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Message
re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:03 pm to cajunangelle
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:03 pm to cajunangelle
quote:
Does Augusta have pet friendly hotels?
For sure, including several in the Hilton family that I have stayed at.
Either way, if you are a storm evacuee a hotel may not be able to turn away pets, if I remember the law correctly.
0
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:04 pm to rt3
quote:
I think what he's trying to say is there's currently forecast to be no dry air nor wind shear by the storm
As of Levi's last video, wind shear is supposed to pick up moderately in 48 hours or so, but the GFS doesn't seemed to care.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:04 pm to Powerman
It'll be a 3 when it hits. How many times have we seen a monster storm expend all of its energy 100s of miles out. It will hit 5, but by the time it gets near will be back down to a 3.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:05 pm to Boss
quote:
It'll be a 3 when it hits. How many times have we seen a monster storm expend all of its energy 100s of miles out. It will hit 5, but by the time it gets near will be back down to a 3.
Care to back that up with some scientific evidence?
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:05 pm to Boss
quote:
It'll be a 3 when it hits. How many times have we seen a monster storm expend all of its energy 100s of miles out. It will hit 5, but by the time it gets near will be back down to a 3.
They tend to lose some energy as they move north. The patterns that cause a weakness and let them escape to the north usually import wind shear on the storm too.
A storm moving into land on a westward heading will have a better chance to keep it's structural integrity.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:06 pm to slackster
quote:
There is a max of nearly 4 feet of rain in the next 7 days near Piedmont.
Damn. Good luck people.
(what's a cubit?)
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:06 pm to tgrbaitn08
quote:
Care to back that up with some scientific evidence?
maybe it's his PhD thesis and he's working on it
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:08 pm to rt3
Winston-Salem should be fine, right?
My parents live there now and i don't know shite about NC. it's pretty far inland but i dunno the topography there.
My parents live there now and i don't know shite about NC. it's pretty far inland but i dunno the topography there.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:08 pm to slackster
quote:
They tend to lose some energy as they move north. The patterns that cause a weakness and let them escape to the north usually import wind shear on the storm too.
Land interactions, shallower water, and tapping that dry continental air all play a factor in that. It's strange here that there isn't going to be a slug of dry air nearby when she moves in but shear and land interaction is going to be part of the story for sure.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:08 pm to cajunangelle
quote:
They forgot to include Auburn.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:08 pm to PsychTiger
North Carolina has its own version of the Cajun Navy called the Hillbilly Navy.....
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:09 pm to TheGasMan
quote:
Unfortunately my house sits at 3.87 feet above sea level (RTK vertical datum verified, mean high high water, dont ask) so if it sprinkles during a high tide, my street floods.
My neighborhood is on Johns Island, rather centrally located (close to Maybank Hwy). It supposedly did not have flooding with Matthew or the 100 year floods the year prior in SC. Am I still looking pretty safe with the storm surge predicted so far with Florence?
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:10 pm to LSURussian
quote:
LSURussian
You always make the dumbest jokes.
I always laugh anyway.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:11 pm to DavidTheGnome
quote:
the potential for flooding the same though?
4 feet of rain? Yes and possible over a way larger area, most of it fairly rural and difficult to access
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:11 pm to Zach Lee To Amp Hill
quote:
Winston-Salem should be fine, right? My parents live there now and i don't know shite about NC. it's pretty far inland but i dunno the topography there.
Probably. Most of the heavy rainfall totals should be east of them, but, it's worth keeping an eye on for sure.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:12 pm to slackster
If you're going to COLA, might as well jump on I-20 and head to Augusta. Further away from patient zero and you're not in the shadow of the Apps.
The majority of drainage basins of the southern Apps flows down the Saluda, Broad, and Wateree. They all merge into the Santee near Columbia. Those drainage basins will be inundated with an absurd amount of water.
Any folks thinking about evacuating to Columbia, head west from there to get out of the cresting of the rivers
^ that cannot be stressed enough. The majority of the rainfall that happens in NC ends up flowing out of SC based on river networks.
Real talk Once you get atleast 60 miles inland, head west. COLA isn't going to be a pretty situation.
The majority of drainage basins of the southern Apps flows down the Saluda, Broad, and Wateree. They all merge into the Santee near Columbia. Those drainage basins will be inundated with an absurd amount of water.
Any folks thinking about evacuating to Columbia, head west from there to get out of the cresting of the rivers
^ that cannot be stressed enough. The majority of the rainfall that happens in NC ends up flowing out of SC based on river networks.
Real talk Once you get atleast 60 miles inland, head west. COLA isn't going to be a pretty situation.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:12 pm to slackster
That gfs model would destroy the coast holy shite
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:13 pm to deltaland
latest drop in the NE eyewall... 102 kt (~117 mph) winds at the surface
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 12:14 pm
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:13 pm to tokenBoiler
quote:
(what's a cubit?)
The amount of water needed to completely fill a standard sized rubix cube. It’s been a standard of measurement for years but it’s been getting more popular recently.
Posted on 9/10/18 at 12:15 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
The amount of water needed to completely fill a standard sized rubix cube. It’s been a standard of measurement for years but it’s been getting more popular recently.
we measure stuff by how quickly it can potentially destroy that frustrating toy?
This post was edited on 9/10/18 at 12:15 pm
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