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Message

re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:53 pm to
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52561 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

Still waiting on Euro ensembles to see how much shift there was there.

Me too. When are they typically released?
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:54 pm to
Posted by Wildcat In Germany
Metro Atlanta
Member since May 2017
3094 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:54 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:54 pm to
quote:


Still waiting on Euro ensembles to see how much shift there was there.




Still a decent split for it being so close, but it's pretty dialed in on cutting right up the middle of Florida.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178804 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:54 pm to
ah, so either tallahassee or missing mainland usa. got it.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

Me too. When are they typically released?


Hell if I know. Usually see them up a few hours after the run though.

ETA - There they are^^^
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 2:56 pm
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52561 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:55 pm to
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
11893 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:57 pm to
quote:

The high pressure ridge in the euro will shift Irma west as she strengthens to 200+ mph winds and she hits Nola dead on destroying the city and then moves to Baton Rouge destroying lsu and the TIgerdroppings servers The world is then plunged into darkness and anarchy and the 4 horsemen come down from the clouds raining brimstone and fire


At which point Nick Saban will arise from his chair, already raised eight inches above the surrounding floor, dust the ashe off of his still perfect hair and custom fit jacket and start making phone calls to potential transfers.
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52561 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:57 pm to
Last 3 Euro Ensembles





This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 2:59 pm
Posted by iliveinabox
in a box
Member since Aug 2011
24145 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:58 pm to
Wrong
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:58 pm to
Those are GFS ensembles bruh.
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
79564 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

ah, so either tallahassee or missing mainland usa. got it.


tongue sticking out of the corner of my mouth as I sketch these spaghetti models
Posted by ForeverLSU02
Albany
Member since Jun 2007
52561 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:59 pm to
Fixed. Copied wrong links
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 2:59 pm to
12z Euro ensembles:



00z Euro ensembles:



12z is more tightly clustered at 96 hours or more, but shows considerably more spread through the first 48 hours.

ETA - Upon further review, that could just be an issue with the map scale.
This post was edited on 9/7/17 at 3:02 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 3:01 pm to
quote:

Let's fill the time discussing how weird it is that Carolina_Girl's avatar is not her.

Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 3:02 pm to
Looks like drawings my niece loves to give me with her crayons.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
178804 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 3:03 pm to
her azz is real, i seent it through dem bushes over dere.
Posted by crispyUGA
Upstate SC
Member since Feb 2011
16266 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 3:03 pm to
I need a Mercedes-Benz Stadium Pucker Update, Sponsored by Chic-Fil-A, for the State of South Carolina.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
45884 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 3:04 pm to
I'd drop it down to a 4.
Posted by PJinAtl
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2007
14394 posts
Posted on 9/7/17 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

Now I have to start thinking about this thing in ATL? What can I expect that far inland if it takes that track?
It depends on how strong a storm it is when/if it gets this far north.

Tropical Storm Alberto came through in 1994 and dumped a ton of water. Several of the lakes overflowed their dams. Atlanta didn't suffer as much as cities in central Georgia. Macon took a lot of damage, and around Albany cemeteries had caskets popping out of the ground.

Then in 2005 Cindy and Dennis hit the area within a week or so, did a lot of damage to the western suburbs and south of town.

Then in 2009 the city got hit with a ton of rain. Cobb and Douglas Counties took hard hits again - Sweetwater Creek flooded I don't remember how many houses - but all of the metro area got slammed. Parts of 75/85 through the heart of the city were underwater, as was 285 where it crosses the Chattahoochee on the west side of town.
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