- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:07 pm to thesoccerfanjax
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:07 pm to thesoccerfanjax
quote:
My in laws expressed some concern too. We reminded them we are about 8 hours south of where Florence is supposed to hit.
The wind field is expanding
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 2:08 pm
0
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:08 pm to loogaroo
There she blows
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:08 pm to 13SaintTiger
quote:
Are the chances of this hurricane strengthening slimmer than the chances of it continuing to weaken?
Nobody can give you a perfect answer on that. Check what the hurricane center has to say.
There's a chance it'll get stronger this afternoon (NHC forecast) and it'll likely be losing strength on approach to the coast. Intensity is very difficult to predict accurately for the best of the best.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:09 pm to Duke
quote:
It's a computer model showing what the scenario it depicts would result in. The end result could be more, could be less, and could set up in different locations. The big takeaway is large portions of SC and southeastern NC should expect significant flooding rainfall.
Yeah, I actually went through the individual EURO members on Weather.us and maybe 2 showed anything other than a stall on or before the coast followed by a SW drift. Rainfall on the operational run actually put 25 inches of rain just north of Wilmington in 36 hours - from Thursday at 10PM to Saturday at 10AM.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:13 pm to rds dc
5 simultaneously named systems would be a record, also, if 95L gets a name then both the G & J (or K) storms would've made landfall before F.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:17 pm to slackster
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:18 pm to rds dc
Whats the chances of 95L becoming anything more than a tropical storm? I know Texas has already had a ton of rain and a TS could do plenty of damage just wondering if there is any threat of it becoming a hurricane?
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:20 pm to GetCocky11
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:21 pm to al_cajun
No hurricane but tropical storm is possible. Gonna bring a ton of rain either way.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:21 pm to al_cajun
quote:
Whats the chances of 95L becoming anything more than a tropical storm? I know Texas has already had a ton of rain and a TS could do plenty of damage just wondering if there is any threat of it becoming a hurricane?
quote:
1. Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad
area of low pressure has formed in the central Gulf of Mexico.
Although the shower activity is still disorganized, upper-level
winds are forecast to become more conducive for development, and
it is likely that a tropical depression will form on Thursday,
before the system reaches the western Gulf coast. Another
reconnaissance plane is scheduled to investigate the disturbance
tomorrow. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds
are expected across portions of northeastern Mexico, Texas, and
Louisiana late this week, and interests there should monitor the
progress of this system, and refer to products from their local
weather office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Chances of a hurricane are slim at best from 95L. Hell, the NHC thinks there is a 30% chance it won't even develop into a depression.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:26 pm to jefffan
quote:
Pucker factor raised
Me so far today...
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:28 pm to Centinel
Honestly it would probably be good for a bunch of lardos in the Carolinas to have a limited food supply for awhile.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:31 pm to The Boat
quote:
This will be some solid weekend TV.
I hope you have diarrhea throughout the whole event. I kid but this ain’t funny or entertaining for the people who are going to be fricked in this hurricane.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:34 pm to PsychTiger
Lmao
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:35 pm to weagle99
quote:
Honestly it would probably be good for a bunch of lardos in the Carolinas to have a limited food supply for awhile.
The whole damn country is fat
Come on man
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:36 pm to slackster
They're doing upper level reconnaissance now, and you can see the shear along the SW side of Florence in dropsondes 4 and 5.
Dropsonde 4 - Notice how the winds along the right side of the graph change direction with height in the atmosphere, particularly the south winds above 300mb:
Dropsonde 5 - Same thing:
Meanwhile, dropsonde 8 in the SE are of the storm has winds that are mostly aligned throughout the atmosphere, and Florence has impressive outflow in that direction as a result:
Dropsonde 4 - Notice how the winds along the right side of the graph change direction with height in the atmosphere, particularly the south winds above 300mb:
Dropsonde 5 - Same thing:
Meanwhile, dropsonde 8 in the SE are of the storm has winds that are mostly aligned throughout the atmosphere, and Florence has impressive outflow in that direction as a result:
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:38 pm to slackster
It certainly explains why the SW side has been lacking throughout the past two days.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:41 pm to 13SaintTiger
quote:
Duke, or Slackster, question for y’all. Are the chances of this hurricane strengthening slimmer than the chances of it continuing to weaken?
Like Duke said, the exact intensity is impossible to predict, but the models that are supposed to help with this kind of thing suggest the chances of Florence weakening from here are better than her strengthening.
However, the consensus is still for a major hurricane right up until the SC/NC border, so it's really not a major difference if it's 115 MPH winds and 130 MPH winds, for example.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:42 pm to GetCocky11
that meme continues to deliver 100% of the time
Posted on 9/12/18 at 2:43 pm to slackster
Is it just shear or is the storm not in warm enough waters to fix itself after the eye replacement? Both?
Asking cause I dunno
Asking cause I dunno
Page 244 of 400
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News