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Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:01 pm to Costanza
Euro trending SW. Yeah, I'm not necessarily buying that Florida is the final destination.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:01 pm to rt3
Irma is now tied for the second strongest winds in an Atlantic Basin hurricane in recorded history. It is tied with Hurricane Wilma, the "Labor Day Hurricane", and Hurricane Gilbert.
Only Hurricane Allen had stronger winds (190mph).
Only Hurricane Allen had stronger winds (190mph).
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 1:06 pm
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:02 pm to Delacroix22
quote:
I'm calling landfall in Mobile. You heard it here first.
You shut your whore mouth.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:02 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
Tell me if I'm wrong, but if anything I would think gulf residents (excluding the west side of FL peninsula) should feel a bit better today than yesterday afternoon.
Seems to be increasing agreement that the track is up the west coast of FL or through central FL, right?
Obviously the models showing it going through FL is encouraging to everyone west of these, but living on the gulf coast, in prime hurricane season, knowing how quickly things can change you should always be on guard and not live or die by the models.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:03 pm to Costanza
through 48 hours it's basically at the same spot as yesterday's 12z
the only difference seems to be the storm is a bit more compact
the only difference seems to be the storm is a bit more compact
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:03 pm to slackster
quote:
All indications are that it will head WNW for the next 4 days.
Yeah well I will not rest until it starts to turn...if I have to sit here are stare at my computer and the TV for 4 days then so be it.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:03 pm to GEAUXmedic
So if pressures are sub 900.... what kind of wind speeds could we expect to see?
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:03 pm to rt3
Yeah, I have to go back to work here in a minute. I just wanted to see the Euro run. 
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:03 pm to Costanza
quote:
Gusts to 220
Yep. That is absolutely insane.
quote:
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 58.4W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 931 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE 80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 135SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:04 pm to GEAUXmedic
Yeah, being optimistic about today's model runs is one thing. Trying to say people on the gulf coast are overreacting is another.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:04 pm to slackster
quote:Thats some scary shite right there.
Gusts to 220
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:05 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Obviously the models showing it going through FL is encouraging to everyone west of these, but living on the gulf coast, in prime hurricane season, knowing how quickly things can change you should always be on guard and not live or die by the models.
I agree, it just looks to me the last 12 hours seem to be a bit better than the couple days preceding, where every model run seemed to push a little further west than the one previous. I'll take what I can get.
Basically, I'm just responding to people talking about the 1PM update (which I don't think is any worse than prior runs for the panhandle westward).
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:05 pm to OldSouth
That model is 6 days old..... 
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:05 pm to GEAUXmedic
All I do know is that I'm going to Costco to fill up my vehicle tonight.
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:05 pm to Uncle JackD
quote:
So if pressures are sub 900.... what kind of wind speeds could we expect to see?
nb4350
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:06 pm to Hangover Haven
quote:Some of you really need to improve your reading comprehension.
That model is 6 days old.....
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:06 pm to slackster
We got Georgia/Scar people hoping it gets eaten up by Florida, Florida hoping it goes out to sea or into the gulf, and gulf people hoping it goes to south Florida.
It's like we're all sitting in a room and a guy with a gun is pointing it at us and we're all just jumping from corner to corner.
It's like we're all sitting in a room and a guy with a gun is pointing it at us and we're all just jumping from corner to corner.
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