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Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:26 am to
Posted by HubbaBubba
North of DFW, TX
Member since Oct 2010
51692 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:26 am to
quote:

Can someone show a prediction model form like 7 days ago, then 3 days ago, then now?
quote:


A model prediction 7 days out is pretty useless, but here is the Euro from Tuesday morning around 1AM.



Think that's impressive? Here's the Euro from before this thread was even started by rds dc, back on August 31st.


Posted by CidCock
Member since Sep 2007
Member since Feb 2011
8692 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:26 am to
The eye is still within the cone from days ago, how hard is this to undersrand?????
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59224 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:27 am to
quote:

the "cone" was showing 2-3 days ago with zero of the panhandle in the cone.


quote:

Fact


quote:

the "cone" was showing 2-3 days ago with zero of the panhandle in the cone.


quote:

Fact
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:27 am to
quote:

know you think I'm trying to call you out. I'm not.


Nah, I genuinely don't think that.
quote:

I have enjoyed your posts and appreciate your work




quote:

I just hate that any opinion stated that isn't on a nhc report gets crucified on here. I just don't agree that's good policy.



I really don't think that's the case, but I could be wrong. When people keep asking about it going into the GOM, it is quite obvious they're implying it is a threat to areas west of Florida. They may not intentionally be spreading that fear, but it happens, and derails the thread discussing possibilities that are infinitesimal at this point.

Perhaps we should stop sharing the models after 120 hours. Perhaps the NHC should get rid of the line. I'm not sure what the answer is, but it is obvious many people don't understand what seems like a simple graphic with an appropriate margin for error.
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34925 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:27 am to
man for the love of god, all of yall, take your damn egos and go somewheres else with this shite
Posted by BogeyGolf
Minot
Member since Nov 2016
974 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Way to move the goalposts. You're making an arse of yourself so go back to the rant and suck Miles' dick some more.



I think moving goalposts is exactly why he's arguing the cone brother. He's trying to put more stock into models that predicted actual or eventual landfall 5-7 days out, not a fuzzy cone covering the entire east coast that gets adjusted from real time guidance.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20703 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:27 am to
quote:

People are having a really tough time understanding cone predictions
They should go watch TWC. Jim C walking around on water and telling us how many Walmarts will get damaged in Miami.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:28 am to
You really are making yourself look like an arse.
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29454 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:28 am to
Wow, Irma is going up one side of the Florida peninsula instead of the other one! Those meteorologists are just clueless amirite?!

Posted by CharlesLSU
Member since Jan 2007
33653 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:29 am to
Problem is, those comments are based on t-boy's understand of meteorology. It's barely even Holiday Inn Express level.....
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42410 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:29 am to
quote:

You really are making yourself look like an arse.


By having a different opinion than you? Many of y'all are a bunch of rabid dogs pouncing on anything you don't agree with. At least slack is being reasonable.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40226 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:29 am to
slack I know for fact there was one hurricane (Gustav maybe) that there was a "pro/I know what I'm talking about" guy thread and a "bs" thread. Can y'all get Chicken to do that?? It'd eliminate headaches for you, RDS, bay, Duke, Pedro, GeauxMedic etc (Hadn't even seen Bay post lately -- I guess he got tired of the BS; heck even GeauxMedic hasn't really been around.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46765 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:29 am to
UF just sent out an Email adding Tuesday to it's list of closed days. Somebody must think there is going to be an infrastructure hit.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:29 am to
quote:

You really are making yourself look like an arse.


and i thought oweo was bad

BeeFense and unknownkinght are beyond hopeless
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59224 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:30 am to
Nvm I'm not arguing with you, it's pointless. Good luck bro
This post was edited on 9/9/17 at 10:31 am
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42410 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:30 am to
quote:

Wow, Irma is going up one side of the Florida peninsula instead of the other one! Those meteorologists are just clueless amirite?!


That's a big deal. Not sure how you don't think that changes the game?
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87962 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:30 am to
quote:

By having a different opinion than you?
Didn't you say you were talking facts?
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:30 am to
quote:

By having a different opinion than you? Many of y'all are a bunch of rabid dogs pouncing on anything you don't agree with. At least slack is being reasonable.


So now it's an opinion? A few post ago you said you were stating facts.

Which is it?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:31 am to


We need to get out of the weeds here and note there's still a very serious situation evolving here.

Desipte the weakening from Cuba, the core of Irma is still closed off and mostly in tact. So once she moves away from Cuba there is no reason to think she won't be getting stronger as she runs up toward Florida.

So while the great weather debate continues, folks on the west side of Florida shouldn't get complacent because she's weakened today.
Posted by CrimsonTideMD
Member since Dec 2010
7115 posts
Posted on 9/9/17 at 10:32 am to
quote:

I am old but will dip him in bruised, cherry lime-ade behind the Sonic.




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