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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:01 pm to GetCocky11
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:01 pm to GetCocky11
Probably but we have never seen a storm of this magnitude get so close to us. Andrew was powerful but small and compact. This thing is about to wreck some shite.
2
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:02 pm to Paul Allen
quote:
As in, how deep?
I hope none, but this storm is rapidly surprising everyone.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:04 pm to Hangit
You're saying to go when? I know the smartest thing wild be to leave now. Better safe than sorry. However , that's not easy for most people. Is waiting until Friday to see what this does between now and then just dumb? Sorry, y'all , this is a first for me. I know these are stupid questions to many of you who have been through this nightmare. I trust y'all more than the tv , websites , the Governor , etc. Again , thank you to all who have helped explain all of this. I've learned a lot but still know very little.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 8:12 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:04 pm to artompkins
quote:
Probably but we have never seen a storm of this magnitude get so close to us. Andrew was powerful but small and compact. This thing is about to wreck some shite.
I was just asking because these models have the pressure getting lower but tv meteorologists have the winds decreasing down to the 145 range when it nears Florida.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:05 pm to SEClint
As has been explained to me and several others...these storms don't steer themselves. They go where the currents take them or where there is a weakness and they are allowed to travel. The storm being stronger or weaker doesn't matter. It can't just do its own thing.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:05 pm to artompkins
I saw the aftermath of Andrew in person. It looked like it was nuked. Not one structure was standing. Metal poles were bent to the ground.
Andrew reminded me of the photos of Hiroshima. It was amazing.
ETA: What's up with the downvotes?
Andrew reminded me of the photos of Hiroshima. It was amazing.
ETA: What's up with the downvotes?
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 8:10 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:05 pm to GetCocky11
quote:
I was just asking because these models have the pressure getting lower but tv meteorologists have the winds decreasing down to the 145 range when it nears Florida.
They're doing the responsible thing and presenting the NHC's forecast.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:05 pm to slackster
852 mb has to equate to what, 240-250mph? Good lord. May god have mercy on the souls in the path of that. It would be like an enormous tornado that takes 3 hours to pass.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 8:06 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:06 pm to Hangit
How do you think Valdosta, GA will be impacted.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:07 pm to GetCocky11
quote:
I was just asking because these models have the pressure getting lower but tv meteorologists have the winds decreasing down to the 145 range when it nears Florida.
TV mets are going to stick with the NHC, and the NHC is going to temper these numbers if they think they're outrageous.
Similar to the Harvey rainfall totals. They aren't going to predict 50" of rain, even if a model shows it.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:08 pm to GetCocky11
They're hoping the islands in the tropics reduce its strength.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:08 pm to Hangit
This is my thinking. I'm in Zephyrhills. I'm wanting to wait until Friday afternoon to make the call on leaving or staying but I've never experienced any of this. I'm relying on the people that have to give me some guidance.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:09 pm to slackster
quote:
.
NHC makes no sense sometimes. Did the same with Harvey during one of the updates, but upgraded it the following hour.
That drop had some issues and Irma appeared to be starting an ERC at the time. With recon in the storm, better to wait for more data.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:09 pm to slackster
Got it. Thanks yall
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:10 pm to TigerStripes06
quote:
As has been explained to me and several others...these storms don't steer themselves.
And to cover their arse, the same people say "no two storms are just alike, so anything is possible".
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:10 pm to TigerStripes06
quote:
As has been explained to me and several others...these storms don't steer themselves. They go where the currents take them or where there is a weakness and they are allowed to travel. The storm being stronger or weaker doesn't matter. It can't just do its own thing.
Counterintuitively, if a storm is very weak, it can sometimes miss steering currents that other storms would take.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 8:11 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:11 pm to NashBamaFan
Can the Hurricane Hunters fly into the portion of the storm that is over Cuban air space?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:11 pm to rds dc
quote:
That drop had some issues and Irma appeared to be starting an ERC at the time. With recon in the storm, better to wait for more data.
That makes sense.
ETA - I assume the 225 mph winds on the way down signaled it could be a bad reading.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 8:13 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:12 pm to NashBamaFan
In all seriousness, where would you go? Half the state will be running for their lives on basically two major roadways. It will be gridlock.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 8:12 pm to LSUwag
quote:
I saw the aftermath of Andrew in person. It looked like it was nuked. Not one structure was standing. Metal poles were bent to the ground.
I was 5 years old and the eye passed over our house in LA. Still remember every bit of it and would never stay for a storm like that. Our neighborhood was unrecognizable.
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