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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:42 am to cajunangelle
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:42 am to cajunangelle
Wait so what is going on with this
Last I heard this was going to frick all of us
But then was modeled to swing out to the Atlantic and not other anybody.
But now that's changed?
Last I heard this was going to frick all of us
But then was modeled to swing out to the Atlantic and not other anybody.
But now that's changed?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:42 am to cajunangelle
Recon finding even lower pressures. Irma just doesn't stop.


Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:43 am to cajunangelle
Well that's what we did for Harvey .. got what we needed that we would NORMALLY need anyway and then watched and waited!
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:44 am to Delacroix22
quote:
Wait so what is going on with this
If I understand correctly it's not making that turn as quickly as had been previously forecasted. Instead of turning Irma is continuing to jog to the west.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:52 am to rds dc
Wow I used to live in Miami
Looks like Irma is going to touch down at Miami and frick it up and just penetrate the whole state with her big schlong
Looks like Irma is going to touch down at Miami and frick it up and just penetrate the whole state with her big schlong
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:54 am to rds dc
One of the interesting things has been the nearly constant ERCs that have been occurring in the core of Irma. Another one underway and the storm continues to strengthen.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:55 am to rds dc
So I'm guessing all the models are showing us getting that cold front before the storm can make it into the gulf?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:55 am to Delacroix22
quote:
Miami
Such a big city. I wonder when they are going to consider an evacuation plan. Maybe tomorrow afternoon?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:56 am to rds dc
Excuse my ignorance, but what are ERCs?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:57 am to rds dc
It just keeps moving closer and closer to the Gulf. I'm not liking this set up. Not liking it at all.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:57 am to Paul Allen
Question for the experts. How tall are the cloud tops on a cat 5 hurricane? Just curious
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:57 am to rds dc
I obviously don't know enough about this stuff. Seems like a turn that sharp to the North or North East would also mean it has something pushing it, or pulling it. And if that's the case then don't trype of sheer or other effects would occur that would start to compete and weaken Irma
This post was edited on 9/4/17 at 9:01 am
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:58 am to saint tiger225
ERC =eyewall replacement cycle. More than that I can't explain.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:58 am to rds dc
quote:how accurate are the two black lines going up to the Carolinas? can you now safely say that most models are hating on Miami up?
Posted on 9/4/17 at 8:59 am to saint tiger225
quote:
Excuse my ignorance, but what are ERCs?
Eyewall Replacement Cycles. They usually happen with major hurricanes, where a storm forms an outer eyewall that moves in and replaces the inner eyewall. It's a sign of strength.
Posted on 9/4/17 at 9:00 am to cajunangelle
quote:
how accurate are the two black lines going up to the Carolinas? can you now safely say that most models are hating on Miami up?
Are you talking about the gray lines? TVCN? If so, that is the consensus model of most of the models, this is the path the NHC usually follows with the official forecast.
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