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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:21 am to
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53875 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:21 am to
appears now the eyewall target is for Marco Island, Naples, up to Sebring, Winter Haven..lookout if this track holds
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 10:31 am
Posted by michael corleone
baton rouge
Member since Jun 2005
6542 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:24 am to
The westward shift, as well as the predicated westward turn once it reaches 32N are concerning to say the least. They are signs of the Bermuda/Atlantic ridge building back to the west and the trough pulling out too fast to "catch" Irma and take her out to sea. Reminds me of the weather map and "cone" on 8/25/05.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:25 am to
quote:

Reminds me of the weather map and "cone" on 8/25/05.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53875 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:25 am to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:25 am to
quote:

Reminds me of the weather map and "cone" on 8/25/05.

Posted by RunningBlake
Member since Aug 2011
4123 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:25 am to
Any evacuation orders for the panhandle or Alabama yet?
Posted by The Dudes Rug
Member since Nov 2004
14067 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Reminds me of the weather map and "cone" on 8/25/05.


Watch out. People will RA you and request you get banned for having this opinion..
Posted by bigpapamac
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
22592 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Any evacuation orders for the panhandle or Alabama yet?


No, and don't expect any.
Posted by UAinSOUTHAL
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
5298 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:28 am to
Damnit. If it shifts anymore west it could ride the gulf up to the panhandle. Guess I need to start preparing...
Posted by Muice
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2013
1268 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:29 am to
FYI for Florida baws:

At some point this afternoon, Rick Scott will be issuing a statement advising people hunker down instead of trying to evacuate.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:29 am to
so FLA baws correct me if im wrong, but it looks like with this latest model run no big population centers are going to take a hit? isnt the area by the everglades mostly swampland?
Posted by lsutiger2010
Member since Aug 2008
14790 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:29 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 10/19/21 at 10:26 pm
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102557 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:29 am to
quote:

First you spend much of the thread wish casting this to the Florida panhandle, now it's going to be a "nothing burger."


I never wished it to go there. I simply said it looked like it would go there. I admitted 2 days ago with the change in models that was likely not going to happen. Just because you don't fricking like what someone's opinion is doesn't mean that's what I wanted it to do. I'd prefer Irma turn out to sea considering I have family in Ft Myers and in Sarasota so you can go frick your self.

And yes I hope it continues to weaken and is a nothingburger compared to the catastrophe they've been calling for
Posted by The Mad Fratter
Madison, MS
Member since Jul 2013
1284 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:29 am to
quote:

Watch out. People will RA you and request you get banned for having this opinion..

This. They readily admit the science on hurricanes is very young and still has much to learn then chastise anyone for saying they think it may be off path.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 am to
Models have been very consistent with this the past 7 days. I doubt it does that. They've shifted maybe 50 miles on the tracks. It's not a comparable situation. Katrina had a MASSIVE cone of error that was basically the entire gulf coast then shifted to the far west side of the track which was always a possibility. I haven't seen a model take this thing anywhere past the Panhandle in 7 days.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 am to
Posted by RatLTrap
Member since May 2017
290 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 am to
The eye is going to be bigger at landfall. I think Miami is gonna dodge the eyewall bullet but we’re talking by 10-20 miles. All it takes is a little wobble
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 10:34 am
Posted by ForeverGator
Elite 8 - 2020 Worst SECRant Poster
Member since Nov 2012
14197 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:30 am to


Bonkers North bound in Gainesville. Took this about an hour ago.

(Yes, people are driving on the shoulder)
This post was edited on 9/8/17 at 10:31 am
Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40810 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:31 am to
Hey, I've been asleep since last night, what's happening with this...

Posted by UAinSOUTHAL
Mobile,AL
Member since Dec 2012
5298 posts
Posted on 9/8/17 at 10:32 am to
GFS 12z is just finishing. Get ready
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