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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:10 pm to NYNolaguy1
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:10 pm to NYNolaguy1
fujiwara effect in the Mid-Atlantic!!
That could be the craziest model run I've ever seen in the Atlantic.
That could be the craziest model run I've ever seen in the Atlantic.
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 3:11 pm
0
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:11 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
This board repeatedly makes the point that even if your life isn't going to be truly in danger, which it may well not be for a large number of people in the warned area here, it may still suck for days or weeks because of power outages, lack of services, lack of businesses open, transportation difficulties, fuel shortages, etc.
You've definitely got that right. Trying to clean up/live in post-Katrina LA fricking sucked.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:11 pm to cajunangelle
quote:You hear about this all over when these things happen.
staying no matter what. Some people are just this way I don't know why
I think it falls in a few different categories: finances, stubbornness, pride, some people just want to watch their shite, some people expect it not to be "so bad", some people want to see the damage it brings, some people it's a pride thing etc. etc.
There probably is a direct correlation to these types of people and the wishcasters in these threads.
All I know is this storm doesn't look good and I would find a way to GTFO if I was in its path.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:11 pm to slackster
Still an even split between sc and nc
Spooky stuff
Spooky stuff
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:11 pm to slackster
quote:
Euro ensembles showing a couple out to sea solutions as well as a couple GA solutions, but the operational run and the mean still target the SC/NC border.
Based on that, evacuation of the entire SC coast makes a little more sense in my amateur/unexperienced view
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:11 pm to lsuman25
Waiting for a vortex on the latest fix, but seeing 125 kt being reported. 145mph ish.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:12 pm to rt3
Most likely looking at 125 kts for 5:00 update.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:13 pm to jefffan
I asked about this last night but just confirming again. How fricked is Greenville, SC? I realize the storm itself won't have much impact but is it going to be chaos there travel wise with evacuees and such? Have a flight scheduled to leave out of there Friday morning to Houston. Seems like there's probably at least going to be delays.
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 3:14 pm
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:13 pm to NYNolaguy1
quote:
Most likely looking at 125 kts for 5:00 update.
so the NHC will round that to 145 mph
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:14 pm to Flanders
quote:
Do we have an updated total rainfall accumulation for a five to seven day window from the latest model runs? ETA: This morning rdcs posted a EURO model that had around 20 inches around Charlotte. Has that changed significantly?
Not really. Widespread 15-20" totals are possible from Myrtle Beach to Roanoke and points east of there.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:14 pm to Pettifogger
Not sure that helps around here. The attitude is: if shite really goes down I want to be around to help my community.
Being possibly stuck out of your community for weeks is actually a reason many choose to stay.
Being possibly stuck out of your community for weeks is actually a reason many choose to stay.
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 3:18 pm
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:16 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
Based on that, evacuation of the entire SC coast makes a little more sense in my amateur/unexperienced view
It should be voluntary anywhere south of Charleston, but we know that voluntary really doesn't mean anything to the public.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:16 pm to NYNolaguy1
Sweet Jesus the entire energy of a CAT4 would be dumped into the NC coastal areas
DC could get hit pretty hard as well
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:16 pm to Hat Tricks
Direct flight or connection?
A direct flight or Atlanta connection you should be fine. Charlotte connection could be iffy
A direct flight or Atlanta connection you should be fine. Charlotte connection could be iffy
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:17 pm to Hat Tricks
quote:
I asked about this last night but just confirming again. How fricked is Greenville, SC? I realize the storm itself won't have much impact but is it going to be chaos there travel wise with evacuees and such? Have a flight scheduled to leave out of there Friday morning to Houston. Seems like there's probably at least going to be delays.
Friday morning it cutting it close but you should be okay as of now.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:17 pm to jefffan
quote:
Direct flight or connection?
A direct flight or Atlanta connection you should be fine. Charlotte connection could be iffy
Direct from Greenville to Houston.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:17 pm to East Coast Band
quote:
Of importance: Katrina officially came ashore as a Cat 3, after peaking as a Cat 5 a day or so before offshore.
Florence would not be a typical Cat 3, my guess more along what Cat 3 Katrina was like.
In other words, don't mess around with this one
Yeah, I thought we put this to bed after Katrina.
There is a difference between a Cat 3 who was never more than a 3, and a Cat 3 that has spent recent time being a Cat 4/5, when it come to storm surge and extend of wind field.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:17 pm to thesoccerfanjax
quote:
Not sure that helps around here. The attitude is: if shite really goes down I want to be around to help my community.
Sure, but that's a problem only because the community doesn't abide by the guidance to GTFO
I understand the conundrum though.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:17 pm to cajunangelle
quote:
thanks I forgot about that. it saves on wrecking a hose huh? good idea. Tractor Supply is a great store.
Test the siphon on your car first. Many newer cars have a screen at the bottom of the fill tube (where tube enters the tank) that prevents siphoning except using very small diameter hose.
Also try to find a siphon that has a bulb primer so you wont get a mouth full of gas.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 3:17 pm to Hat Tricks
as far as wind and rain -Greenville will still be a good ways away from the storm on Friday AM- if it makes landfall at the SC/NC border....as far as delays, the cluster of intangibles..tough to say..sounds like the SC Gov is closing a lot of stuff just today..no telling what closures will come East -tomorrow, wed
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 3:21 pm
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