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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:39 pm to Lazy But Talented
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:39 pm to Lazy But Talented
quote:call the airlines ASAP. call the airline that cancelled your flight and GTFO ASAP.
Stood in line for 4-5 hours trying to get on the ferry out of Vieques. No luck.
Got lucky and paid someone to bring us back on a private boat.
Flight for Wednesday got canceled. Trying to find my way to the hotel in San Juan.
Man this is tough. Will literally fly out to anywhere tomorrow if possible. I might have to leave my group.
0
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:40 pm to MrSmith
one thing is for sure Irma will have a high Ace score when it's all said and done.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:40 pm to Lazy But Talented
quote:
Stood in line for 4-5 hours trying to get on the ferry out of Vieques. No luck.
Got lucky and paid someone to bring us back on a private boat.
Flight for Wednesday got canceled. Trying to find my way to the hotel in San Juan.
Man this is tough. Will literally fly out to anywhere tomorrow if possible. I might have to leave my group.
Where are you at now? how many in your group? what's everyone else doing?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:41 pm to HubbaBubba
quote:
936 is still a pretty mean storm
True, but it's no 887 type of monster that'll flatten the earth in its path.
Umm.. the 1900 Galveston Hurricane had a pressure of 936 at landfall.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:42 pm to Uncle JackD
quote:
Can anyone Summarize what 12z means?
12:00 Z(ulu) time is UTC (Coordinated Univesal Time - which would be abbreviated CUT but the French translation would have been TUC...so they settled on the abbreviation UTC which means nothing to avoid offending anyone - I shite you not).
Basically, Central Daylight time is 5 hours behind UTC. So, take your current time in 24 hour format - 1342 and add 5 hours to get 1842Z.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 1:49 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:43 pm to CidCock
10
Half are on the way to the hotel and the other half the captain went back to pick them up from the island.
I hate to be that guy that dips out, but frick this
Half are on the way to the hotel and the other half the captain went back to pick them up from the island.
I hate to be that guy that dips out, but frick this
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:43 pm to GEAUXmedic
GFS & Euro both agreeing on a 2nd US landfall at the GA/SC border
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 1:44 pm
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:44 pm to Lazy But Talented
quote:
10
Half are on the way to the hotel and the other half the captain went back to pick them up from the island.
I hate to be that guy that dips out, but frick this
They planning on hunkering down?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:44 pm to Tesla
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:44 pm to GEAUXmedic
12z Euro Hi-res is 926 just east of Miami
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:45 pm to GEAUXmedic
Thanks. I'm sure those building codes 117 years ago were maybe a bit lax, though. 
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:45 pm to rds dc
Are the Euro and GFS the two most trusted models?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:46 pm to rds dc
How often are the updates?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:46 pm to HubbaBubba
so Euro & GFS agree on a 1st US landfall by Miami/Biscayne Bay... 2nd US landfall by GA/SC line
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:46 pm to slackster
quote:
Sure, but they took refuge in a car wash that lost its roof. Their plan was shoddy.
Wonder if Florida has any formidable blue sheds?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:47 pm to Duke
I fixed it. Sorry I thought the Category was predicted in the future 11 Sept. to be off the scale? We shall see. Sensibly couldn't it be a Cat 4-5?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:47 pm to Tesla
quote:
Basically, Central Daylight time is 5 hours behind UTC. So, take your current time in 24 hour format - 1342 and add 5 hours to get 1842Z.
How long after 12z, 18z, etc. do the new forecasts get released? For instance, 1pm CDT would have been 18z. When can we expect 18z forecasts?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:47 pm to urinetrouble
Those are the two go to global models but the Euro has a better recent track record and better computers and resolution compared to the GFS.
I still think we're firmly in ensamble land looking for probabilities of impact with the current uncertainty in the developing pattern over the Contential United States.
I still think we're firmly in ensamble land looking for probabilities of impact with the current uncertainty in the developing pattern over the Contential United States.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:48 pm to CidCock
Think everyone is kinda looking around for flights, but not too actively. I have 2 people at home calling all the airlines for me. Hopefully they can find something.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:48 pm to LSUlefty
quote:
How often are the updates?
NHC puts advisories out at 10 AM & PM & 4 AM & PM central time
GFS model runs every 6 hours (5 AM & PM and 11 AM & PM central time)
Euro model runs every 12 hours (12:45 AM & PM central time)
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