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Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:24 am to meeple
The westward shift, as well as the predicated westward turn once it reaches 32N are concerning to say the least. They are signs of the Bermuda/Atlantic ridge building back to the west and the trough pulling out too fast to "catch" Irma and take her out to sea. Reminds me of the weather map and "cone" on 8/25/05.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:25 am to michael corleone
quote:
Reminds me of the weather map and "cone" on 8/25/05.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:25 am to michael corleone
quote:
Reminds me of the weather map and "cone" on 8/25/05.

Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:25 am to LaBR4
Any evacuation orders for the panhandle or Alabama yet?
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:27 am to michael corleone
quote:
Reminds me of the weather map and "cone" on 8/25/05.
Watch out. People will RA you and request you get banned for having this opinion..
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:27 am to RunningBlake
quote:
Any evacuation orders for the panhandle or Alabama yet?
No, and don't expect any.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:28 am to The Dudes Rug
Damnit. If it shifts anymore west it could ride the gulf up to the panhandle. Guess I need to start preparing...
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:29 am to The Dudes Rug
FYI for Florida baws:
At some point this afternoon, Rick Scott will be issuing a statement advising people hunker down instead of trying to evacuate.
At some point this afternoon, Rick Scott will be issuing a statement advising people hunker down instead of trying to evacuate.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:29 am to The Dudes Rug
so FLA baws correct me if im wrong, but it looks like with this latest model run no big population centers are going to take a hit? isnt the area by the everglades mostly swampland?
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:29 am to The Dudes Rug
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 10:26 pm
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:29 am to Jake88
quote:
First you spend much of the thread wish casting this to the Florida panhandle, now it's going to be a "nothing burger."
I never wished it to go there. I simply said it looked like it would go there. I admitted 2 days ago with the change in models that was likely not going to happen. Just because you don't fricking like what someone's opinion is doesn't mean that's what I wanted it to do. I'd prefer Irma turn out to sea considering I have family in Ft Myers and in Sarasota so you can go frick your self.
And yes I hope it continues to weaken and is a nothingburger compared to the catastrophe they've been calling for
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:29 am to The Dudes Rug
quote:
Watch out. People will RA you and request you get banned for having this opinion..
This. They readily admit the science on hurricanes is very young and still has much to learn then chastise anyone for saying they think it may be off path.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 am to michael corleone
Models have been very consistent with this the past 7 days. I doubt it does that. They've shifted maybe 50 miles on the tracks. It's not a comparable situation. Katrina had a MASSIVE cone of error that was basically the entire gulf coast then shifted to the far west side of the track which was always a possibility. I haven't seen a model take this thing anywhere past the Panhandle in 7 days.
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 am to rocket31
The eye is going to be bigger at landfall. I think Miami is gonna dodge the eyewall bullet but we’re talking by 10-20 miles. All it takes is a little wobble
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 10:34 am
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 am to The Dudes Rug
Bonkers North bound in Gainesville. Took this about an hour ago.
(Yes, people are driving on the shoulder)
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 10:31 am
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:31 am to LaBR4
Hey, I've been asleep since last night, what's happening with this...


Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:32 am to Clyde Tipton
GFS 12z is just finishing. Get ready
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