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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:47 pm to BayouBengals18
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:47 pm to BayouBengals18
quote:
Since they've been right on the money so far with Irma, right?
Just because they shift slightly doesnt make them wrong. They are reading the variables as they come and the closer it gets, the better they read. No model has put it in bama except for the crappy canadian one. Its not been reliable in the past.
3
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:48 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Moving: WNW at 15 mp
I recognize the east coast becomes potentially more vulnerable, but a jog to the north now is the only chance for it to go fishing.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:48 pm to BayouBengals18
Yea for the most part they have been correct up to 3 days out. Any farther out is going to have a standard deviation
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:48 pm to CyrustheVirus
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:49 pm to LSUBoo
59 mph gust in Barbuda with 35 sustained.
It's on.
Pic of station (obviously not current)
It's on.
Pic of station (obviously not current)
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 9:52 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:49 pm to BayouBengals18
quote:
Since they've been right on the money so far with Irma, right?
They're not good after 5 days, but they've been pretty damn solid in the 120 hour window.
They're surely more relevant than Billy Joe's gut feeling.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:49 pm to CyrustheVirus
quote:
No model has put it in bama except for the crappy canadian one.
I heard they are at least incredibly apologetic when their models are wrong, if that helps.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:49 pm to CyrustheVirus
Wasn't Camille winds clocked at 200mph.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:50 pm to HogX
quote:
I imagine those ancient cultures were probably pretty decent at predicting hurricanes. During the tsunami that hit Indonesia, there were isolated tribes that scientists expected to be wiped out but they used indicators of a tsunami that had been passed down for centuries and sought high ground. They were relatively unscathed.
I'd imagine they were pretty adapted to it somehow
I can remember staying for a few small hurricanes and TSs, and no matter how big or how small the storm was, there was always an eerie feeling in the air that's hard to explain. You can just sense something doesn't feel right
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:50 pm to slackster
I'll need to see the models from Billy Joe's gut before I commit to that.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:51 pm to HogX
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:52 pm to Rebel
I have a feeling Irma won't be a 5 at landfall.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:52 pm to Mr. Hangover
Virgin Islands Web Cam
Winds picking up already I imagine ish will be going crazy in the next few hours for those interested
Winds picking up already I imagine ish will be going crazy in the next few hours for those interested
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:52 pm to lsuman25
IDK man that new map looks like ~55% of the 5 day cone is to the west of central florida....
I am not buying this "huge vertical swing to the west" until this bitch is dead and gone in Greenland
I am not buying this "huge vertical swing to the west" until this bitch is dead and gone in Greenland
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:53 pm to Mr. Hangover
quote:
I can remember staying for a few small hurricanes and TSs, and no matter how big or how small the storm was, there was always an eerie feeling in the air that's hard to explain. You can just sense something doesn't feel right
I'd think the pressure changes would alert wildlife or something along those lines.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:53 pm to Mr. Hangover
Recon confirmed the 185 mph wind estimates. 186 in the norther eye wall on the last pass:
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:54 pm to VernonPLSUfan
quote:
Wasn't Camille winds clocked at 200mph.
Camille maxed out at 190 MPH but probably reached 200 MPH. We'll never know, however, because the wind gauges were blown away during peak intensity as it came ashore.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:54 pm to Delacroix22
quote:
I am not buying this "huge vertical swing to the west"
Hmmm... Vertical swing West. Interesting.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 9:55 pm to PhillyTiger90
quote:
Virgin Islands Web Cam
When I opened it, it updated to "666 Watching Now". Had to close that shite ASAP.
Not today, Satan. Nice try.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 10:02 pm
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