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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:42 pm to Placebeaux
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:42 pm to Placebeaux
Current GFS Ensembles:
Better agreement than CMC ensembles.
Better agreement than CMC ensembles.
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 1:44 pm
0
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:43 pm to bamarep
Look that chick up on facebook. She is a hoot. She is KB crazy.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:43 pm to lsuman25
Riding building over the midsection of the country and the energy of that trough ejecting over the North Atlantic provides the avenue to turn into. Complicated dance for sure.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:43 pm to PsychTiger
Would you volunteer to have your house flattened to save 100 houses in Florida?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:43 pm to crazyLSUstudent
Correct me if I'm wrong but that contact with Cuba will lower max winds but could "unwind" it some causing it to be more muddy thus spreading the worst weather further out.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:43 pm to Placebeaux
quote:
What are these other model runs?
Cocksuckers
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:43 pm to Placebeaux
quote:
What are these other model runs?
more importantly... why does seeing 5 tracks west of Mobile Bay (2 up Mitch's butthole) start to make me a bit uneasy?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:44 pm to BOSCEAUX
Is the Euro model the most accurate?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:45 pm to dukesilver72
quote:
How does this monster turn like that? The weakness from a trough? I hate these things so much.
Yes, these storms will head toward a weakness in a high pressure ridge.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:45 pm to rt3
Yep
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:45 pm to CidCock
It is crazy because it differs so much from GFS.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:45 pm to weagle99
quote:
Is the Euro model the most accurate?
the Euro seemed to have a better idea on Harvey if you want recent evidence
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:46 pm to weagle99
Euro for Monday, Sept 11 - right on top of Ft Meyers
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:46 pm to Duke
Yea, there will be plenty of people on pins and needles waiting for when Irma decides to turn North this weekend.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:46 pm to rt3
quote:
Euro says Irma will traverse the FL peninsula and get to GA headed to SC
all on land
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:46 pm to rt3
I almost think the best solution for the US at this point is for Irma to get torn up/weakened by the Cuban mountains then swing and cross the Florida Straight quickly making a US landfall before having too much of a chance to regroup and strengthen.
It looks like once it does move North, it will do so quickly and not do the Harvey/Isaac/Unnamed 2016 LA Storm "sit and spin and flood everything" that's been popular lately.
It looks like once it does move North, it will do so quickly and not do the Harvey/Isaac/Unnamed 2016 LA Storm "sit and spin and flood everything" that's been popular lately.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:46 pm to Placebeaux
I work on an air force base and a guy here is talking with the Navy, and their projections is it taking a hard turn off of Cuba and riding up the east coast of Florida. I asked him why I should trust the Navy more than any other predictions, and he said they have a lot of ships they have to be concerned with and they probably have better tracking techniques.
TIFWIW
TIFWIW
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:47 pm to weagle99
quote:
Would you volunteer to have your house flattened to save 100 houses in Florida?
Since I have insurance and would not be home when it happened, sure*
* Offer does not apply to University of Florida or Gainesville.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:47 pm to PsychTiger
quote:
It appears from the downvotes that my position of caring for others is the minority view. Okay then, I don't care if this thing crisscrosses Florida about 10 times, leveling every building in the entire state, as long as my house in South Carolina is not damaged. Is that better OT?
I get your sentiment but in times of disaster, your concern is going to be with your yourself and your immediate loved ones.
Nobody wants the hurricane to veer off and destroy other people's lives but the models are making it apparent that this thing is going to affect somebody. I think (hope) we were all rooting for the Atlantic turn...but that ain't happening it appears.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:47 pm to weagle99
quote:
Message
CAT5 Hurricane Irma - Potential SE US & Eastern Gulf Threat by weagle99
Is the Euro model the most accurate
It has been. Nailed Harvey on the nose even the goofy circle back into the gulf and up the TX/LA border.
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