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re: Hurricane Florence - Catastrophic Flooding Potential
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:18 pm to rds dc
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:18 pm to rds dc
Let’s hope that if the models continue to show pretty much the same thing for 92L that that high settles in like the models show. I know it’s a long way out and that those front projections are about as accurate as the storm projections at this point...not very.
This post was edited on 9/7/18 at 2:19 pm
0
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:18 pm to The Boat
quote:
A good note about Florence is this thing is going to be booking it which will lessen impacts some.
A bad note is that even a normal rain shower can cause downtown Charleston to flood.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:19 pm to rds dc
Hey rds, according to Stu Ostro on twitter it looks like the disturbance the Euro is seeing is coming from this area of thunderstorms in the Caribbean.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:20 pm to The Boat
quote:
Isaac wants round 2 with Louisiana. The last Isaac in 2012 was a pussy.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:21 pm to PsychTiger
quote:
A bad note is that even a normal rain shower can cause downtown Charleston to flood.
can be said about New Orleans, Baton Rouge... probably many major cities as well
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:21 pm to rds dc
Euro has Florance into South Carolina followed by 92L doing a flyby of Puerto Rico the next day (hour 144 and hour 168).
Over/under on number of "climate change caused this" articles that would come out in the following days if we get back-to-back hits on consecutive days on US Soil: 14,000
Over/under on number of "climate change caused this" articles that would come out in the following days if we get back-to-back hits on consecutive days on US Soil: 14,000
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:21 pm to PsychTiger
Also hope that it turns and skirts the coast instead of slamming into it. If it’s going to get close.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:23 pm to The Boat
If it goes like projected, that’s gonna be a large storm. It’s pretty slow moving so if it sits long enough maybe something will catch it and blow it out to sea later on.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:24 pm to VanRIch
quote:
I mean, just because a prediction was made, doesn't change the odds at all.
I disagree.
At 5 days out, average error is about 175 nautical miles. Obviously it's even higher at longer hours, and 348 hours out would be fantasy land.
However, given the choice of showing a direct hit that far out or an out to sea prediction, you should chose the out to sea option.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:24 pm to The Boat
quote:
Also hope that it turns and skirts the coast instead of slamming into it. If it’s going to get close.
I've been here the last two hurricane seasons and that is essentially what they have all done.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:26 pm to BRIllini07
quote:
Euro has Florance into South Carolina followed by 92L
Yeah, and South Carolina will beat Georgia and A&M will beat Clemson.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:27 pm to The Boat
Not for the Northshore.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:28 pm to BRIllini07
That's less than ideal
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:30 pm to deuce985
quote:
Not for the Northshore.
Was Issac the one that flooded the La Place area pretty badly?
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:32 pm to rds dc
I'm pretty sure I saw GFS pick up on something similar several days back on one run. That would kinda come out of nowhere to see a wave or something form there in the Gulf.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:33 pm to rds dc
looks like trump is firing up the hurricane machine again
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:33 pm to notiger1997
Not sure there but I do know on the Northshore Isaac skullfricked them. It's in fact the most water I saw up until the last flood. It just dumped buckets of water on them for days and Northshore got the absolute worst of that storm for 2 days.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:34 pm to PsychTiger
quote:
Arkansas has been stuck with Depression for a while now.
Oddly enough, I live in central Arkansas and haven't really seen much rain from this. About an hour south from here, they've gotten around 4" so far.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:34 pm to deuce985
quote:
I'm pretty sure I saw GFS pick up on something similar several days back on one run.
It picked up on it like 3 runs in a row on Tuesday/Wednesday
Pretty much the same thing, weak TS or TD going in to south central Texas coast.
Posted on 9/7/18 at 2:35 pm to deuce985
I saw that too. A couple times several days ago and both times it went into Texas around corpus. Weaker and less organized than Gordon.
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