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Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:15 pm to Duke
THis shite keeps getting more reminiscent of Hugo every day.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:15 pm to cajunangelle
Yep, short little ponies there. I know they are good swimmers, but not in 20' waves.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:16 pm to cajunangelle
Last I read was officials said the horses would know what to do as Florence got closer.
I suppose that meant that were smart enough to GTFO
AP story
I suppose that meant that were smart enough to GTFO
AP story
This post was edited on 9/11/18 at 5:21 pm
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:16 pm to MrLSU
So the euro has been right? Terrific
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:17 pm to cajunangelle
quote:
I wish the local authorities would figure this out with the experts so I know what to do.
Ignore local authorities, trust the OT.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:17 pm to jefffan
It is a pivotal moment. The euro and GFS agree.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:17 pm to MrLarson
The horses have survived for 500 years and will survive another 500 more. They are smart creatures.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:18 pm to MrLarson
I guess so. Not their first round with a bad storm.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:18 pm to roadGator
.
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 1:44 am
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:20 pm to Duke
quote:
Not ideal...
Duke, so what is the takeway here...
The coastline gets spared truly catastrophic winds but instead a much broader area gets catastrophic surge/rain to go along with still-hurricane-force winds (for a prolonged period)?
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:21 pm to Duke
quote:Wait, is this real? I thought it was another spaghetti models everywhere joke.
Not ideal...
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:23 pm to cajunangelle
McMaster really shouldn’t have called off the evacuations in Beaufort
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:23 pm to cajunangelle
I'm not sure about that.we
We won't lose power here though. Head south.
We won't lose power here though. Head south.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:23 pm to Pettifogger
yeah, even that scenerio that thing is huge so it will skirt-chase and hammer beaches and inland. Oak Island (Which many locals STAY) will not exist.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:24 pm to roadGator
.
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 1:42 am
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:28 pm to JCinBAMA
quote:
Dammit, now I have to go buy a chainsaw.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:28 pm to cajunangelle
Hell, do it. The surf will be awesome.
This post was edited on 9/11/18 at 5:34 pm
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:30 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
Duke, so what is the takeway here...
Getting above my pay-grade really, so I can really just speculate.
The model runs, yes, would pound the coastline with high winds but not the major hurricane ones unless the eyewall gets close enough to brush the shoreline. The strength being depicted is suspect though. Prolonged land interaction, sitting over the same water for days should do some upwelling (but it's the gulf stream, so that wouldn't be as big a hindrance as normal), and unsure of how the shear would play out.
The big problem would be the rainfall. Constant moist flow and water being pushed in north of the circulation. Presents a lot of rain along the coast and winds pushing the rivers back. Could envision a tremendous flooding scenario from that path. The heaviest rains though, would likely be offshore, but that's not much of a saving grace if 20" is on the "lighter" end.
Finally, a SW path along the east coast is just fricking weird.
Posted on 9/11/18 at 5:30 pm to fishfighter
yeah I guess the pony baws know when to leave.
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