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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:50 pm to ChopBlockOclock
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:50 pm to ChopBlockOclock
South Florida doesn't leave a ton of options.
1
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:50 pm to Vood
Definitely a little strange that they could agree so closely and then the gfs goes completely back the other way over its next 2 or 3 runs. Not excited for any landfall scenario but if it stays out of the gulf, there is always a chance it could blow out to sea. So here's hoping for a shift to the gfs.
Is there any indication it has begun its move to the northwest?
Is there any indication it has begun its move to the northwest?
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 7:52 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:50 pm to Hangit
quote:
you may want to go to Tampa, or Jacksonville. If I leave I am probably going Friday night.
So you're just looking to get on the west side of the eye? I'm not really in a position to leave until work makes a decision re: closures and medical centers don't tend to do that very early.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:51 pm to slackster
18z HMON takes Irma down to 852mb, smashing the global record of 870mb.
HMON has been low for a while, but this is getting comical/terrifying.
HMON has been low for a while, but this is getting comical/terrifying.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:51 pm to loogaroo
quote:
Admit it...you just wanted to be able to type Chad and Niger in the same sentence
You got me on that one.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:52 pm to slackster
Lol 852 no way
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:52 pm to TheOcean
quote:
My family is in the Tampa Bay area
Tampa Bay has not gotten hit by anything more powerful than a cat 2 in almost 100 years. Hopefully that streak remains intact this year.. unless that means it heads over here to Louisiana.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 7:53 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:52 pm to CidCock
Providenciales, TCI is in trouble. Max elevation is 148 feet and most of it is flat.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:53 pm to slackster
HMON is banking on the Miami-Dade Megastorm to happen
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:53 pm to TigerStripes06
quote:
Definitely a little strange that they could agree so closely and then the gfs goes completely back the other way over its next 2 or 3 runs. Not excited for any landfall scenario but if it stays out of the gulf, there is always a chance it could blow out to sea. So here's hoping for a shift to the gfs.
The ensembles didn't change nearly as much as the operational model:
12z
18z
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:54 pm to slackster
quote:
18z HMON takes Irma down to 852mb, smashing the global record of 870mb.
If that happens nd picks up speed, I think it's pushing through florida and going deeper into the gulf than previously predicted.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:55 pm to SEClint
As in, how deep?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:55 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Lol 852 no way
HMON has been throwing ridiculous pressures out for days now.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:56 pm to Cosmo
quote:
Lol 852 no way
I'd like to think so, but even if it's off by, say, 40 mb, it would still be the lowest pressure of a landfalling hurricane ever recorded.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:57 pm to SEClint
quote:
If that happens nd picks up speed, I think it's pushing through florida and going deeper into the gulf than previously predicted.
Good news for the GOM is the same model that sends it to 852 sends it up the peninsula and out into the Atlantic.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:57 pm to ChopBlockOclock
quote:
If this storms follows the last Euro and it its Ft Meyers and goes up the coast of Florida you dont want to be in Tampa
That is why I said it depends on where it is going. If it is going to run straight up the state I am going to Baton Rouge. If it is 100 miles off of Tampa, I am staying home.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:58 pm to Paul Allen
quote:
As in, how deep
All the way. Trust me I'm a weatherologist
Edit: bet you downvoters thought weatherologist was a word
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 8:02 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:59 pm to Duke
quote:
HMON has been throwing ridiculous pressures out for days now.
Let's say it never breaks 900mb - the HMON developers need to go back to the drawing board.
They had Harvey going into the Rio Grande Valley and took Irma to never before seen low pressures.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 7:59 pm to slackster
Isn't it rare for a storm like this to maintain its strength for a long enough period of time as it will take to get to the US?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:00 pm to Tiger in Gatorland
quote:
So you're just looking to get on the west side of the eye?
I want to be at least 80 miles from the eye. Euro says it is going to the left coast. This makes the right coast good. GFS says right coast. This makes the left coast good.
My decision will be made when we know more.
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