re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential

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Why hasn’t East Baton Rouge canceled school yet?

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Assumption is probably debating an early dismissal tomorrow, they shutdown for Gordon hitting Mobile Last week

that's the type of eye you find Jesus in.

12z Euro landfalls (finally) around Charleston after a painful creep down the coast. Notable that it's north of the 0z GA/SC line landfall.

Disclaimer: When it comes to your personal safety and the safety of your family, do what you feel is necessary. Obviously follow the guidance of your local officials and local NWS office too, and if their guidance says to leave, you should leave, even if it contradicts my suggestions. However, if you're going to come to this thread to ask, here is what I would suggest as far as "to evacuate or not" is concerned:

1. Do you live in NC or SC? If yes, go to 2, if no, continue monitoring the storm and await further guidance, particularly those in GA.

2. Do you live in the following counties in NC - Currituck, Camden, Pasquotanik, Perquimans, Chowan, Bertie, Washington, Tyrrell, Dare, Hyde, Beaufort, Pamilco, Carteret, Onslow, Pender, New Hanover, Brunswick, Columbus, Bladen, Sampson, Robeson, Cumberland, Duplin, Lenoir, Wayne, Lenoir, Jones, Craven? If yes, evacuate inland (west and/or north). If no, continue to 3.

3. Do you live in the following counties in SC - Dillon, Marion, Horry, Florence, Georgetown, Willimsburg, Charleston, Berkeley, Dorchester, Colleton, Beaufort? If yes, evacuate, preferably to GA or get west of Columbia and north of I-20. If no, continue to 4.

4. Do you live in NC, south of Greenville, and I-95 runs through your county or is to your west? If yes, go to 6. If no, go to 5.

5. Do you live in SC and I-95 runs through your county or is to your west? If yes, go to 6. If no, go to 10.

6. Do you live along a body of water, including, but not limited to, a creek, lake, bayou, slough, drainage canal, or river, OR do you live in a flood zone other than Zone C or Zone X? If yes, you should make preparations for possible flash floods, including an evacuation plan, and I'd strongly consider evacuating if possible. If no, go to 7.

7. Do you have large trees near your home that could reach your home if they fall? If yes, I'd strongly consider evacuating. You're likely to see hurricane force wind gusts at a minimum and coupled with the rain fall that's expected, downed trees will be plentiful in your area. If no, go to 8.

8. Are you prepared to be without power and additional rations for up to 2 (two) weeks? If yes, go to 9. If no, prepare immediately or evacuate.

9. Do you have small children or elderly individuals in your home? If yes, you should strongly consider evacuating. If no, go to 12.

10. Do you have small children or elderly individuals in your home? If yes, consider getting further inland or prepare to be without power for up to a week. If no, go to 11.

11. Continue monitoring the situation, particularly the potential rainfall totals, and have an evacuation plan in place.

12. Alright Billy Badass, best of luck holding down your fort, but stay tuned for more information as the situation may change.

Well shite. I was hoping the Euro was going to keep trending south/west and pull Cola out of the picture.

There goes that hope.

It’s pretty amazing how much better NC and SC officials have handled this storm over their counterparts along the Gulf Coast. People have been getting ready and evacuating since Monday morning. When a storm heads for the Gulf down here they like to give people about a day’s warning and expect everyone to get out.

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slackster

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Can you post this in the other thread as well?

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When a storm heads for the Gulf down here they like to give people about a day’s warning and expect everyone to get out.

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To be fair gulf hurricanes tend to give people about that amount of time. I don’t remember a hurricane that has been hugging the same zone 5 days out on the models quite like this ever in the gulf

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It's like a real life "Choose Your Own Adventure" book.

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Until you realize you don't live in NC or SC and the book ends on page 2.

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Until you realize you don't live in NC or SC and the book ends on page 2.

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To be fair, my MIL asked my wife last night if we were planning on evacuating. We live in Baton Rouge.