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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:23 am to
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:23 am to
quote:

sed to live in Naples and I can tell you that if 10 ft or more of surge is pushed into Naples Bay, Old Naples will be inundated. And if the surge is that high, that area will also take on water from the beach side. And further north, if the Imperial and Cocohatchee Rivers get 10 ft of surge it will flood a lot of North Naples and Bonita Springs.


Well we will know for sure in Bonita Springs...
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:24 am to
quote:

Perhaps you can provide a little clarification for me. I also read the "above ground" phrasing on the NHC Inundation Map page. Why do they use this nomenclature? I'm guessing they word it that way for people who don't know the elevation of their homes.

A friend's home in Cape Coral is in the "greater than 9' " area on the map. His slab is right at 10' elevation. If I heard there was going to be a 9' - 12' storm surge, I'd think he'd have a chance of getting a foot or two of water in his house. But if the NHC's wording is accurate, he might have 10' of water in his house.


The NHC map shows the surge height that has a 10% or less chance of being exceeded above ground level.

Interactive surge map

You can use this link to change the options to either "Above Ground" or "Above Datum", the latter being sea level. Parts of Cape Coral may see surge above sea level of 15-20 feet.
Posted by Dick Jacket
Member since Nov 2016
1587 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:25 am to
quote:

think the reason for the evac was the surge coming in with high tide.


Well that's the current narrative to save face. The original reason was the bullseye put on the area by all of the media. That came from the ensemble line drawn by the models.
Posted by PPBeastMode
Member since Sep 2010
2403 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:25 am to
In Lakeland right now. Strong wind is picking up
Posted by jackmanusc
Columbia, SC
Member since Apr 2012
3948 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:26 am to
What are thare chances this thing tracks east after making landfall
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51672 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:26 am to
quote:

Jeff hauling arse back to Naples
He should. Marco Island gonna get raped.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:27 am to
quote:


What are thare chances this thing tracks east after making landfall


Pull up a Water Vapor loop or Sat IR. She will ride that dip all the way up into the panhandle and curve west far inland.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Well that's the current narrative to save face. The original reason was the bullseye put on the area by all of the media. That came from the ensemble line drawn by the models.


Correct me if I am wrong, but yall experience an extraordinarily high high tide?
Posted by The Bottom Line
Member since Oct 2016
143 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:29 am to
I'm in north lakeland and they are reporting possible tornadoes between here and zephyrhills
Posted by PPBeastMode
Member since Sep 2010
2403 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:29 am to

Rain is just starting to come in hard.
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
46354 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:29 am to
quote:

A friend's home in Cape Coral is in the "greater than 9' " area on the map. His slab is right at 10' elevation. If I heard there was going to be a 9' - 12' storm surge, I'd think he'd have a chance of getting a foot or two of water in his house. But if the NHC's wording is accurate, he might have 10' of water in his house.


Storm surge doesn't account for the waves on top of that...
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:30 am to
Be careful baw, yall will still get 90+ Gusts.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:32 am to
Damn, looks like it's raining sideways there
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:32 am to
quote:


Storm surge doesn't account for the waves on top of that...



Nope or the tide.

Hour until shite goes downhill on the scope.

Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:34 am to
quote:

A friend's home in Cape Coral is in the "greater than 9' " area on the map. His slab is right at 10' elevation. If I heard there was going to be a 9' - 12' storm surge, I'd think he'd have a chance of getting a foot or two of water in his house. But if the NHC's wording is accurate, he might have 10' of water in his house.


My uncle and cousin are in Cape Coral as well. they are in evacauation zone B The surge map doesn't show them getting any water, but awfully close to them.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:36 am to
quote:

PPBeastMode


What city are you in?

You live in a trailer park baw? You need to GTFO
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:37 am to
quote:

My uncle and cousin are in Cape Coral as well. they are in evacauation zone B The surge map doesn't show them getting any water, but awfully close to them.


They must live quite a bit inland because the inundation map shows quite a bit of it underwater.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43444 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:39 am to
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45874 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:39 am to
Posted by Btrtigerfan
Disgruntled employee
Member since Dec 2007
23971 posts
Posted on 9/10/17 at 10:40 am to
FWIW

This is a link to a group of ham radio operators exchanging "feet on the ground" reports.

There are links for live audio. This time of day, the Minnesota link sounds best.
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