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Message

re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:00 pm to
Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
71114 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:00 pm to
EBR always looking to shut down, not surprising

Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:00 pm to
I upvoted because of cat gif
Posted by LSUsmartass
Scompton
Member since Sep 2004
82739 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

Rds can you unpack the information im reading on Storm2k of the MLC and LLC separating, causing a northerly jog in attempt to keep them together?


Wishcasters in Mobile and the panhandle
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91837 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

Rds can you unpack the information im reading on Storm2k of the MLC and LLC separating, causing a northerly jog in attempt to keep them together?


Not rds, but the storm was having issues getting vertically stacked earlier today.



This dropsonde in the middle of the "eye" registered minimal winds at flight level but 39kt winds at sea level. That's a sign the mid level circulation and low level circulation aren't aligned.

IIRC, storms try to align these centers and one usually wins out over the other. If the mid level center is north of the low level center, it could pull the center of the storm towards it and result in a momentary northward trend. The storm would presumably continue on the NW bearing once it consolidates.
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
15002 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

I was there yesterday and saw 3 guys surfing and few skim boarding


Watched a guy drown on West Beach in Gulf Shores about 5 Saturday night. He was only out up to below his knees. 40 family members with him for a reunion. It was his anniversary. Watching their grief was brutal. Everybody needs to stay out of the damn water.
Posted by kballa6
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
4182 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:05 pm to
No surfers. A few people walking the beach (we went once because we are beachfront) but there was a mass exodus yesterday. Very few people still here, couple LSU folks around us though.
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Charlie Kirk's America
Member since Nov 2007
15002 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

In Gulf Shores all the local news stations are showing Soaps and Judge shows. I think we are in the clear. Just some gusty winds and rain. Waves are getting gnarly and the water is backing up into Little Lagoon. For reference I’m next to the Pass on West Beach.


lsumailman61. I have 2 places on Little Lagoon. Can you keep us updated on damage or water coming over the road in West beach?
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43447 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:07 pm to
Thx Slack I knew one of you would come through
Posted by lsumailman61
Gulf Shores
Member since Oct 2006
7967 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:09 pm to
You were in my front yard. I watched the whole thing unfold right in front of me. Got home from work and the responders were on the hoods of their trucks looking for him. By the time I got down to the beach they were pulling him out.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

Watched a guy drown on West Beach in Gulf Shores about 5 Saturday night. He was only out up to below his knees.


How did that happen?
Posted by TigerStripes06
SWLA
Member since Sep 2006
30032 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:10 pm to
And that had absolutely zero to do with this storm. If some dude can drown in a foot and a half of water, people that go out in even a minor storms surge are basically asking for it.
This post was edited on 9/4/18 at 2:13 pm
Posted by lsumailman61
Gulf Shores
Member since Oct 2006
7967 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:11 pm to
Rip current was crazy this past weekend. Heavy East winds.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
78302 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

How did that happen?



Must breathe through his toes
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10129 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

Looks like they are canceling after school activities in ebr





Where you seeing this?
Posted by LSU5508
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2007
3769 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:14 pm to
My guess not a strong swimmer, got knocked over by a wave and got caught in a rip. Even though Rips don't pull you under people panic trying to swim against them and die from exhaustion/swallowing too much water. Always swim to the left or right or just let them pull you out past the sandbars. Human naturally rarely allows this but its how you handle them.
This post was edited on 9/4/18 at 2:15 pm
Posted by Walt OReilly
Poplarville, MS
Member since Oct 2005
124694 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:15 pm to
There’s a curfew in Biloxi?
Posted by Theboot32
Mandeville/Poplarville
Member since Jan 2016
2454 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:16 pm to
This rain smells like fish
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

This dropsonde in the middle of the "eye" registered minimal winds at flight level but 39kt winds at sea level. That's a sign the mid level circulation and low level circulation aren't aligned.


You can see it every few hours as the low level swirl jumps out in front of the convection. There's some south flow pulling the storms off to the N and E, so it's keeping it from getting stacked up properly. Not sure if the center will "jump" to align with the midlevels or just keep this game up of getting convection going, getting some western coverage and having it blown off NE.
Posted by Fight4LSU
Kenner
Member since Jul 2005
10055 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:17 pm to
For the life of me I can’t understand why things in NOLA are closing tomorrow, or even today perhaps. It’s sunhine right now and all indications are it’ll be sunny with a slight overcast tomorrow. Doesn’t make sense.
This post was edited on 9/4/18 at 2:18 pm
Posted by CorkSoaker
Member since Oct 2008
9823 posts
Posted on 9/4/18 at 2:18 pm to
7pm-7am

They are not closing casinos, but everyone off gaming floor at 5pm
This post was edited on 9/4/18 at 2:20 pm
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