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Message
re: Hurricane Isaias - Approaching Landfall in the FL Panhandle
Posted on 10/8/26 at 3:58 pm to SlidellCajun
Posted on 10/8/26 at 3:58 pm to SlidellCajun
quote:
Could the current posture indicate that it’s petering out?
Nah, it is just playing the game. You have to pay attention to the convection firing into the evening and see if it can actually wrap it around the center.
People have jumped the gun twice today (by declaring that it was clearing out an eye) with it trying to wrap up but ultimately failing. It has to overcome that shear, wrap convection around that center, and sustain in order to really take off. So far it has just cycled through convective bursts that get cut down when they wrap around the downshear part of the storm.
This post was edited on 10/8/26 at 4:00 pm
Posted on 10/8/26 at 3:59 pm to LegendInMyMind
Well boys, we got us a Cat 2.
Cat 3 and Oyster is offering free back shots
Cat 3 and Oyster is offering free back shots
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:00 pm to Duke
Is it wobbling or jogging eastward the last hour or is that my old eyes?
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:00 pm to rds dc
I’m seeing more easterly forecast
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:03 pm to SlidellCajun
Does appear NHC has shifted the cone east.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:05 pm to Jimbeaux
quote:
at the Flora-Bama before it gets wiped out!
Don't worry. The beer won't go to waste
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:07 pm to Tiger Prawn
Alabama Governor Kay Ivey has issued a mandatory evacuation for all visitors in Baldwin County south of the Intracoastal Waterway. This includes Gulf Shores and Orange Beach.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:11 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
BULLETIN
Hurricane Isaias Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092026
400 PM CDT Thu Oct 08 2026
...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT ISAIAS NOW HAS 100 MPH WINDS...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM STORM SURGE AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION
TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 89.3W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM N OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Isaias was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 89.3 West. Isaias is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected on Friday. On the forecast track, Isaias is expected to pass to the north of the Yucatan Peninsula through this evening and make landfall along the U.S. northern Gulf Coast within the warning area late Friday or early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected through
early Friday, and Isaias should remain a dangerous hurricane as it approaches the northern Gulf Coast Friday night.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).
Hurricane Isaias Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092026
400 PM CDT Thu Oct 08 2026
...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT ISAIAS NOW HAS 100 MPH WINDS...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM STORM SURGE AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION
TODAY...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.4N 89.3W
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM N OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.80 INCHES
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Isaias was located near latitude 24.4 North, longitude 89.3 West. Isaias is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected on Friday. On the forecast track, Isaias is expected to pass to the north of the Yucatan Peninsula through this evening and make landfall along the U.S. northern Gulf Coast within the warning area late Friday or early Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected through
early Friday, and Isaias should remain a dangerous hurricane as it approaches the northern Gulf Coast Friday night.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 975 mb (28.80 inches).
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:15 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
That's neat, my house is just right beneath the H over the red part.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:25 pm to LSU=Champions
Keep going east young man
Somehow 30A has avoided a significant strike for decades. Its their turn
Somehow 30A has avoided a significant strike for decades. Its their turn
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:30 pm to OU Guy
quote:
Eye of Hurricane Isaias now forming -- rapidly. Dangerous next 24 hours ahead as the hurricane sits over the deep and warm "Loop Currrent" and the same area that powered history's most intense storms.
We can only hope for wind shear to retard the intensification.
Im gonna get this guy cancelled
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:32 pm to Cosmo
If that aint Ryan Maue tweeting, Id be shocked.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:39 pm to Cosmo
quote:
We can only hope for wind shear to retard the intensification.
A lot of people will in the panhandle will be gay if intensification is retarded.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:46 pm to chRxis
SWA once flew me from MSY to Orlando right over the top of a hurricane that was in the Gulf. Got some great view of cloud tops that were at cruise altitude.
You’ll be good.
You’ll be good.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:54 pm to rds dc
Are storm chasers going to live-stream the landfall?
If so, can we get links to these live-streams posted?
If so, can we get links to these live-streams posted?
This post was edited on 10/8/26 at 4:56 pm
Posted on 10/8/26 at 4:58 pm to Icansee4miles
quote:
SWA once flew me from MSY to Orlando right over the top of a hurricane that was in the Gulf. Got some great view of cloud tops that were at cruise altitude.
You’ll be good.
thank you, bro
Posted on 10/8/26 at 5:01 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Somehow 30A has avoided a significant strike for decades. Its their turn
GTFO with that.
This is looking like an Opal to me.
Posted on 10/8/26 at 5:03 pm to ned nederlander
Hurricane NOT hitting Louisiana. Somebody gotta get fricked but not us!!
Posted on 10/8/26 at 5:05 pm to tide06
Don’t say that :(
Posted on 10/8/26 at 5:18 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
People have jumped the gun twice today (by declaring that it was clearing out an eye) with it trying to wrap up but ultimately failing. It has to overcome that shear, wrap convection around that center, and sustain in order to really take off. So far it has just cycled through convective bursts that get cut down when they wrap around the downshear part of the storm.
If I'm understanding this right, the conditions are almost right enough for it to intensify but every time it tries to it ends up failing. So it has not really intensified yet? Hopefully it continues to not intensify?
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