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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:52 pm to slackster
quote:Yes, but I've been in this thread since it started and have been paying close attention to the trends, staying up well past bedtime just to post the gifs, read the location marks and gain understanding of the effects of various atmospheric conditions. And I was right with my "feelz", as this has been shown today. So not trying, like some have with deliberate effort, to cause confusion.
I don't think people should be banned for it, but it usually adds multiple pages of confusion to the thread as people see it and think it is some sort of legitimate prediction/forecast.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:53 pm to Furbs311
Agreed. I'm starting to rethink the leaving call but we shall see. This is not one to mess around with and margin for error is small in our areas...
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:53 pm to Furbs311
quote:
But with 2 little ones were probably just going to go.. will never regret that decision
Most important part of the decision process IMO.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:54 pm to Dick Jacket
quote:
I'm ignorant on this stuff, but the GFS is running right now and it looks like it is going to model a Savannah landfall still (unless it makes an incredible west turn at hour 84)
It's simple, the GFS model is highly inaccurate
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:54 pm to MrSmith
after the initial, maybe.. East Coast/NC..they have been pretty aligned on S. Fla/Miami.(Euro > GFS)
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 10:56 pm
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:55 pm to HubbaBubba
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:55 pm to metallica81788
quote:
Agreed. I'm starting to rethink the leaving call but we shall see. This is not one to mess around with and margin for error is small in our areas...
Luckily we have the OT to help us make such important life or death decisions.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:57 pm to RummelTiger
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:57 pm to PsychTiger
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:58 pm to RummelTiger
Posted on 9/7/17 at 10:59 pm to LaBR4
GFS slightly farther NE up the coastline as compared with previous run but still very grim looking for Miami metro.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:00 pm to HubbaBubba
That model tells me I'll be chilling at the lake house
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:00 pm to joshnorris14
GFS has had a north bias the entire time on Irma.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:00 pm to slackster
quote:
this was the official track 48 hours ago...
Hopefully this stop all the "it's never been this far west" garbage
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:00 pm to HubbaBubba
GFS really loves the low pressure.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:01 pm to slackster
Slackster, that can't be right, that simultaneously shows the track irma has taken thus far, as well as what the future track is still showing. I've been told this did not happen
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:01 pm to mouton
quote:
That model tells me I'll be chilling at the lake house
And what about the NHC forecast, or the Euro model?
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:04 pm to RollTide1987
quote:Yes, it's almost to the point of being sensationalism because there haven't been (at least that I've seen) any sounding readings from the flights into IRMA that match the GFS readings.
GFS really loves the low pressure.
Posted on 9/7/17 at 11:04 pm to RummelTiger
At this point I'm a little scared.
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