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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:35 pm to
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14258 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:35 pm to
It's hard to picture a 9-story tall wave but scientists say they measured one.

quote:

Hurricane Ivan, which struck U.S. shores September 15, 2004, kicked up the tallest, most extreme waves ever measured, scientists announced today.

The tallest measured wave was 91 feet (28 meters). The researchers believe they likely missed even larger waves because their sensors shut down before the most powerful region of the storm passed over them.

"If we had been fortunate enough to sample the waves when peak winds were overhead, we'd expect to have seen waves in excess of 130 feet [40 meters] from crest to trough," team member William Teague said.

At its peak intensity, the hurricane was a Category Five storm—the most powerful—with sustained winds of 161 miles an hour (259 kilometers an hour).

Hurricane Ivan tore a deadly path across the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico in 2004. It struck the Gulf Coast on September 15 with 130 mile an hour (209 kilometer an hour) winds and was directly responsible for 92 deaths. But the extreme waves disintegrated in the choppy waters of the Gulf of Mexico, never making landfall.


LINK
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30505 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:38 pm to
quote:

I can't read through all the comments. Is the gulf coast out of the equation?


Nothing is guaranteed, but it seems to me that there would have to be some huge shakeups in the troughs over the US to send Irma into the Gulf.

That said, each little bump southward is not good...
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

Wobbling south of the NHC forecast track

we need it to twerk back on course please and thanks

Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43290 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:42 pm to
...MAJOR HURRICANE IRMA EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TUESDAY NIGHT...
11:00 PM AST Sun Sep 3
Location: 17.2°N 51.0°W
Moving: WSW at 14 mph
Min pressure: 961 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:44 pm to
The tidbit for this evening didn't upset me.
Posted by Lazy But Talented
Member since Aug 2011
15066 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:45 pm to
Currently panicking and may be stuck in Veiques for this fricking storm.

They wouldn't sell us tickets off of the island for tomorrow's ferry.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Currently panicking and may be stuck in Veiques for this fricking storm.


Degree of panic appropriate. Really hope you can get off the island tomorrow.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:53 pm to
quote:

Currently panicking and may be stuck in Veiques for this fricking storm.

They wouldn't sell us tickets off of the island for tomorrow's ferry.

good luck... hope you GTFOff that island
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166611 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:53 pm to




that island is gorgeous.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21445 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:54 pm to
quote:

HMON wants to shatter record for deepest low recorded on Earth.


The HMON is a coupled model but they are running it uncoupled in the Atlantic. I wonder if that is causing issues with it bombing out storms? Regardless, Irma has high end potential as it moves through the Bahamas.
Posted by FCP
Delta State Univ. - Fightin' Okra
Member since Sep 2010
5166 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:57 pm to


Slight southern shift.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166611 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 9:57 pm to
will they be selling them first thing in the morning?
Posted by VABuckeye
NOVA
Member since Dec 2007
38283 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:00 pm to
Up the Chesapeake would be bad.
Posted by Lazy But Talented
Member since Aug 2011
15066 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:03 pm to
Supposedly.

Our friend that lives in here currently but from New Orleans went earlier to try to get us tickets. They wouldn't sell her, but then they sold some to the locals in line behind her.

First ferry out is at 6 so we'll be getting there at 5am to try and get tickets. Hoping for the best. If not I'm not sure what we're going to do. If they're only selling to locals, I'm screwed. And there aren't many resources on this island.
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 10:07 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21445 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:04 pm to
The calibrated 12z EPS basically showing a direct hit on Miami

Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166611 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:05 pm to
the amount of destruction from the Hubba Bubba path would be devastating beyond words. esp if a cat 4 or 5.

Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166611 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:07 pm to
that is sad. they should not be protecting locals over all others. get a local to buy your tickets.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166611 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:09 pm to
in that scenerio my sister in Cape Canaveral would get the right (the worst) correct? part of the cane.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:11 pm to
quote:

The calibrated 12z EPS basically showing a direct hit on Miami


Eek. Would be rolling hot after all that warm water. Andrewesque impact all too possible.

ETA: With that potential, they be getting the ole Gulfstream up to take some measurements of the atmosphere to feed into the models.
This post was edited on 9/3/17 at 10:15 pm
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
166611 posts
Posted on 9/3/17 at 10:13 pm to
do you have a flight booked in PR?
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