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re: Hurricane Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast

Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:18 pm to
Posted by LivingstonLaw
Livingston County
Member since Jul 2021
3840 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:18 pm to
quote:

Bham sports radio is saying they are gonna move it to Friday night- decision coming tomorrow


Bama says game is happening Saturday .
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Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30309 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:18 pm to


We also have Peej's Hurricane Prediction Map below
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
51568 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:19 pm to
It’s a step head for some damn reason
Posted by LivingstonLaw
Livingston County
Member since Jul 2021
3840 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:21 pm to
What the hell is this?


Posted by Spocks Brain
Member since Nov 2025
449 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:21 pm to
That’s because they would love to cancel it and keep that perfect record
Posted by Uncommon Idea
Member since Feb 2025
483 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:22 pm to
quote:


The current cone they use as so misleading. That’s just where the center may or may not go. What they need is a cone that is in two colors. One color that shows tropical storm conditions, and the other color that shows hurricane conditions.

Just saw this on X:
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Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
76964 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:26 pm to
quote:

The current cone they use as so misleading. That’s just where the center may or may not go. What they need is a cone that is in two colors. One color that shows tropical storm conditions, and the other color that shows hurricane conditions.

NHC provides all of that.

ETA: No center line now, though......because the simple minded types believed that hurricane stuff only happens on that line.
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 8:28 pm
Posted by ultratiger89
Houston, Tx
Member since Aug 2007
4267 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:29 pm to
In Cabo all next week. All I care about is the weather there which looks good
Posted by Auburntiger
BTR area
Member since Mar 2005
14677 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

What the hell is this?





A still picture of this

Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
32483 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:30 pm to
I still use catfood chumming for mangroves.

You and I should meet sometime for a beer and to talk pogies. I enjoy your posts on the OB.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
30309 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:30 pm to
quote:

What the hell is this?




It's Dukke V's official hurricane prediction model.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36537 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:32 pm to
quote:

But lets us know your best guess at location


Best guess? Its October, so take my base case and shift it 35-50 miles east.

Puts us about Dauphin Island.

Tricky one here. Basic idea is obvious, but uncertainty on how fast it organizes leaves us the spread you see in the modeling.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15895 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:34 pm to
quote:

Best guess? Its October, so take my base case and shift it 35-50 miles east.

Puts us about Dauphin Island.

Tricky one here. Basic idea is obvious, but uncertainty on how fast it organizes leaves us the spread you see in the modeling.


Im glad my small portion of meteorology classes at LSU paid off

Also a statistician by trade so I get your precise language
Posted by weagle1999
Member since May 2025
4137 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:36 pm to
Posted by lsumailman61
Gulf Shores
Member since Oct 2006
8011 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:39 pm to
My house and my business are both within 25 miles of Dauphin Island. frick me.
Posted by WylieTiger
Member since Nov 2006
14969 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:47 pm to
Get to prepping

Goodspeed

I want no part of a storm after sitting through Ida. frick that ho.
Posted by Uncommon Idea
Member since Feb 2025
483 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

Tricky one here. Basic idea is obvious, but uncertainty on how fast it organizes leaves us the spread you see in the modeling.


DeSantis isn't taking chances.
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Posted by Cregg
Orange Beach
Member since Jul 2017
2649 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:51 pm to
Don't get caught with your pants down dude. Plenty of y'all did during Sally six years ago.
Posted by Govt Tide
Member since Nov 2009
9625 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 8:57 pm to
quote:

Is this the longest thread in the history of Tigerdroppings


Hahaha..Not even close..



The Deepwater Horizon thread (throwing up a little bit in my mouth at the thought of that spewing well) might be the record holder
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
104780 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 9:01 pm to
quote:

There's at least one poster who really, really hopes it weakens enough to not be a hurricane at landfall.


Technically he never said at landfall. Based on the ambiguity of his statement I take it he meant a hurricane at any point
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