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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:49 pm to cajunangelle
quote:
Sorry I thought the Category was predicted in the future 11 Sept. to be off the scale? We shall see. Sensibly couldn't it be a Cat 4-5?
If it was late night and few people reading, I probably wouldn't have been quite as harsh responding. Don't need people getting the wrong idea.
And yes, I think a 4-5 is very reasonable given everything we've seen for US impacts.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:50 pm to Centinel
Gonzo has been sampling the upper level air pattern this afternoon and should be in the 00Z runs tonight.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:50 pm to Lazy But Talented
quote:
I hate to be that guy that dips out, but frick this
Dunkirk that place with the quickness. But let them know you left so they don't hang around looking for you.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 1:51 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:51 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
@RyanBretonWX
6m
It looks innocuous but this is the piece that will help pull #Irma north. Small changes in timing/location can mean big differences.
This is why the Gulf option and OTS are still very much on the table. A s/w like that could be totally dropped by the models or it could end up stronger.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:51 pm to rt3
quote:Wow. So does this make them feel more at ease telling Fla. to prep and *thinking about* GTFO down the road?
GFS & Euro both agreeing on a 2nd US landfall at the GA/SC border
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:51 pm to Centinel
quote:
Well...I guess this means we need to up the anal pucker score for SC
current anal pucker scores
north Leeward Islands - 10/10
S. Fla. - 7/10
SC - 5.5/10
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:51 pm to Tesla
94L 80% chance of development. Would become Jose
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:53 pm to texag7
the GOM disturbance has a 50% of development should stay buried in the Bay of Campeche though thankfully.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:53 pm to texag7
quote:
94L 80% chance of development. Would become Jose
that's the 1 I laughed at about doing a giant loop in the Atlantic and coming back to brush the eastern seaboard
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:54 pm to cajunangelle
latest run of Euro
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:56 pm to rt3
This thing looks fairly certain to S. Fla...at what point do they start evacuations down there. After tonight's run,people need to start moving tomorrow/in the keys,
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:57 pm to HubbaBubba
Go back and change that,I don't like that version!
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:58 pm to LaBR4
quote:
This thing looks fairly certain to S. Fla...at what point do they start evacuations down there. After tonight's run,people need to start moving tomorrow/in the keys,
not being at work I keep thinking today's Sunday
I would say the smart people will start moving tomorrow... official orders would come probably Wednesday
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:00 pm to rds dc
quote:
A s/w like that could be totally dropped by the models or it could end up stronger
Isnt it special the track of a major hurricane that could impact millions of people will depend on the progression of a shortwave that may or may not exist?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:01 pm to rt3
yeah i imagine Wed. I'm not sure of the Keys population, never been down there, but (one bridge? out)...cluster for sure
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:02 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
latest run of Euro
Well isn't that just a big ball of shite heading my way
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:03 pm to Duke
that trough everyone's looking for to pull Irma out to sea becomes a 992mb low in the north Atlantic at the end of the Euro
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:03 pm to Duke
If Euro is correct we will have Irma, Jose, Katia, and potentially Lee near Africa late in the period.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 2:06 pm to lsuman25
quote:
and potentially Lee
Mitch killer
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