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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:19 am to GeauxLSUGRL
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:19 am to GeauxLSUGRL
quote:
What’s y’all’s fricking problem? No I’m not a troll and I’m also not a doormat so go f*ck off. Funny how 2 days ago I posted about those disturbances in the Gulf becoming hurricanes hitting FL and y’all gave me shite for that.? Why is that? All I’m trying to do is spread and receive info and socialize with reputable people. PTSD is no joke and I’m sorry I have compassion.
Jesus cristos I can hear your shrill voice through this post. Go take it to a mahjong forum.
1
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:25 am to Monahans
The HAFS suite is coming in strong. Small core, good conditions, this could get really strong by Tuesday.
Small cores can get powerful fast but are delicate things. As that shear increases near the coast and dry air tries to wrap in, hopefully that small core gets broken down before landfall.
HMON, HAFS-A and HAFS-B, get this extremely strong coming across the gulf and getting dry air wrapped into the core before landfall taking it up 20-30 mb going into land.
Small cores can get powerful fast but are delicate things. As that shear increases near the coast and dry air tries to wrap in, hopefully that small core gets broken down before landfall.
HMON, HAFS-A and HAFS-B, get this extremely strong coming across the gulf and getting dry air wrapped into the core before landfall taking it up 20-30 mb going into land.
This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 12:47 am
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:43 am to GeauxLSUGRL
Ma’am, this is a Wendy’s.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:47 am to Duke
quote:
The HAFS suite is coming in strong. Small core, good conditions, this could get really strong by Tuesday.
If it drops the hammer like that there are going to be some very nervous hours leading up to landfall waiting for it to come apart. It loses 67mb on approach.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:50 am to GeauxLSUGRL
quote:
What’s y’all’s fricking problem? No I’m not a troll and I’m also not a doormat so go f*ck off. Funny how 2 days ago I posted about those disturbances in the Gulf becoming hurricanes hitting FL and y’all gave me shite for that.? Why is that? All I’m trying to do is spread and receive info and socialize with reputable people. PTSD is no joke and I’m sorry I have compassion.
Yeah, I hear you. If people were treating me like a doormat and not taking me seriously I’d go socialize somewhere else with better people
Posted on 10/6/24 at 12:53 am to LegendInMyMind
All the landfalls are pretty north too.
But yeah, it falling apart is a pretty reasonable scenario but it's going to be nerve wracking if the cane models are to be believed.
I mean, the HAFS-B went sub 900 for a good stretch. HMON and A got under 920. HWRF is stronger than MON @ same timestep. Betcha it gets stupid strong and falls apart on that one too.
Could see that wind field really stretch out at landfall the way it gets opened up on these models.
But yeah, it falling apart is a pretty reasonable scenario but it's going to be nerve wracking if the cane models are to be believed.
I mean, the HAFS-B went sub 900 for a good stretch. HMON and A got under 920. HWRF is stronger than MON @ same timestep. Betcha it gets stupid strong and falls apart on that one too.
Could see that wind field really stretch out at landfall the way it gets opened up on these models.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:53 am to GeauxLSUGRL
quote:
What’s y’all’s fricking problem? No I’m not a troll and I’m also not a doormat so go f*ck off. Funny how 2 days ago I posted about those disturbances in the Gulf becoming hurricanes hitting FL and y’all gave me shite for that.? Why is that? All I’m trying to do is spread and receive info and socialize with reputable people. PTSD is no joke and I’m sorry I have compassion.
See that you guys! She predicted a FL landfall and yall gave her shite for that.
She's a beacon of meteorological knowledge just trying to spread info. We're lucky to have her.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 2:57 am to Duke
Liz checking in, will this be #24 or #25? 
Milton and a red stapler is all I can think of.
Helene was nothing here but some wind, sand and rain, but people in and around Ashville had their homes and lives swept away. Fort Myers Beach still looks awful from Ian, and Helene dropped a foot of sand in people's front yards.
Wednesday is usually $5 sushi at Publix. We shall see. Prayers to all in the path and may Milton remain unpaid, in the basement.
Milton and a red stapler is all I can think of.
Helene was nothing here but some wind, sand and rain, but people in and around Ashville had their homes and lives swept away. Fort Myers Beach still looks awful from Ian, and Helene dropped a foot of sand in people's front yards.
Wednesday is usually $5 sushi at Publix. We shall see. Prayers to all in the path and may Milton remain unpaid, in the basement.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 4:00 am to liz18lsu
Hmon and gfs have milton reaching cat 5 now. But weakens before landfall
This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 4:07 am
Posted on 10/6/24 at 4:11 am to Scoper
Yikes! Could be bad for Tampa area with storm surge.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 6:07 am to Traffic Circle
Hope nobody in SW Florida sees the GFS projection for the end of next week…
Posted on 10/6/24 at 6:09 am to Traffic Circle
Recon in Milton
This post was edited on 10/6/24 at 6:12 am
Posted on 10/6/24 at 6:10 am to Traffic Circle
10 miles makes a lot of difference in the effects of landfall with this one in that Tampa area.
If it goes to the north side of the bay, the impact is much worse than going south of the bay.
If it goes to the north side of the bay, the impact is much worse than going south of the bay.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 6:21 am to SlidellCajun
Asking again to get some reasonable feedback...my wife and I are taking our 4 kids to Disney (it will be the 1st time for the 3 younger ones), and we are suppose to drive in tomorrow, with 5 days in the parks Tuesday-Saturday. Should we reschedule for Thanksgiving or Mardi Gras week? Looks like Disney closed 10 times in its history due to hurricanes, with the last closure during Hurricane Ian in 2022. They closed 2 days for that storm.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 6:23 am to Crescent Connection
quote:
Asking again to get some reasonable feedback...my wife and I are taking our 4 kids to Disney (it will be the 1st time for the 3 younger ones), and we are suppose to drive in tomorrow, with 5 days in the parks Tuesday-Saturday. Should we reschedule for Thanksgiving or Mardi Gras week? Looks like Disney closed 10 times in its history due to hurricanes, with the last closure during Hurricane Ian in 2022. They closed 2 days for that storm.
My advice. Cancel.
But not because of the storm.
But because Disney sucks arse.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 6:32 am to Crescent Connection
quote:if you are able to cancel/reschedule without losing a bunch of money I’d do it. We still don’t know exactly what the effects will be here in Orlando - could range from just breezy with periods of heavy off and on rain Wednesday- Thursday to significant hurricane conditions Wednesday night / Thursday morning- with major disruptions to every day activities.
Asking again to get some reasonable feedback...my wife and I are taking our 4 kids to Disney (it will be the 1st time for the 3 younger ones), and we are suppose to drive in tomorrow, with 5 days in the parks Tuesday-Saturday. Should we reschedule for Thanksgiving or Mardi Gras week? Looks like Disney closed 10 times in its history due to hurricanes, with the last closure during Hurricane Ian in 2022. They closed 2 days for that storm.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 6:32 am to m57
quote:
Hope nobody in SW Florida sees the GFS projection for the end of next week…
Another one?
****.
Posted on 10/6/24 at 6:34 am to athenslife101
quote:
Also bad news for us and my parents if it veers left. I don’t trust any storms hitting my parents yard. Their yard is a death trap. I’ve begged them to fix it and my dad refuses on principal. Makes me so mad
Is it just low? What makes it a death trap?
Posted on 10/6/24 at 6:42 am to LanierSpots
quote:
Man I want to be around when they tell the millions that live there about that one
40% of the US lives on the coast.
These fools are casually talking about just you know walking away from tens of trillions of dollars in coastal real estate.
I wonder how the flood prone people in New Orleans, Houston, Charleston and elsewhere will feel about their invitation to walk away from their flood/hurricane prone cities as well?
Posted on 10/6/24 at 6:51 am to tide06
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS A STRONGER MILTON... ...RISK OF LIFE-THREATENING IMPACTS INCREASING FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...
7:00 AM CDT Sun Oct 6
Location: 22.6°N 94.9°W
Moving: E at 5 mph
Min pressure: 991 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
7:00 AM CDT Sun Oct 6
Location: 22.6°N 94.9°W
Moving: E at 5 mph
Min pressure: 991 mb
Max sustained: 60 mph
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