re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

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I hope it doesn't strengthen again

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The interaction of Irma's circulation with Cuba has resulted in
some weakening of the hurricane. Data from an Air Force plane
indicate that the maximum winds are now 110 kt. However, once the
circulation moves away from Cuba, restrengthening is forecast and
Irma is expected to remain a very dangerous hurricane for the next 2
days while moving very near the Florida peninsula.

The eye has been moving toward the west or 280 degrees at about 8
kt. The hurricane is about the reach the southwestern portion of
the subtropical high, and the expected turn to the northwest and
north-northwest should begin soon. The track guidance is tightly
packed and takes the hurricane over the Florida Keys and near or
over the Florida Peninsula. The NHC forecast is in the middle of
the guidance envelope and given the good agreement among models, the
confidence in the track forecast is high.

Irma is now under the scope of Key West radar, so hourly updates
will begin at 1600 UTC.

INIT 09/1500Z 22.8N 79.8W 110 KT 125 MPH
12H 10/0000Z 23.4N 80.7W 115 KT 130 MPH
24H 10/1200Z 24.5N 81.6W 120 KT 140 MPH
36H 11/0000Z 26.4N 82.1W 120 KT 140 MPH
48H 11/1200Z 29.0N 82.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 12/1200Z 34.5N 86.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
96H 13/1200Z 36.0N 89.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
120H 14/1200Z 37.0N 88.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND

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