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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:08 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:08 pm to
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:10 pm to
If Jose was to follow the gfs, we would be in almost the identical spot with him in a week that we are in with Irma now.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102449 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

looks innocuous but this is the piece that will help pull #Irma north. Small changes in timing/location can mean big differences.


I'm not confident that will be strong enough to pull it that sharp north
Posted by Dick Jacket
Member since Nov 2016
1587 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:13 pm to
F u c k
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:14 pm to
wonder if any of the extra weather balloon releases have come up with any surprising info yet
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51656 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

Go back and change that,I don't like that version!
Here you go. A more 'close up' view.

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:22 pm to


This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 2:23 pm
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:23 pm to
Do you think it's a pretty low risk for GOM? Just your personal opinion. I know you can't predict anything but these models haven't been good projecting stuff like that on this storm.
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
49613 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:24 pm to
quote:

rds dc


At this point what do you think as far as the Gulf based upon the latest info?
Posted by TheriotAF
Member since Mar 2013
697 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:24 pm to
I just find it hard to believe it takes that hard of a turn. That would be one hell of a shift in direction.
Posted by RollTide1987
Baltimore, MD
Member since Nov 2009
70990 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:24 pm to
What is this supposed to tell me? Is that saying Irma is now a Category 4?
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 2:26 pm
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64505 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:26 pm to
quote:

he'll post right after he's done in tonight's MNRT



I'm going to the Hunting camp to get ready for tomorrow's hunt and we'll be watching Botch try to top Sumlin without DVR so unfortunately I won't be in tonight's thread


Idk why I'm crying though, I'm just sparring myself your latest act of blatant currouption
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 2:27 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:26 pm to
look at table 1 on the left

at 0m (aka surface level)

ETA: at dropsonde site #5 (look at map 2)... pressure is 970mb with winds westerly at 104kt (~120 mph)
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 2:28 pm
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53868 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:26 pm to
If that tracks up the GA/SC line, even inland, how much wind will Augusta National see, Masters might be missing a few trees.
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
72064 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

This thing looks fairly certain to S. Fla...at what point do they start evacuations down there. After tonight's run,people need to start moving tomorrow/in the keys,


I may send my wife and kids to stay at friend in Jacksonville wed morning if it's looking worse. I have to be down here (north palm ) due to working at hospital.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:30 pm to
138 kt winds (~160 mph winds) just over 400m from the surface

ETA: that may be 128 kt (darn my eyes)... which would be ~150 mph
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 2:33 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:31 pm to
quote:

I may send my wife and kids to stay at friend in Jacksonville wed morning if it's looking worse. I have to be down here (north palm ) due to working at hospital.

someone with better knowledge than I may want to chime in

but I'm not sure Jacksonville is 100% safe spot to go
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51656 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:33 pm to
So #5
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:33 pm to
quote:

So #5

yes... #5
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
69066 posts
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:34 pm to
For anybody with Facebook this is a live feed from a storm chasing ship.



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