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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/4/17 at 3:19 am to TigerStripes06
Posted on 9/4/17 at 3:19 am to TigerStripes06
All but one Euro ensemble keeps it no further west than Destin at this point:
2
Posted on 9/4/17 at 3:22 am to AU24
quote:
AU24
Just an FYI, that graphic is from the 12z run on Sunday afternoon.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 3:25 am to slackster
Even before this major shift that was the case, correct? Baytiger mentioned that effect effect he didn't think would happen...I'm guessing those models saying Florida panhandle never bought that, and more members are starting to follow suit.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 3:27 am to TigerStripes06
man I don't even fricking know at this point. I expect another major model shift or two before anything locks in for landfall. Current solutions just don't make enough sense.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 3:28 am
Posted on 9/4/17 at 3:34 am to baytiger
I look at those models and think I understand the currents that would have an effect, and every time I think I sort of understand what may have an effect, the models show it completely defying all the steering currents.
Anyone that ever gets mad at a meteorologist should have to try to learn this shite and see how truly impossible it is to get right before the time that landfall is imminent
Anyone that ever gets mad at a meteorologist should have to try to learn this shite and see how truly impossible it is to get right before the time that landfall is imminent
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 3:36 am
Posted on 9/4/17 at 3:39 am to baytiger
So you're saying Louosiana should prepare our you know what.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 3:44 am to Jim Rockford
I'm not going to to prepare it, if it comes down to it, I'm getting it the frick out of dodge.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:49 am to baytiger
quote:regardless it seems like the threat at least to Florida has increased significantly with this shift. Just last night the concensus was that all or most of the storm would stay to our east. Now it looks to be the southern and possibly western peninsula under the gun. I wouldn't be surprised to see it continue to shift west but it seems now, more than ever, Florida will be scraped one side or the other. Our best hope now may be getting this thing torn up by Cuba, right?
it's a 500 mb vorticity maximum that is trying to do a pseudo fujiwhara to slingshot the storm north. it doesn't seem like a strong enough feature to steer the storm like the model is suggesting.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 5:53 am to otowntiger
Looks like we are in Irma's path down here. Any idea what Category she will be if she makes landfall in south FL?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 6:50 am to liz18lsu
quote:
Any idea what Category she will be if she makes landfall in south FL?
Cat 6
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:03 am to Placebeaux
Every morning I open thus thread the track keeps moving more and more West
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:20 am to rt3
quote:
trying to learn myself what an "atmospheric sounding" is
Note: do not Google "sounding" by itself
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:27 am to deltaland
Wow, I never knew there was such a thing.
Count me out of that.
Count me out of that.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:33 am to rds dc
quote:
time the GFS destroyed Miami...
shite. First Harvey causes gas prices to increase, now the price of blow is gonna skyrocket.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:44 am to deltaland
quote:
@JimCantore
4m
Some solid changes since yesterday on #Irma
Hurricane hunters finding very low pressures yesterday and again this morning (947mb)
Guidance has shifted west especially days 4 and 5 due reasoning outlined very well by NHC.
That "shift" puts many land masses in harms way from a dangerous #Irma &makes it much harder to shift away from USA. Do your prep now.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:45 am to deltaland
If that model of strength and path straight up Florida turns out true construction materials will sky rocket, between that and Harvey.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:50 am to rt3
They have not updated, I imagine they will soon. It looks like they have a mosquito problem. That is sad, no mosquitos when I was there.
Naval Station Guantanamo Bay, Cuba
Naval Station Guantanamo Bay, Cuba
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:51 am to GEAUXmedic
Which is which....
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:53 am to dukke v
I mean... there are dates and times on each one...
Posted on 9/4/17 at 7:57 am to GEAUXmedic
You're assuming he's literate. That's a legit stretch at this point.
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