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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:01 pm to
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60899 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

Gusts to 220


Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105207 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:01 pm to
Euro trending SW. Yeah, I'm not necessarily buying that Florida is the final destination.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51682 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:01 pm to
Irma is now tied for the second strongest winds in an Atlantic Basin hurricane in recorded history. It is tied with Hurricane Wilma, the "Labor Day Hurricane", and Hurricane Gilbert.

Only Hurricane Allen had stronger winds (190mph).
This post was edited on 9/5/17 at 1:06 pm
Posted by Costanza
Member since May 2011
3273 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

I'm calling landfall in Mobile. You heard it here first.



You shut your whore mouth.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Tell me if I'm wrong, but if anything I would think gulf residents (excluding the west side of FL peninsula) should feel a bit better today than yesterday afternoon.

Seems to be increasing agreement that the track is up the west coast of FL or through central FL, right?


Obviously the models showing it going through FL is encouraging to everyone west of these, but living on the gulf coast, in prime hurricane season, knowing how quickly things can change you should always be on guard and not live or die by the models.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147069 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:03 pm to
through 48 hours it's basically at the same spot as yesterday's 12z

the only difference seems to be the storm is a bit more compact
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

All indications are that it will head WNW for the next 4 days.



Yeah well I will not rest until it starts to turn...if I have to sit here are stare at my computer and the TV for 4 days then so be it.
Posted by Uncle JackD
Member since Nov 2007
59560 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:03 pm to
So if pressures are sub 900.... what kind of wind speeds could we expect to see?
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:03 pm to
Yeah, I have to go back to work here in a minute. I just wanted to see the Euro run.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

Gusts to 220


Yep. That is absolutely insane.

quote:

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 58.4W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 931 MB
EYE DIAMETER 25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 45SE 35SW 50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE 80SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 135SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.


Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60899 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:04 pm to
900 mph
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:04 pm to
Yeah, being optimistic about today's model runs is one thing. Trying to say people on the gulf coast are overreacting is another.
Posted by Uncle JackD
Member since Nov 2007
59560 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Gusts to 220
Thats some scary shite right there.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
87246 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

Obviously the models showing it going through FL is encouraging to everyone west of these, but living on the gulf coast, in prime hurricane season, knowing how quickly things can change you should always be on guard and not live or die by the models.



I agree, it just looks to me the last 12 hours seem to be a bit better than the couple days preceding, where every model run seemed to push a little further west than the one previous. I'll take what I can get.

Basically, I'm just responding to people talking about the 1PM update (which I don't think is any worse than prior runs for the panhandle westward).
Posted by Hangover Haven
Metry
Member since Oct 2013
33479 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:05 pm to
That model is 6 days old.....
Posted by Rox
Member since Oct 2010
33333 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:05 pm to
All I do know is that I'm going to Costco to fill up my vehicle tonight.
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:05 pm to
Sub 900

185-200 plus mph
Posted by LanierSpots
Sarasota, Florida
Member since Sep 2010
71016 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:05 pm to
quote:

So if pressures are sub 900.... what kind of wind speeds could we expect to see?


nb4350


Posted by OldSouth
Folsom, LA
Member since Oct 2011
11005 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

That model is 6 days old.....
Some of you really need to improve your reading comprehension.
Posted by Kcoyote
Member since Jan 2012
12050 posts
Posted on 9/5/17 at 1:06 pm to
We got Georgia/Scar people hoping it gets eaten up by Florida, Florida hoping it goes out to sea or into the gulf, and gulf people hoping it goes to south Florida.

It's like we're all sitting in a room and a guy with a gun is pointing it at us and we're all just jumping from corner to corner.
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