I'm no where near panicking. I'm not the one using expletives, lol.
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 8:19 pm to
When should we start looking for yellow to pop up in the GOM for that thing?
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
202612 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:07 pm to
You are really great at what you do here as far as weather threads, but there is ZERO reason to start this thread... just sayin....
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
146214 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:09 pm to
quote:

, but there is ZERO reason to start this thread... just sayin...


quote:

dukke v



We’re fricked
Posted by iliveinabox
in a box
Member since Aug 2011
24115 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:11 pm to
So, he really does then...shite
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35606 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:18 pm to
quote:

You are really great at what you do here as far as weather threads, but there is ZERO reason to start this thread... just sayin....


quote:

by dukke v


Remember when I said not to panic?

Well uh...rethinking that whole thing now.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41461 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:20 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19803 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 9:52 pm to
The Euro has been pretty consistent over the last few days with this potential system. One of the things that we look for in the longer range with the models, when they are consistently showing a system, is for that system to move up in time. That has started to happen with the Euro. The models seem to agree that a large area of lowering pressure will form in the WCAB over the next week. As that happens, the Euro tracks the wave around 47W into the WCAB.



As the wave moves westward it interacts with the large area of lower pressure and helps to focus low level vorticy (spin) in the WCAB:



Then a rather large system slowly starts to lift NW into the Gulf:



Still a lot of time to watch this but all the ingredients are there for a system in the Gulf in October.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19803 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:00 pm to
quote:

Lee made it to major status. Making 5 for the year thus far.



Luckily, Lee has stay well away from any land. It was left for dead and then, without any model support, came back and made the run to major. Lee has also stayed a very small system.

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19803 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:01 pm to
quote:


When should we start looking for yellow to pop up in the GOM for that thing?


Probably not until next week.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19803 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:02 pm to
quote:

I don't believe the yellow area is what is eventually supposed to get into the GOM, but here's the graphic nonetheless:


Correct, this would form to the east of Florida but could move back west into the Gulf.
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
41461 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:05 pm to
I'll be glad when we hit November and cold fronts are more frequent.
Posted by X123F45
Member since Apr 2015
27347 posts
Posted on 9/27/17 at 10:10 pm to
quote:

You are really great at what you do here as far as weather threads, but there is ZERO reason to start this thread... just sayin....




If I knew where your trailer was, I would burn it down.

You've doomed us all.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19803 posts
Posted on 9/28/17 at 6:55 am to
NHC up to 40% for a system that might form this weekend east of Florida. It would have the potential to move back west into the Gulf.

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