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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:51 pm to
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104000 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:51 pm to
Is it bad that I am already concerned about that L in the mid-Atlantic?
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93584 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

Same here. I can't understand the dropsonde readings or the graphs. I can understand the tracks; that's about it.



If you Google how to read those specific charts, then you will find a plethora of information on the subject.
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11899 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:51 pm to
quote:

The architect in me is curious to how Miami's high rises handle a direct hit, but I still don't wish it on anyone.


Based on a couple of hurricane experiences:

From Houston, several hurricanes ago, some damned building will have a gravel and asphalt roof and the heat of the sun will have evaporated a lot of the asphalt and the gravel will go flying and take out millions in glass. Likewise the decorative gravel used in landscaping:
Airborn and incoming.

From Katrina: massive glass panes on skyscrapers broken, and hotel draperies flapping in the breeze. A multistory condo blown over, on its side, but in tact. It may have been undermined. Also barges and gambling boats floated into neighborhoods and even onto highways, really cocking up travel (Mississippi Gulf Coast and also Eden Isles subdivision). Boats pulled off their moorings. Boats sunk where not tied to floating docks. Floating docks sunk with attached boats because they floated off their pilings. Bridge units (between pilings) floated away or far enough off center to collapse.
Posted by Front9Bandit
Member since Dec 2013
15432 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:52 pm to
quote:

think she's down in four territory currently.


Prob around 100-120, weather channel adds 40-60 for media
Posted by shell01
Marianna, FL
Member since Jul 2014
806 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:53 pm to
quote:

Do you map out caves with WKPP? I bet you know my old roommate if you're involved in that community.




Muice, WKPP doesn't allow sidemount so no not officially involved with them but my BF or I know most everyone in that (small) cave explorer community
Posted by PJinAtl
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2007
14402 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:54 pm to
The correct pronunciation is Coburn...if using the traditional English/Scottish pronunciation.

Only the French pronounce the CK.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:54 pm to
Recon supports a high end four from the last few passes I seen, 145 seems appropriate as it stands now. Wind field would appear to be expanding too with 100 mph winds out some 30 miles from center. Eyewall replacement appears to be taking tonight.
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
30959 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:54 pm to



I just don't recall ever seeing a hurricane track like that before. Normally they blow out to sea but this goes inland
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131446 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:54 pm to
Latest satellite loops looking less impressive
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:54 pm to
quote:

CAVE diving.


Ahh, gotcha.
Posted by Luke
1113 Chartres Street, NOLA
Member since Nov 2004
14301 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:55 pm to
Agreed 100%...
Posted by LSUBoo
Knoxville, TN
Member since Mar 2006
104000 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:56 pm to
We had a few taller buildings in BR have windows blown out during Gustav, and plenty of roof damage as well, but most damage was due to falling trees.

Makes me wonder if it would be feasible to take a high-rise, and perforate it periodically so that it funnels high wind through to the other side, allowing the entire facade to act more like mesh and less like a sail.
Posted by Muice
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2013
1268 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:57 pm to
Gotcha. Y'all are some crazy mofos. He's an Army Vet that goes by his first two initials, lives in St. Pete now but we lived together in orlando.
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26158 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:57 pm to
quote:

CAVE diving.


Share your thoughts before we lose you

LINK
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:58 pm to
quote:


For the last 6 hours it has moved at 286 degrees. WNW is 315 degrees. It is therefore much closer to moving due west than due WNW at this time. Forgive me for the concern, but I believe the track shifts west the longer this trend continues. If we were talking about a true WNW I wouldn't be pointing it out.


This motion basically eliminates a 2nd landfall in NC or SC based on cluster analysis of the blended 12z Euro EPS and 18z GEFS. However, that can obviously change with the overnight model runs.
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
11155 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:58 pm to
Homestead, FL

I follow a podcast from some guys that live there. Really sad for them and Homestead which was decimated by Cat 5 Andrew in 1992.
Posted by RatLTrap
Member since May 2017
290 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:58 pm to
quote:

Weakest the Dvorak has looked in days. I think she's down in four territory currently.


I don't put a lot of stock in the Dvorak technique. it has it's uses though.
Posted by Flanders
Member since May 2008
9950 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:59 pm to
Is your brother a former active duty marine? If so I know that dumbass. An old buddy from SOI is apparently planning to ride it out in key west according to Facebook.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53875 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:59 pm to
quote:

Is your brother a former active duty marine? If so I know that dumbass. An old buddy from SOI is apparently planning to ride it out in key west according to Facebook.

Is he going to do a FB Live?
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 9:01 pm
Posted by Byrdybyrd05
Member since Nov 2014
26542 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 8:59 pm to
For those who plan on staying during the hurricane and have a generator please go buy a rabbit ears antenna for your tv. You can get them at Walmart for $7 and when you lose power or cable hook up your tv to the generator and get local channels. You will be able to watch the news and see what's going on.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 9:03 pm
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