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2
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:23 am to ETiGeRs
I can't say, I don't even know if it will actually be there like it's forecast, but that trough is what all the experts are counting on to pull this thing to the northeast and out into the atlantic...or at least minimal landfall. Without it, who knows what happens.
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 1:24 am
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:25 am to Keys Open Doors
I thought Andrew was south of the city and if it had hit direct it would have destroyed it?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:27 am to lsu480
someone must have broke the Euro it's been stuck at 72 hours for nearly 20 minutes.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:30 am to lsuman25
quote:
someone must have broke the Euro it's been stuck at 72 hours for nearly 20 minutes.
my bad
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:37 am to rt3
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:40 am to TigerStripes06
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:46 am to lsuman25
Hearing it's gonna be delayed another 20-30 minutes. one of the computers crashed or something.
eta: updating now
eta: updating now
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 1:53 am
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:48 am to baytiger
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:48 am to baytiger
Did you change offices from BSL to Boston recently? 
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:52 am to Keys Open Doors
I haven't lived in BSL in like 8 years now
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:52 am to baytiger
Computer must be a Aggie fan.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:53 am to baytiger
Damn, really? I probably haven't noticed your location since the Gustav threads when I was a lurker.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:54 am to ETiGeRs
120 hours... almost landfall in Cuba
ETA: quite a bit south of yesterday's 00z Euro
ETA: quite a bit south of yesterday's 00z Euro
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 1:56 am
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:55 am to Keys Open Doors
quote:
They had pretty much a direct hit in 1992.
They were crazy luck though. Andrew was a small storm with a very confined wind field. 15-20 miles made a huge difference that August.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:57 am to slackster
this is a Cuba landfall
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:58 am to slackster
I know it is still 6 days out, but this kind of agreement between the GFS and Euro is concerning:
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:58 am to rt3
If you have the time, can you post the one from yesterday as well?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:59 am to slackster
looks really similar to the gfs without the nonsense pressures
eta: I'm not a huge fan of this run for a few reasons. it starts out by initializing incorrectly and then the storm outruns the ridge but still makes a north turn for some reason. if the upper level scenario in this run plays out, it looks a lot more like a gulf storm than a hard north turn.
regardless it's just one model run and still too far out to make a real forecast
eta: I'm not a huge fan of this run for a few reasons. it starts out by initializing incorrectly and then the storm outruns the ridge but still makes a north turn for some reason. if the upper level scenario in this run plays out, it looks a lot more like a gulf storm than a hard north turn.
regardless it's just one model run and still too far out to make a real forecast
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 2:04 am
Posted on 9/4/17 at 1:59 am to slackster
then the hard north turn across the Florida peninsula
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