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4
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:18 pm to TheFonz
Low level and mid level center aren't on top of each other. It's hasn't had any northern movement at all and has been pushed a little south while maintaining a due west component.
This post was edited on 9/15/22 at 7:51 pm
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:25 pm to TheFonz
quote:
Okay, in terms that Joe Biden would understand, what do y’all mean by “vertically stacked” and “losing latitude”? Asking for a friend.
it's like when you and your woman are drunk and shes on top trying to stick it in but shes alittle bit off center. Eventually you slow down and things become better aligned.
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:42 pm to TheFonz
quote:
mean by “vertically stacked” and “losing latitude”?
Losing latitude just means moving south vs expectation.
Vertically stacked refers to the vertical (shocking) organization of a storm. For the tropical system to feed off the heat most efficiently, it needs to have the circulation vertically aligned.
In this case, the shear is pushing on the storm and the mid-level circulation is offset to the NE. The storm is literally being pulled in different directions at different levels. That doesnt support strengthening.
This post was edited on 9/15/22 at 7:43 pm
Posted on 9/15/22 at 7:57 pm to Duke
quote:
Losing latitude just means moving south vs expectation.
Don’t like that. Needs to curve northward asap.
quote:
In this case, the shear is pushing on the storm and the mid-level circulation is offset to the NE.
So it’s lopsided. I like shear.
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:14 pm to LanierSpots
quote:
Bradenton, Florida
quote:
East Fl and not scared
In your mind, when did Bradenton become East FL? Are you coaching at, or recruiting IMG?
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:18 pm to rds dc
Damn. Haiti is going to look horrible after that thing rolls through.
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:19 pm to rds dc
quote:
12z Euro also with a westward shift from 00z
Trending toward the CMC solution…
Why the downvotes? The 12z of both euro and CMC mirror each other all the way to the tip of Florida. GFS has an unrealistic intensity with the atmospheric conditions
This post was edited on 9/15/22 at 8:27 pm
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:43 pm to deltaland
quote:
Trending toward the CMC solution…
which doesn't make since with the heat dome in place by next week...which are all downstream effects of a typhoon remnant heading towards the Bering strait at the moment
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:57 pm to TheFonz
18Z has a landfall at..... anyone want to guess? 
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:58 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
18Z has a landfall at..... anyone want to guess?
Matagorda, TX???
Posted on 9/15/22 at 8:59 pm to GreenRockTiger
Punta Cana! The OT is going to be devastated.
This post was edited on 9/15/22 at 9:01 pm
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:01 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Punta Cana! The OT is going to be devastated.
Yup - no putas in Punta if there’s a storm
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:05 pm to rds dc
Came in expecting hot Fiona pictures.
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:05 pm to Oates Mustache
quote:
Punta Cana! The OT is going to be devastated.
Getting frisky with a wet chick named Fiona while in Punta Cana won't be exactly like the baws around here had been daydreaming about.
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:05 pm to gaetti15
quote:
quote:
Trending toward the CMC solution…
which doesn't make since with the heat dome in place by next week...which are all downstream effects of a typhoon remnant heading towards the Bering strait at the moment
The ridge over the Southern Plains is still there, just like a couple of days ago. The change has been with the Atlantic ridge over the top of the system, it has trended stronger over the shorter term. That imparts shear on the system which keeps it disorganized with the LLC racing westward. The farther west the ridge over the top pushes the system the smaller the OTS window gets.
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:12 pm to gaetti15
quote:
which doesn't make since
Since when?
Posted on 9/15/22 at 9:33 pm to TheFonz
quote:
Don’t like that. Needs to curve northward asap.
It’s not going to curve until Monday. It’s going to curve. It taking until Monday is expected and not worrisome.
Posted on 9/15/22 at 10:17 pm to rds dc
quote:
The farther west the ridge over the top pushes the system the smaller the OTS window gets.
right but let's say it gets in the gulf...where is it going to go? towards the yucatan? or gulf coast florida?
Posted on 9/15/22 at 10:34 pm to rds dc
OTS= Out To Sea?
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